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Mortgage arrears in UK at lowest level since records began 20 years ago
The number of mortgages in arrears in the UK continued to fall in the second quarter of this year and is now at its lowest level since records began more than 20 years ago, the latest data shows. At the end of June 2016 there were 92,500 mortgages in arrears of at least 2.5% of the balance, 0.84% of the total, down from 95,900 at the end of March, according to the figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). The number of mortgages in arrears was 13.4% lower than a year ago, when the total stood at 106,800, and is now at its lowest level since the run of figures began in 1994. The number of properties taken into possession also fell in the second quarter, to 1,900, down from 2,100 in the first three months of the year. There was a decline in both the numbers of owner occupied and buy to let properties taken into possession. The CML says that if the present trend continues, the number of mortgaged property repossessions this year is on course to be the lowest since 1982 when there were 6.5 million mortgages, compared to 11.1 million today. A more detailed breakdown of the data shows that there was a fall in the number of borrowers in each band of arrears, apart from those owing more than 10% of the mortgage balance. The number in this category edged up from 23,500 to 23,700, the same number as at the end of last year. Ministry of Justice figures also continue to reflect a pattern in which the number of mortgage possessions is significantly lower than in the rental sector. Those figures showed, for example, that there were 42,729 rental evictions in England and Wales in 2015, compared to 5,592 mortgaged property repossessions, even though the rented sector accounts for only around one third of the housing stock. CML data also shows different patterns of arrears and possessions in the owner occupied and buy to let mortgage markets. As before, arrears rates are higher among owner occupiers than among buy to let landlords, while rates of possession are lower. The CML says that this is because lenders try to avoid repossession wherever possible to help owner occupiers recover from a temporary period of payment difficulty, but may move more quickly to protect their position on rental properties as tenants move out in the more commercial buy to let sector. ‘Another welcome reduction in arrears and possessions shows that borrowers are continuing to prioritise their mortgage commitments and that lenders remain committed to helping them through a period of temporary difficulty, wherever possible,’ said CML director general Paul Smee. ‘As ever, the key to success in dealing with any payment problems is to address them as soon as possible. Any borrowers anticipating difficulty in paying their mortgage should therefore speak to their lender at the earliest opportunity,’ he added. Meanwhile, new figures from the Finance and Leasing Association (FLA) show… Continue reading
Stamp duty change more of an impact than Brexit on prime central London
Stamp duty change is more of an issue for the prime central London sales market than the UK leaving the European Union, new research suggests. However, the vote to leave the EU has created a backdrop of short term uncertainty that is affecting behaviour in the prime central London property market. As a result prices are now down 1.5% compared to a year ago and the number of new prospective buyers has fallen by 6.2% over the same period, according to the latest index from real estate firm Knight Frank. The index report also shows that the number of exchanges, including new build properties, fell by 10.5% in the first half of 2016 but the number of viewings was 40.8% higher than in 2015. However, the sub-£1 million market registered a relatively stronger performance, with annual price growth of 1.1%. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research, early indications suggest the Brexit vote is reinforcing existing pricing trends and viewing the referendum in the context of the preceding two-year period is helpful. In June 2014, annual growth in prime central London was 8.1%, the last peak before a period that saw growth fall steadily to -1.5% in July 2016. ‘This slowdown was a natural consequence of strong price rises between 2009 and 2013, however the process was accelerated by two stamp duty increases and a series of other tax measures,’ said Bill. ‘Despite the widespread media coverage devoted to the EU referendum and its potential impact on house prices, the primary factor curbing demand in prime central London remains stamp duty. The result of this two year slowdown is that vendors had already begun to adapt to the new pricing environment and in many cases Brexit has been a trigger to make overdue reductions to asking prices,’ he explained. ‘Indeed, had the result of the referendum been a victory for Remain, it is likely there would have been a similar mismatch between expectations and reality that followed the 2015 general election. Following the formation of a majority Conservative Party government, high stamp duty costs acted as a brake on demand that was widely expected to surge. Since the vote, a number of buyers have requested discounts due to the climate of political and economic uncertainty,’ he pointed out. ‘However, where the asking price was set at an appropriate level before the vote, deals are proceeding with no reductions. In other cases, the Brexit vote has encouraged vendors to show increased flexibility. It is too early to say whether the reductions are likely to trigger higher transaction levels,’ he added. Bill also pointed out that there is no uniform picture across London and the situation is compounded by thin trading during seasonal summer lull. However, it is possible to see the benefit of recent downward repricing in some markets. In Belgravia overly ambitious vendor expectations, which had led to weak trading over the past two years, has been replaced by a more realistic approach from… Continue reading
Call for stamp duty on property purchases in UK to be abolished
A new report calls on the government to undertake real reform to tackle the housing shortage in the UK and in particular to abolish the stamp duty payable on home purchases. According to the TaxPayers' Alliance successive governments have avoided meaningful reform, instead focusing on tinkering around the edges which has only served to worsen the situation and drive up prices. It says that recent tax changes will drive up rents and the recently implemented 3% stamp duty additional homes surcharge and new restrictions on finance cost relief will also advantage richer prospective buyers at the expense of poorer tenants. The TPA says stamp duty is an unfair tax which stops people from buying their own home, settling down with a family, moving for work or downsizing and makes the dream of home ownership ever more distant for millions of families. The report explains that the 3% stamp duty additional homes surcharge will help prospective buyers but it will hurt tenants in rented accommodation and the restriction of finance cost relief for individual landlords will also advantage prospective buyers at the expense of tenants. It believes that both policies will distort housing markets, with implications for incomes, employment and overall welfare and the tax hikes make Britain’s complex tax system even more complicated and distort ownership structures. Other local policy choices such as increasing the cost of houses in multiple occupation (HMO) licences and introducing landlord licencing schemes will hit tenants and as existing owner occupiers take advantage of lower house prices this will result in a tightening of supply conditions in the lettings market, raising rents. The report calls for the stamp duty surcharge to be cancelled, for all stamp duty rates to be halved immediately in a run up to the tax being abolished and reform to planning restrictions to declassify some green belt land and allow taller, denser construction in urban areas. It explains that pressure needs to be taken out of the housing market by making land available for development less rare and less expensive to build on and says that declassifying just 5% of the green belt around London would allow the city to expand by almost a sixth. ‘For decades politicians have failed to tackle the root causes of the housing crisis: a chronic lack of supply. What's more, Stamp Duty is still punitively high and gimmicky tweaks to the tax system will ultimately end up penalising tenants and increasing rents,’ said Jonathan Isaby, chief executive of the TaxPayers' Alliance. ‘The new Chancellor should now seize the opportunity to drastically simplify and reduce property taxes as well as liberalise planning restrictions, which prevent huge swathes of land from being built on for no good reason at all,’ he added. David Cox, managing director of the Association of Residential Lettings Agents (ARLA) said he would welcome a renewed debate on property tax. ‘ARLA has been consistent in our view that increasing tax for landlords will increase rents and reduce property standards… Continue reading
