Tag Archives: news
US pending home sales at highest for over nine years
Pending home sales in the United States continued to rise in May and are now at their highest level in over nine years, the latest index data shows. Gains in the Northeast and West were offset by small decreases in the Midwest and South, according to the Pending Home Sales index from the National Association of Realtors which is a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings. The index climbed 0.9% to 112.6 in May from a slight downward revision of 111.6 in April and is now 10.4% above May 2014 when it was 101.9. The index has now increased year on year for nine consecutive months and is at its highest level since April 2006. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, contract activity rose again in May for the fifth straight month, increasing the likelihood that home sales are off to their best year since the downturn. ‘The steady pace of solid job creation seen now for over a year has given the housing market a boost this spring. It's very encouraging to now see a broad based recovery with all four major regions showing solid gains from a year ago and new home sales also coming alive,’ he explained. However, Yun warned that this year's stronger sales amidst similar housing supply levels from a year ago have caused home prices to rise to an unhealthy and unsustainable pace. ‘Housing affordability remains a pressing issue with home price growth increasing around four times the pace of wages. Without meaningful gains in new and existing supply, there's no question the goalpost will move further away for many renters wanting to become home owners,’ he added. The PHSI in the Northeast increased 6.3% to 93.9 in May, and is now 10.6% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index declined 0.6% to 111.4 in May, but is still 7.8% above May 2014. Pending home sales in the South decreased 0.8% to an index of 127.8 in May but are still 10.6% above last May. The index in the West rose 2.2% in May to 104.5, and is 13% above a year ago. Continue reading
Third of UK home owners can’t afford to move up the housing ladder
Some 34% of UK home owners looking to step up the housing ladder think it’s going to be difficult to move, new research has found. On average, current mortgage holders believe they need to save £10,549 before they can move and high house prices and the expense of moving are cited as the two main reasons people haven’t yet moved up the property ladder. The research from comparison website MoneySuperMarket found that 26% think it will be difficult to move up and a further 9% think it will be very difficult. This rises to 41% among those aged between 35 and 54 years who would find it tough to upscale their current property, while 28% of 18 to 34 year olds think the same. ‘There was a time when those in the 35 to 54 age group would have been looking to downsize, but now this is the age group where people are starting a family in some cases or still housing grown up children who are struggling to find their own way,’ said Kevin Mountford, head of banking at MoneySuperMarket. ‘Although they might have the earning potential to make that next step there is the constraint of mortgage term that comes with their age. Lenders will tend to fix the term of repayment to retirement age, so for those movers aged over 34 the repayments on increased value mortgages will be much higher as they’re paying it back over a shorter time,’ he explained. ‘For example a £250,000 mortgage on the leading two year fixed at 1.05% could be taken out by a 30 year old with a 30 year term and the monthly repayments would be £810. However for someone aged 45, the same mortgage over a 20 year term would have monthly repayments of £1,155, that’s £345 extra to find each month to make that next move,’ he added. Overall money is the main reason property owners would find it hard to move on up with 47% saying that house prices are so high they can’t afford to take the next step yet, while 43% simply can’t afford the cost of moving. Indeed, current homeowners think they’d need to save up £10,549 on average before they’d be able to move home while those in London estimate they’d need £12,946 on average to move, compared with £6,772 in the North East of the country. ‘Getting a foot on the property ladder in the first place can be hard work, but for many homeowners it’s just as difficult to take the next step. House prices have rocketed in recent years and tougher borrowing rules have made the search for a mortgage slightly harder,’ said Mountford. ‘It is vital for a healthy housing market that people are able to move up the property ladder otherwise the whole system can come to a grinding halt, leading to a shortage of property. As a result, second steppers can’t afford to be complacent when it comes to deciding… Continue reading
Property prices in Dublin fall slightly month on month, but nationwide values are up
Residential property prices in Ireland increased nationwide by 0.5% in May and are 13.8% higher than they were a year ago, but fall slightly in Dublin. The latest data from the Central Statistics Office also show that prices are still some 37.5% lower than at the peak of the market in 2007. A breakdown of the figures show that in Dublin, which has been leading the real estate recovery prices actually fell by 0.1% in May but Dublin residential property prices are 15.2% higher than in May 2014. Dublin house prices fell by 0.2% in May whilst Dublin apartment prices rose by 0.4%. However, a CSO spokesman said that it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. Outside of Dublin residential property prices rose by 1.1% in May and prices were up 11.9% compared with May 2014. Dublin property prices are now 38.1% lower than their 2007 peak with house prices 36.4% lower and apartment prices 41.9% lower. Outside of Dublin residential property prices were 40.8% lower than their highest level in 2007. But prices are expected to continue rising. According to Savills Ireland a 9.6% increase in Dublin rents over the last year, make further house price increases inevitable. Savills director of research, John McCartney, believes that a simultaneous increase in rents has limited any decline in residential yields. ‘While deposit rates have fallen by 28% since the end of 2012, property yields have held up better due to rental growth. This relative swing has diverted money into bricks and mortar, and this will continue,’ he said. According to Savills, investment activity will remain focused on Dublin where yields are particularly attractive. ‘Normally you expect riskier, less prime assets to deliver a higher income return. However a quirk of the current market is that average yields are higher in Dublin than elsewhere in the country. In part this reflects the fact that Dublin rents are rising so strongly,’ explained McCartney. ‘But it also reflects the fact that prices fell more steeply in Dublin during the crash, and they still haven’t fully bounced back,’ he added. McCartney pointed out that Dublin house prices would need to rise by a minimum of 12% to restore the natural pecking order in residential yields. And, with attractive rental returns, investor demand will be a key driver of this price growth. Continue reading
