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Survey suggests UK tenants concerned about rent rises due to change of tax regime
Tenants in the UK are concerned about rent rises resulting from the recent decision by the Chancellor of the Exchequer to scrap mortgage tax relief for private sector residential landlords. New research shows that some 38% of tenants are feeling uncertain as to how the cuts will affect them and over 50% are calling for greater rent control measures to be introduced. Indeed 35% of tenants say that they would move to a different property in the event of a rent increase, according to the research from comparison website Makeitcheaper. A breakdown of the survey findings show that just 20% of tenants would stay in their current housing, one in 10 said they would be forced to seek council housing and 17% would be more motivated to buy their own property. These results show that landlords may run a high risk of losing tenants by increasing rent, around 80%, as many would be simply unable to afford a price hike. There are certain rules around rent price increases that landlords must adhere to. For example, landlords cannot raise prices in a fixed term tenancy prior to the end date, without the tenant's agreement. But, even with these precedents in place, there's a good chance that tensions between landlord and tenant could grow in the event of price rises. However, the latest landlord research by buy to let lender Paragon Mortgages has revealed that 75% of landlords are confident their tenants will not get into more difficulty in the next 12 months as rental arrears will remain stable. The lender’s PRS Trends Survey results for the second quarter showed a 4% increase in those landlords who felt tenant rental arrears would remain stable, the third successive improvement. The proportion of landlords reporting an expected increase remained low and unchanged from the previous quarter at 8% whilst those landlords expecting a decline in arrears was 6%. The survey also revealed that 17% of landlords are planning to purchase additional rental properties over the summer quarter. There was little movement in the most popular property types landlords are looking to buy, with terraced properties and semi-detached houses topping the list at 38%, followed by 35% looking to buy apartments. ‘Landlords continue to experience strong tenant demand and are keen to add to their portfolios. The positive signals being picked up elsewhere around the economy also seem to have flowed through to the PRS with landlords experiencing low arrears and low, stable voids,’ said John Heron, director of Paragon Mortgages. Continue reading
Two tier house prices growth continues in Australia led by Sydney and Melbourne
The two tiered growth evident across Australia’s housing markets continued in July with Sydney and Melbourne driving home values higher, the latest monthly index shows. The CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index increased by 2.8% month on month and 11.1% year on year and the total aggregated value of Australian housing increased by just over half a trillion dollars over the past 12 months to $6 trillion. Melbourne has traded places with Sydney to record the highest rate of capital gain, with values in the city up 6.1% over the three months ending in July, the highest rolling quarterly rate of growth since the three months ending August last year when values grew 6.4%. Growth in Sydney wasn’t quite as strong over the rolling quarter, up 5.4% but still the highest rate of growth since the March quarter this year when it was 5.8%. ‘To date, the capital cities have seen remarkable differences over the growth cycle which broadly commenced at the end of May 2012 and since that time dwelling values across our combined capitals index have increased by 30.4%,’ said Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data’s head of research. Sydney values are 47.9% higher over the current cycle and Melbourne values are 32.1% higher while every other capital city has seen growth of less than 13% over the same period. Lawless explained that this highlights the extent to which the Sydney and Melbourne markets have outperformed other markets over the past three years. He pointed out that over the last year several cities have seen price corrections. Darwin has seen values falling the most, down by 5.3% while in Perth values also drifted lower over the year, down 0.3%. At the same time, the annual rate of capital gain in Sydney reached a new cyclical high with home values moving 18.4% higher over the year to the highest annual rate of growth for Sydney since the 12 months ending in December 2002. The strongest growth conditions outside of Sydney and Melbourne have been in Brisbane where dwelling values were 3.9% higher over the year. Based on the median dwelling price, Sydney prices are now 72% higher than Brisbane’s and Melbourne’s are 24% higher. Detached housing continued to outperform the unit sector, with house values substantially outperforming unit values over the past year apart from Hobart and Darwin. Detached home values are up 11.6% compared with a 7.2% increase in unit values over the past year. The differential is most pronounced in Melbourne where house values have surged 12.3% higher over the year compared with a 4.8% rise in unit values. ‘The higher growth rates for houses compared with units is likely to be supply related, with the underlying land component driving detached housing values higher at a time when new apartment supply has seen a substantial boost from new construction,’ Lawless said. While dwelling values continue to rise across most cities, the pace of rental growth has slipped to a new record low, which has… Continue reading
Prime central London sales up but still 32% down on a year ago
Sales in the prime central London property market increased by 21% in the second quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter but are 32% lower than a year ago, according to the latest quarterly data. Prices have fallen marginally, down 0.6% in the second quarter compared to the first three months of the year, according to the latest prime central London report from real estate firm JLL. But it explains that the sales market continues to show resilience and, although cautious, demand has recovered somewhat since the slump before the general election in May. But the Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) reform continues to have an effect on the market and buyers and sellers are still assessing the impact of these changes, particularly in the £5 million to £10 million price range. Meanwhile, the sub £2 million market has been the least affected by the election, SDLT, and mansion tax fears with prices rising 2.2% year on year. ‘While transaction levels remain low, particularly in the £3 million to £7 million sector of the prime central London market, there is undoubtedly a noticeable flight to quality,’ said Richard Barber, sales director at W.A.Ellis, part of the JLL Group . ‘Affordability issues, in the face of increased stamp duty costs, have affected purchaser confidence, but high prices per square foot are still being achieved for the most exclusive properties,’ he added. The prime central London lettings market has seen a rise in demand from tenants, while levels of supply have remained high throughout the second quarter, the report also shows. It says that London’s improved economic conditions are causing a rise in rental values, up 1% compared to the first quarter and 1.5% year on year. Overall, lettings transactions have increased by 4% in the second quarter as election uncertainties resulted in some buyers choosing to rent instead. However transactions are down 8% year on year. ‘There has been an increase in rental stock available, mainly as a result of landlords awaiting the outcome of the general election and deciding now to let instead of sell, and these higher stock levels have meant that competition between landlords has increased with properties in optimal condition letting first,’ said Lucy Morton, letting director and head of agency at W.A.Ellis. ‘This has also meant that the market has become very price sensitive with more people turning to the rental sector after being unable to secure finance or find the right property to buy,’ she added. The report concludes that overall, the outlook for the prime central sales market is one of confidence in light of the stable government and low interest rates, with prices expected to increase by 1.5% during 2015, while the lettings market will see rental values increase by around 3% with more people preferring the flexibility of renting. Continue reading
