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UK house prices up 0.3% but annual growth slows

UK house prices increased by 0.3% in August but annual growth has softened to 3.2% from 3.5%, according to the latest residential property index. The data from lender the Nationwide shows that the average price is now £195,279 and chief economist Robert Gardner said that the fall in the annual rate of growth is due to prices having increased at a particularly strong rate in August 2014. Nevertheless, the annual rate of price growth was the weakest since June 2013. ‘This month’s data provides further evidence that annual house price growth may be stabilising close to the pace of earnings growth, which has historically been around 4%,’ explained Gardner. ‘However, survey evidence cautions that this trend may not be maintained unless construction activity accelerates. Surveyors reported the lowest ever number of properties on their books in July whilst new buyer enquiries picked up,’ he added. He pointed out that UK house prices have proved remarkably resilient in recent years, certainly compared with many other developed economies. For example, UK house prices didn’t fall as far during the financial crisis, and even where they declined by a similar magnitude, UK prices generally recovered their pre-crisis levels more quickly. Indeed, UK house prices are currently around 5% above their pre-crisis levels, while prices are still well below their pre-crisis peaks in Ireland, down 38%, Spain down 36% and the Netherlands down 18%. ‘Clearly house price trends are determined by a wide range of factors, but labour market developments are amongst the most important. The strength of the UK labour market in recent years is a key reason why house prices have recovered more quickly,’ said Gardner. ‘There is a strong correlation between employment and house price growth since the financial crisis across the major developed economies. House prices remain further below their pre-crisis peaks in countries where employment is also well below pre-crisis levels,’ he explained. ‘Supply side developments also play an important role in explaining the divergence in house price performance. The UK experienced a much smaller increase in building activity in the run up to the financial crisis. As a result, there was much less of an overhang of unsold properties to be worked off in recent years,’ he added. ‘However, with UK house building running well below the expected rate of household formation in recent years and with demand for homes rising, a significant increase in construction activity is required if affordability is not to become stretched in the years ahead,’ he concluded. According to Alex Gosling, chief executive officer of online estate agents House Simple, any hope that sellers were finally returning to the market seems to have been a vain one for the time being. ‘A boost to new stock levels in June suggested that we were finally starting to see some movement from sellers, but that momentum seems to have been short lived. The General Election, which the market hoped would provide a catalyst for sellers, is long gone and… Continue reading

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Research paints a generally harmonious tenant/landlord relationship

Tenants in the UK believe that landlords are fair and helpful but there’s room for improvement on safety issues according to new research. Overall a harmonious, friendly and respectful relationship exists between landlords and tenants, with 59% of people surveyed saying they believe they pay a fair price in rent and 48% saying they have a good or very good relationship with their landlord. The research from AXA Business Insurance also shows that only 6% of tenants feel their relationship with their landlord is bad or very bad, and good will and acts of kindness are common between property owners and the people who rent from them. But it also highlights significant room for improvement when it comes to safety and security. Some 43% of landlords have failed to arrange the legally required annual gas safety check, 54% have neglected to install a fire alarm, 68% have not organised an annual electrical safety inspection, and 71% have not organised a carbon monoxide alarm. In addition, 74% of landlords have failed to put locks on all external windows and doors and 78% of landlords have not arranged a door chain or spyhole to keep their tenants secure. Despite these important oversights, people up and down the country generally paint a positive portrait of the person who owns their rented home. Some 30% of tenants most commonly describe their landlords, 23% as helpful, 20% as responsible, 19% as trustworthy and 15% as caring. In the small number of cases where the relationship is more difficult, some 2% of tenants say their landlord is creepy, 3% think they’re seedy and 3% describe them as dishonest. Some 28% of tenants say their landlord has done something ‘nice’ for them and 20% say they have done something ‘nice’ for their landlord in return. Many swap cards on special occasions, while the most common acts of kindness on the landlord’s side include gift giving, forgiving a late payment in difficult times and offering help above and beyond what might be reasonably expected in a tenant’s agreement. In return, tenants are happy to arrange small decorating or DIY jobs and even do a bit of home baking when they expect a landlord visit. And while 35% of tenants admit they’d take more care of a home they owned themselves, most make a special effort to look after the property and aim to have it clean and tidy before the landlord pops round. Cleaning floors and bathrooms, making beds, spraying air-freshener or lighting candles and taking the bins out in advance of a visit are common. Yet even those people who enjoy a positive rental experience recognise that not everyone is as lucky, and 85% agree that the government should do more to protect people who rent from private landlords. ‘There’s clearly a lot of good will between landlords and their tenants and our research shows that rental home horror stories and negative stereotypes… Continue reading

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Rents in Scotland show no rise, latest index shows

Residential rents in Scotland have begun to plateau as growth cools off in urban centres but are still at an all-time record high of £549 per month. In July there was no change in the average rent and there has been a down turn in annual growth, according to the latest buy to let index from lettings agent network Your Move. Scottish rents are now 2.8% higher than a year ago, however this slowed from 3.1% in the year to June, after a prolonged period of accelerating rent rises in the first half of the year. ‘We reached a tipping point in July. Rents in Scotland have been building to a crescendo so far in 2015, and rent rises have been quickening their step. But now we’ve reached a mid-point in the year, the rental market has clearly paused for breath,’ said Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland. ‘Tenants will be relieved for now, but only time will tell whether we’ve reached a fork in the road for the private rented sector, or whether rent growth will start to ramp up again as autumn approaches, and the age old disparity between available homes and those looking to rent rears its head again,’ he pointed out. He explained that the record rents are not necessarily found in areas where they would expect to be. ‘With the severe squeeze on housing in the cities, households are casting their nets much more widely for places to live, which is driving somewhat of a renaissance in the more affordable areas of Scotland. And rental prices are holding up a mirror to this nationwide demand for homes,’ said Moran. A regional breakdown of the figures show that rents are higher than a year ago across the country while they are at an all-time high in the East, the Highlands and Islands and the South of Scotland. The average monthly rent in the Highlands and Islands has increased at the fastest rate over the past year, up 5.4% since July 2014 to reach a record £568 per month. Compared to a year ago, the East of Scotland has witnessed a 3.8% rise, bringing the average monthly rent to a historic peak of £531. Rents in the South, while still the cheapest location in Scotland to rent, now stand at £513 per month on average, after a 2.7% rise year on year. But rent growth in Scotland’s foremost urban centres appears to be on a cooler trajectory. In Edinburgh and the Lothians the typical monthly rent is now 1.8% higher than in July 2015, while Glasgow and Clyde has witnessed a 1.7% yearly climb in rental prices. Average rents in both these regions are below past peaks. On a monthly basis, rents have increased across four of the five regions of Scotland, one fewer than last month. The only region to experience a fall in rents during July was Glasgow and Clyde, where average rents dropped 1.5% during the… Continue reading

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