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A rent freeze in London could seriously reduce number of properties available, study finds
Some 60% of London landlords would reduce the size of their property portfolios in the event of a rent freeze, new research has found. The report commissioned by the London Assembly Housing Committee carried out by the Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research (CCHPR), surveyed amateur landlords with just a few properties as well as commercial build to rent landlords and investors. CCHPR put forward six potential scenarios of rent stabilisation, from a one off rent freeze for three years, through to linking rent rises to wage rises. The study found that the majority of landlords would continue as they are if rents could only be increased in line with inflation, although 40% of participants stated that they would sell some or all of their properties if this measure was introduced. What's more, the report claims that on the whole landlords taking part are not keen to offer longer tenancies but 52% said they would be more inclined to do so if tax incentives were available for doing so. ‘Much has been said from all sides about rent controls but the debate has been sorely lacking in facts, so it's incredibly useful to have these set out in this report,’ said Tom Copley, chair of the London Assembly Housing Committee. ‘The choice is not simply between regulating rents and not regulating rents. There is no one size fits all system of rent control, with many cities around the world adopting different models. Each system has upsides and downsides,’ he explained. ‘In terms of what would work for London we need solutions that work for the millions of Londoners, especially families, in the rental sector. For families, the prospect of having to up sticks with very little notice often means disruption to many aspects of their lives, including schooling and employment,’ he added. According to David Smith, policy director for the Residential Landlords Association, it is clear that the country will need more homes to rent, if it is to address the housing crisis. ‘This report reminds us of the dangers of rent controls which would in fact reduce supply, thereby increasing rents. Rent controls would also severely reduce standards in rented housing as investment dries up,’ he said. Continue reading
Pending home sales fall across the United States, latest index shows
Pending home sales in the United States cooled in September for the second month in a row, taking them to their second lowest index reading in 2015, according to the latest index. All four major regions experienced a pullback in activity in September, the Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, from the National Association of Realtors shows. The index declined 2.3% to 106.8 in September from a slightly downwardly revised 109.3 in August but is still 3% above September 2014 when it was 103.7. With last month's decline, the index is now at its second lowest level of the year but has still increased year on year for 13 straight months. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that a combination of factors likely led to September's dip in contract signings. ‘There continues to be a dearth of available listings in the lower end of the market for first time buyers and realtors in many areas are reporting stronger competition than what's normal this time of year because of stubbornly low inventory conditions,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the rockiness in the financial markets at the end of the summer and signs of a slowing US economy may be causing some prospective buyers to take a wait and see approach,’ he added. Despite contract activity softening from the more robust levels seen earlier this year, Yun believes the housing market will still likely be one of the brighter spots in the economy in coming months. ‘With interest rates hovering around 4%, rents rising at a near eight year high, and job growth holding strong, albeit at a more modest pace than earlier this year, the overall demand for buying should stay at a healthy level despite some weakness in the overall economy,’ he added. The PHSI in the Northeast fell 4% to 89.6 in September, but is still 3.9% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index declined 2.5% to 104.7 in September, but remains 4.3% above September 2014. Pending home sales in the South decreased 2.6% to an index of 118.3 in September and are now 0.1% below last September. The index in the West inched back 0.2% in September to 104.4, but is still 6.6% above a year ago. Continue reading
Rural homes in the UK £43,490 more expensive than those in urban areas
Property prices in the countryside in the UK are, on average, £43,490 or 22% higher than in urban areas, according to the latest annual Halifax Rural Housing Review. There is a rural premium in all regions with countryside homes typically commanding a significant price premium over urban areas, although there are large variations across the country. In rural areas of West Midlands the average house price of £252,927 is £84,610 or 50% higher than in the region's urban areas at £168,317, the largest difference in the index. In the East of England, the premium is £16,806 or 6%, the smallest difference. House prices in rural areas are less affordable than in urban areas, the research also shows. The average property price in rural areas is seven times average annual earnings compared with a ratio of 5.9 in urban areas. The least affordable rural local area district is Tandridge in Surrey where the average house price of £433,932 is 10.8 times local annual average earnings of £40,266. All 10 of the least affordable rural districts in Britain are in southern England, including East Dorset where the average house price of £329,056 is 9.6 times local annual average earnings. This is followed by Purbeck in Dorset at 9.4, Mid-Sussex, Cotswold and North Devon all at 9.2. The least affordable rural district outside the south are Hambleton at 8.2 and Ryedale at 8.1, both in the North York Moors. Copeland in West Cumbria is the most affordable rural district with an average house price of £140,364 that is 3.7 times local average annual earnings of £38,367 while Chiltern is the most expensive with an average house price of £465,970. The next most expensive rural districts are Waverley in Surrey at £462,145, Tandridge and South Oxfordshire at £396,287. The average house price in Chiltern is four times higher than in East Ayrshire at £115,394 which is the least expensive rural district. Despite the higher price for buying in the countryside the gap with urban prices is narrowing, and property prices have risen more slowly in rural areas during the past five years, according to the research. Between 2010 and 2015, the average price of a home in the countryside rose by 13% compared with an average increase of 23% in urban areas. Between 2014 and 2015, the average price of a home in the countryside has risen by 5% compared with an average 8% increase in urban areas, excluding Greater London. Overall, the rural/urban premium has narrowed from 34% or £52,279 over the last decade. First time buyers account for 42% of all mortgage financed purchases in rural areas. This is significantly lower than in urban areas where first time buyers account for 54% of such purchases. Affordability difficulties are the key factor behind the lower level of first time buyers in rural areas. Due to the high level of property prices, getting on the rural property ladder is at its most challenging for first time… Continue reading
