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Existing sales fall in October in the United States
Existing home sales in the United States fell by 3.4% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million from 5.55 million in September, the latest data shows. All four major regions of the country saw no gains in sales. However, despite the decline sales are still 3.9% above a year ago at 5.16 million, the figures from the National Association of Realtors also show. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, the sales cooldown in October was likely given the pullback in contract signings in the previous couple of months. ‘New and existing home supply has struggled to improve so far this fall, leading to few choices for buyers and no easement of the ongoing affordability concerns still prevalent in some markets,’ he said. ‘Furthermore, the mixed signals of slowing economic growth and volatility in the financial markets slightly tempered demand and contributed to the decreasing pace of sales,’ he pointed out. ‘As long as solid job creation continues, a gradual easing of credit standards even with moderately higher mortgage rates should support steady demand and sales continuing to rise above a year ago,’ he added. The median existing home price for all housing types in October was $219,600, which is 5.8% above October 2014 when it was $207,500). October's price increase marks the 44th consecutive month of year on year gains. The data also shows that total housing inventory at the end of October decreased 2.3% to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, and is now 4.5% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 4.8 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.7 months in September. The share of first time buyers increased to 31% in October, up from 29% both in September and a year ago. NAR's annual Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, released earlier this month, show that the annual share of first time buyers fell to its second lowest level since the survey began in 1981. All-cash sales were 24% of transactions in October which was unchanged from September and down from 27% a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 13% of homes in October, unchanged from September but down from 15% a year ago. Some 62% of investors paid cash in October. Distressed sales, foreclosures and short sales, declined to 6% in October, which is the lowest since NAR began tracking them in October 2008 and own from 9% a year ago. Some 5% of October sales were foreclosures and 1% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 18% below market value in October, up from 17% in September, while short sales were discounted 8% compared to 19% in September. ‘All-cash and investor sales are still somewhat elevated historically despite the diminishing number of distressed properties. With supply already meagre at the lower end of the price range, competition from these buyers only adds to the list of obstacles in the… Continue reading
Property prices in Ireland now growing faster outside of Dublin, latest data shows
Residential property prices are increasing more than twice as fast outside Dublin than in the capital as people continue to be squeezed out of Ireland’s largest housing market, the latest index suggests. Indeed, prices in Dublin increased by 1% in October and are up 4.5% year on year but this is the lowest annual rate of inflation since the middle of 2013, according to the data from the Central Statistics Office. Outside of Dublin property prices were up 2.1% month on month and 10.7% year on year as the market catches up with that of the main city. It was the highest rise outside of Dublin since October 2014. A breakdown of the figures shows that Dublin house prices rose by 1% in October whilst Dublin apartment prices increased by 0.8%. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. It means that at a national level residential property prices were 33.5% lower than their peak level in 2007. Dublin house prices were 33% lower than their peak, Dublin apartment prices were 40.2% lower than their peak and Dublin residential property prices overall were 34.9% lower than their highest level. Outside of Dublin residential property prices were 36.3% lower than their highest level in 2007. Property consultants Savills said it is not surprised that house price growth in Dublin has slowed sharply. However John McCartney, director of Research at Savills, believes this is more due to a technical base effect than to any material slowdown in recent months. ‘In the month of October last year, Dublin prices rose by a staggering 3%. This feat would have to be repeated in October 2015 for the annual rate of price growth to hold at its current 6.5%. This is highly unlikely, and as a result, the annual growth rate will be dragged lower,’ he said. He warned against reading too much into the figures. ‘The slowdown will undoubtedly attract headlines. But it will really say more about what was happening in the market last year than what is going on today,’ he explained. ‘The frenzied activity we saw 12 months ago as buyers rushed to avail of tax breaks and more lenient lending practices has gone. But agents are reporting steady transactions and robust prices, particularly in the €400,000 to €650,000 price range where competition is hottest,’ he concluded, adding that Savills expects annual price growth by the end of the year in Dublin to be around 5%. Continue reading
Sau Paulo has the highest property taxes for real estate investors
As the rate of price growth slows in many global city markets, transaction costs and taxation are becoming increasingly important considerations for investors, a new analysis suggests. With slower price growth forecast in a number of prime city markets, investors are looking more closely at the cost side of the investment equation, according to the report from international real estate firm Knight Frank. While there may be a number of factors behind the choice of location, the research shows that the tax burden across the cities in this report varies considerably both in amount and extent. The tax costs range from as low as 3.5% or 3.6% of the property price in year five in Monaco and Dubai respectively, to over 30% in Sao Paulo. Despite encompassing a wide variety of cities and policies, a number of common themes and trends have arisen throughout the research. For example, in some cities, most notably in Geneva and in Mumbai, there are significant legal restrictions for non-residents who wish to purchase property so it is important to consider these before an investment decision is made. In some jurisdictions, the tax costs are represented primarily by acquisition taxes, notably in Monaco and Dubai, while in most other jurisdictions, tax costs usually comprise acquisition duties payable when purchasing the property; wealth or yearly taxes when holding the property; taxes on rental income, and taxes on disposal of the property, including tax on gains and/or duties at the point of the sale of the property. While in some countries the relative/percentage tax costs are almost equal for both US$1 million and US$10 million properties, in others the tax costs of holding the US$10 million property are almost double those for US$1 million property, the report points out. ‘Finally, it is important to note that some taxes, such as inheritance/gift taxes have not been taken into account in this analysis. Nor were home country taxes. Moreover, we have assumed that investors purchase in their personal name but that might not necessarily be the most efficient from a host or investment country’s tax perspective,’ the report says. However, overall property costs remain largely the same for both a $1 million and $10 million property in many cities such as Sao Paulo, Mumbai and Geneva whilst others see a significant reduction in percentage terms at the $10 million level such as New York and Paris. Reviewing the tax costs across the 15 main cities shows that taxation is highest in Sao Paulo, at both the US$1 million and US$10 million levels, where investors are taxed at 31.5% of the sale value at year five. Hong Kong and Sydney also rank highly. An investor purchasing a US$1 million property in Hong Kong is taxed 22.4%, whilst at the US$10 million level investors in Sydney are taxed 26.0%, in both cases as a percentage of year five price. Monaco offers non-resident investors the lowest rate of tax at 3.5% as a percentage of… Continue reading
