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Home building starts in England up 6% in 2015, but planning system sluggish
More than 143,500 new homes were started in England last year, up 6% year on year, nearly double the low point of 2008 and the highest level since 2008, but concerns remain over slowness of planning system. The figures from the Department for Communities and Local Government also show that in the final quarter of 2015 some 37,080 homes were started, a rise of 23% on the same quarter a year earlier and up 91% when compared to June 2009. Completions for the fourth quarter of 2015 are estimated at 37,230, some 6% higher than the previous quarter and up 22% on the same quarter in 2014. Annual housing completions totalled 142,890 in the 12 months to December 2015, an increase of 21% compared with the previous 12 months. Seasonally adjusted starts are now 116% above the trough in the first quarter of 2009 but 24% below the peak in the first quarter of 2007. Completions are 23% below their peak also in the first quarter of 2007. It means both starts and completions for new build homes are at their highest level since 2008 with more than 700,000 new build homes started since April 2010. Meanwhile, the latest figures from the Home Builders Federation show planning permission for 59,875 homes was granted in England during the third quarter of last year, up from 53,409 in the same quarter in 2014, a 12% rise. The data also shows that 242,819 permissions were granted in the 12 months to October, the highest moving annual total since early 2008. However, many of the homes identified in the report still have a significant part of the planning system to navigate before any construction work can start, a process that could still take two or three years. ‘Our reforms to the planning system are delivering the permissions needed and schemes like Help to Buy have given builders the confidence to invest and build, with starts and completions now at their highest since 2008,’ said Communities Secretary Greg Clark. A breakdown of the figures show strong regional growth with Cambridgeshire, Northamptonshire and Leicestershire experiencing high levels of starts along with areas in North Oxfordshire and the Thames estuary. The current projection is to deliver a million new homes by 2020/2021 and Housing Minister Brandon Lewis pointed out that proposals published last week will speed up the planning process. They include dedicated fast track application services. However, the industry remains concerned that the lag of turning permissions into homes is becoming lengthier and the HBF hopes that the planning proposals will have an effect as it says that efficient planning is the best way to ensure that local people have an early say in the future shape of their communities and are able to benefit from the wealth of social and economic benefits that house building brings with it. ‘The house building industry has delivered an unprecedented increase in build rates over the past two years. The largest companies have… Continue reading
Existing home sales in the United States are 11% higher than a year ago
Existing home sales in the United States crept up in January to the highest annual rate in six months, and sales are now 11% higher than a year ago. The data from the National Association of Realtors shows that the West was the only region to see a decline in sales in January after a nationwide rise of 0.4% compared to December. The median existing home price for all housing types in January was $213,800, up 8.2% from January 2015, the largest rise since April 2015 and the 47th consecutive month of year on year gains. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it was the largest year on year gain since July 2013. ‘The housing market has shown promising resilience in recent months, but home prices are still rising too fast because of ongoing supply constraints,’ he pointed out. ‘Despite the global economic slowdown, the housing sector continues to recover and will likely help the US economy avoid a recession,’ he added. Total housing inventory at the end of January increased 3.4% to 1.82 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 2.2% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a four month supply at the current sales pace, up slightly from 3.9 months in December 2015. ‘The spring buying season is right around the corner and current supply levels aren't even close to what's needed to accommodate the subsequent growth in housing demand. Home prices ascending near or above double digit appreciation aren't healthy, especially considering the fact that household income and wages are barely rising,’ Yun explained. The share of first time buyers remained at 32% in January for the second consecutive month and is up from 28% a year ago. First time buyers in all of 2015 represented an average of 30%, up from 29% in both 2014 and 2013. All cash sales were 26% of transactions in January, up from 24% in December 2015 but down from 27% a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 17% of homes in January compared to 15% in December 2015, matching the highest share since last January. Some 67% of investors paid cash in January. Properties typically stayed on the market for 64 days in January, an increase from 58 days in December but below the 69 days in January 2015. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 77 days in January, while foreclosures sold in 57 days and non-distressed homes took 61 days and 32% of homes sold in January were on the market for less than a month. Distressed sales, that is foreclosures and short sales, rose slightly to 9% in January, up from 8% in December but down from 11 a year ago. Some 7% of January sales were foreclosures and 2% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 13% below market value in January compared to 16% in December, while short… Continue reading
Supply of homes to rent falls in UK as demand rises
The supply of rental accommodation in the UK is the lowest since records began a year ago, while demand for accommodation rose slightly in January 2015, the latest data shows. After a period of gentle decline, the number of properties registered per letting agent branch dropped by 5% to 172 in January, some 10 fewer than in December, according to the report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). A breakdown of the figures shows that supply in Scotland stands above the national average, with 280 properties available per member branch, while the supply of rental properties in London is 59% with only 116 properties per branch. However, London has seen a slight increase in the number of properties available over the last month, rising from 108 in December 2015. Demand for rental accommodation picked up in January following a seasonal lull in December, with an average of 31 prospective tenants now registered per branch. However, it has not returned to the high levels reported in January and February last year, when there were 38 and 40 tenants registered per branch respectively. In line with growing demand, the number of agents reporting rent increases for tenants increased in January, with 30% reporting an increase in rent, the highest since September 2015. ‘Supply of housing continues to be a problem and tenants bear the brunt of this with more people competing for properties at higher prices. The majority of tenants find that it is impossible to save very much at the end of the month to put towards buying their own home,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. He pointed out that ARLA’s recent Cost of Renting report found that a fifth of those renting in the UK do not expect to ever be able to afford to buy a home, and unless we act soon to build more properties, this number will only get higher. The report also reveals that 63% of ARLA members think the Chancellor’s stamp duty reforms for buy to let properties will push landlords out of the market, which will in turn cause supply to drop further and 58% believe the reforms will push up rent costs. However, 47% of ARLA agents reported that they have seen an uplift in interest from buyers looking to invest in buy to let properties before the 01 April, a rise from 24% from last month. ‘A few weeks into the new year and the April deadline for the stamp duty surcharge is looming and interest from buyers looking to invest in buy to let properties and beat the deadline is ramping up,’ said Cox. ‘The final details of the new tax will be revealed at the Budget in March but we are not expecting to see the Government back down on this policy. The findings from our members echo our concerns that efforts to penalise… Continue reading
