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Initial planning permission for new homes in England rise steeply
Initial planning permission for 255,032 new homes was granted in England in 2015, up 57% from a low point of 162,204 in 2009, according to the latest pipeline report. Permissions granted in the fourth quarter of 2015 were up 13% on the same quarter in 2014, to 74,759, as developers submitted more applications to ensure they can continue to deliver further increases in supply. The report from the Home Builders Federation (HBF) and Glenigan also shows that permissions have risen steadily every year since 2009, with actual housing supply also increasingly markedly over the past two years as more of the permissions are progressed to the point that infrastructure work can start and house builders can begin building new dwellings Over 180,000 new homes were added to the housing stock in 2014/2015, up 22% on the previous year as house builders increased output in response to the rise in demand for new homes. However, many of the permissions counted in the report still have many hurdles to cross, the report points out as builders and developers navigate the complexities of the planning system before actual building work can get underway, for example discharging planning conditions. The industry continues to urge Government to streamline the planning process and ensure local authorities have the capacity to deal with the volume of applications now being processed so builders can get on to more sites more quickly. The figures though are a strong indicator of future supply, and suggest that housing completions will continue to rise as these permissions are turned into implementable permission and are the sites built out over the coming years. ‘The number of planning applications now being submitted demonstrates the commitment of the industry to deliver further increases in housing supply,’ said Stewart Baseley, executive chairman of the HBF. ‘The past two years have seen huge increases in house building levels. Whilst the increase in the number of permissions is welcome, and a strong indicator of future supply, many still have to navigate the complexities of the planning system,’ he explained. ‘This is a further sign that house builders continue to step up investment in future housing supply but we need to see these permissions being processed to the stage where we can get onto site and start building more quickly and really start to meet demand for housing,’ he added. According to Allan Wilén, economics director and head of business market intelligence at Glenigan, the strong rise in planning approvals during the closing months of 2015 was driven by an increase in the number of private housing units approved, bodes well for house building activity during the current year. ‘The expanded development pipeline will help housebuilders to meet any strengthening in demand from house buyers. Furthermore the rise marked rise in approvals in the Midlands and North of England last year demonstrates that the recovery in housing market activity is becoming more established across the country,’ he added. Proposals announced earlier this year by the… Continue reading
Residential rental stock falls in UK
The supply of rental housing stock on letting agents’ books in the UK fell in March, to the lowest level since the start of last year, the latest data shows. Demand also dropped in March, according to the March private rental sector report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). ARLA agents had 33 prospective tenants registered per branch on average, down 11% from 37 in February. This stands below the figure recorded in March last year when agents registered 36 on average. Supply has also fallen year on year. In March 2015, the average number of properties managed per branch was 192, which is down 12 per cent this year with just 169 rental properties managed per branch, the lowest level since records began in January 2015. It’s a brighter picture in Scotland, where agents had on average 273 properties on their books, and Yorkshire and Humberside, where 207 properties were recorded on average per branch. In London however, agents had just 122 properties on their books per branch. In March 65% of ARLA agents predicted that current and prospective buy to let landlords will walk away from the market following the April stamp duty changes, causing a decrease in the supply of rental properties. Rent costs rose in March for 32% of tenants and 61% of ARLA members fear they will increase further as a result of the changes, a growing sentiment since last month when 57% of agents agreed on this. ‘We don’t expect falling supply to stop here. The recent stamp duty changes are very likely to cause supply to decrease even further, as landlords withdraw from the market,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘Not only do our agents predict that rent costs will increase further, but rental homes may also face a decline in quality over time, as landlords struggle to keep up with maintenance costs alongside the higher stamp duty charge,’ he explained. ‘Whilst landlords adjust to the increase in costs we can expect to see one of three outcomes prevailing in the buy to let market: landlords absorbing the cost and taking the hit; landlords withdrawing from the market causing supply to fall; or landlords regaining those costs through hiking rents. Next month we can start to assess the damage,’ he added. Continue reading
US pending home sales up for 19 months in a row
Pending home sales in the United States increased slightly in March for the second consecutive month and reached their highest level in almost a year, according to the latest index. The Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, increased by 1.4% in March and is now 1.4% above March 2015. It means that after the slight gain, the index has increased year on year for 19 consecutive months and is at its highest reading since May 2015 and Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it signals a solid beginning to the spring buying season. ‘Despite supply deficiencies in plenty of areas, contract activity was fairly strong in a majority of markets in March. This spring’s surprisingly low mortgage rates are easing some of the affordability pressures potential buyers are experiencing and are taking away some of the sting from home prices that are still rising too fast and above wage growth,’ he explained. He also pointed out that in the short term, the healthy labour market and favourable borrowing costs should lead to sustained buyer demand and a durable pace of sales. However, Yun he believes that the consequences from a failure to construct more single family homes in recent years are starting to impact some top job producing markets, where endless supply shortages continue to limit choices for buyers and are driving up prices beyond what a growing share of households can comfortably afford. ‘Demand is starting to weaken in some areas, particularly in the West, where the median home price has risen an astonishing 38% in the past three years. As a result, pending sales in the region have now declined in four of the last five months and are lower than one year ago for the third month in a row. Closed sales in the region in March were also below last year’s pace,’ Yun said. A breakdown of the figures show that the index in the Northeast increased 3.2% and is now 18.4% above a year ago while in the Midwest the index inched up 0.2% but is now 4% above March 2015. Pending home sales in the South rose 3% but are still 0.6% lower than last March and the index in the West declined 1.8% in March and is now 7.9% below a year ago. Continue reading
