Tag Archives: london
European Residential Property Investment Attracts Global Rich
25 August 2013, 07:16 PM Greek, Nigerian and French buyers are joining wealthy Chinese, Russian and Middle Easterners targeting European residential property, in particular new luxury developments in central London. In southern Europe meanwhile, the offer of residency permits is attracting new capital, particularly from Asia, to support suffering housing markets and economies. Foreign investors have snapped up 65-70% of new homes in prime London locations over the last two years, according to property consultancy Chesterton Humberts. That appetite, primarily from China, Russia and Mid East – drawn by the capital’s shopping and rich lifestyle – has helped push new-build home prices up by 56.3% since the start of 2009. The buyers are however increasingly targeting the homes for investment, and are now being joined by buyers from Greece, Nigeria and France looking to protect their wealth from taxes and political uncertainty in their home countries. International buyers spent £2.2bn on new luxury London residential last year, a figure that Samuel Warren, Chesterton Humberts’ head of international residential developments, expects will be exceeded this year. Large new projects, such as the redevelopment of Battersea power station, are helping drive the market. “With demand for prime new build properties set to remain robust and new supply struggling to keep up, we expect investment volumes will be higher this year than last. The relative weakness of sterling means that many overseas buyers can achieve discounts on purchase price whilst acquiring an asset that will almost certainly appreciate considerably .. and which they will have little difficulty in selling.” However, political opposition to London ‘buy-to-leave’ properties is growing, amid fears that workers on lower wages will be pushed out of central districts, and local economies will suffer. Barbara Grahame, Labour’s planning spokesperson for Westminster borough council, said parts of Westminster are turning in to a ghost town. “More ‘buy-to-leave’ luxury apartments are being built and sold as investments for overseas buyers who rarely live there, sucking the life out the West End and contributing nothing to the local community or local economy.” Around Europe, the focus on London as a safe haven comes as some troubled nations ease residency requirements to attract wealthy foreigners to buy property and re-stimulate their housing markets and economies. Spain changed legislation in July to grant residency visas to non-EU nationals spending more than €500,000 on property, a move that grants them free access across the European Union. It follows Portugal, which has also set the same threshold, and Greece and Cyprus at a minimum €250,000 and €300,000 respectively. International investment in Spanish property grew to almost €5.5bn in 2012, according to the Bank of Spain, driven by buyers from Scandinavia and Russia. The change in legislation is expected to drive more interest from Asia and push investment levels past 2012. But some commentators offer stark predictions for the country’s housing market. Angel Serrano, the head of Madrid-based property consultancy Aguirre Newman, said recently residential property prices need to fall by another 20%-25% for housing to become affordable for Spanish workers. pie Continue reading
‘We Can Produce Our Own Power Or Depend On Russia And The Middle East’: Drax Boss’s Blunt Message To Protesters As She Backs Fracking
By VICKI OWEN, FINANCIAL MAIL ON SUNDAY PUBLISHED: 22:18, 24 August 2013 Target: Dorothy Thompson has faced green protests Power giant Drax’s chief executive, Dorothy Thompson, reckons burning wood for light and heat is as old as time – and it’s hardly fracking, so why all the protests? The Drax power station in North Yorkshire is the UK’s biggest single emitter of carbon dioxide, but Thompson’s plan to turn its fuel from coal to biomass – wood-based pellets – has made environmentalists see red. Drax is the largest coal-fired power station in Western Europe and produces about 7 per cent of UK electrical consumption – enough for six cities the size of Leeds. But campaigners argue that it is a myth that biomass is a low-carbon process and its large-scale use for power generation is sustainable, claiming it leads to the destruction of forests. Drax’s annual meeting was targeted in April by protesters chanting ‘Drax, Drax, what do you say? How many trees have you killed today?’and carrying ‘Drax the Destroyer!’ banners. Thompson remains unfazed, proudly recalling the moment a few months ago when, in the Starship Enterprise-like control room of the power station, her ‘Project Phoenix’ staff flicked the switch that made one unit of the station run solely on biomass for the first time. ‘It was the culmination of ten years of research, development and analysis, and it started beautifully. I mean very smoothly. It is as old as time to burn wood to generate energy.’ Drax’s critics, she says, just don’t see the full picture. ‘I think controversial might be the wrong word for biomass. I think it is counter-intuitive. And, certainly, when we started it wasn’t the route I thought we’d go down. The Drax power station in North Yorkshire (pictured) is the UK’s biggest single emitter of carbon dioxide ‘It is one of those classic cases where you really have to understand the data. People who haven’t understood the data sometimes come to what I would suggest is the wrong conclusion. When we burn biomass we get about 80 per cent carbon savings relative to coal and we really do calculate the carbon cost all the way along the chain. ‘There are only two ways you can reduce carbon emissions: either improve your efficiency so you use less fuel for the same output or change what you burn. ‘Well, we’ve invested more than £100million in improving our efficiency and we’re pretty well at the technical limit. So in parallel we’ve been working on burning this renewable fuel, which is biomass.’ The vast majority of it is imported from the US, and Drax is two months into building huge processing facilities there. Thompson describes biomass as the ‘residues, leftovers and low-value products of agriculture and forestry’. She says: ‘The UK is really quite a small island and it doesn’t have that much forestry and agriculture, and it certainly doesn’t have enough to produce low-value biomass, so the vast majority we burn we import from the US, which has a vibrant commercial forestry industry.’ Huge quantities of biomass will be stored in four large domes – each 30 per cent bigger than the Royal Albert Hall. Indeed, everything about Drax is big: the company has just unveiled a new 62ft-long railway wagon, the largest sealed wagon in the UK, 200 of which are being produced for transporting biomass to Drax. Starship enterprise: The futuristic control room that runs the biomass operation Despite the protests, Drax’s conversion to biomass is on course: ‘We’re hoping to convert the next unit next summer and the third in 2016 and we’re beginning to design plans for a conversion of the fourth. It is ‘‘wow’’. It has never been done at this scale before – all new.’ Thompson’s first experience of the power sector came from funding an independent power project in the Philippines. Now the former banker, who is married with two children, divides her time between a ‘very low-carbon house’ in London with solar panels and ground-sourced heating, a York home nearer to the power station, along with trips to the Ipswich-based retail business, Haven Power, and America. She admits she knew nothing about biomass before joining Drax in 2005, but claims the Government is supportive. ‘It has put significant investment into understanding the detail of biomass and is going to be the first in the EU to produce mandatory sustainability standards for biomass,’ she says. When it comes to national energy policy, she believes the Coalition is right to keep its options open. ‘It is driving policy to create capacity, to essentially ensure you always have sufficient supply to meet demand. ‘People care a lot about security of power supply, so I think they will support it because they want to have electricity to light their homes and power their washing machines.’ Thompson can take some comfort, perhaps, that Drax is not involved in fracking, which has led to large environmental protests at Balcombe in West Sussex. ‘We have a source of wealth [shale] for the country, and we can either neglect it and import from where we are importing – Russia, the Middle East – or we can choose to develop it. It’s our choice,’ she says. Thompson believes her business has the support of the broader community. ‘One of the things I think is really stunning is the support we have from the local community,’ she says. They’ve been absolutely fantastic. It’s a big construction, there are villages behind us, but there’s been nothing. No complaints. Nothing. ‘We try to be as responsible as we can. But you’d think someone would say something. I’m really, impressed. We’ve had no nimbyism at all.’ A huge new plant that ‘captures’ CO2 and stores it deep under the seabed The downside is that CCS plants demand more energy to work properly It sounds like the answer to a previously insoluble problem: coal-burning power stations belching out carbon dioxide could divert the fumes into a massive pipe to be stored under the seabed. It is called carbon capture and storage, and Drax Power, Alstom and BOC have formed a consortium to develop the White Rose Project on land next to to the Drax power station. The consortium is seeking funding from the Government and the European Union for the project, which will be a 426MW new-build power plant that could burn coal together with biomass, producing enough power to meet the needs of more than 630,000 homes. Drax says 90 per cent of all carbon dioxide produced by the plant will be captured and transported by pipes underneath Yorkshire for permanent storage beneath the North Sea seabed in depleted oil and gas fields. The downside is that CCS plants demand more energy to work properly, while the technology has yet to be produced on a truly industrial scale. Nevertheless, a US study reckoned America had enough storage capacity for 900 years worth of carbon dioxide at current production rates. The Drax consortium, one of two preferred bidders, is in discussions with the Government for funds to conduct a study, lasting about 18 months. A final investment decision will be taken by the Government in early 2015. 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Emerging Markets Have Farther To Fall
Kenneth Rapoza , Contributor INVESTING | 8/20/2013 Emerging Markets Have Farther To Fall Emerging market investors worried about this guy: Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing policy. The market will get a better sense of so-called “tapering” of QE in the FOMC meeting minutes due out on Wednesday. Barclays Capital expects more pain for emerging market equity and bonds, in the meantime. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife) The emerging markets have farther to fall and they can lay the blame on Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve for their sad-sack performance over the last several days. On Tuesday, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM) was trading slightly lower following Monday’s 1.86% drop. Will investors buy on the lows? Of course they will. But is this a market ripe for deeper corrections? It sure is, says Barclays BCS +0.34% Capital analyst Koon Chow in London. Risky assets continue to be weighed down by rising rates in the U.S. Ten year Treasury bonds are now yielding 2.83%. In London trading hours this morning, European equities followed the downbeat tone in Asian markets. Meanwhile, high yielding currencies like the Brazilian real are bearing the brunt in the forex markets. And it’s not over yet. This underperformance is likely to continue as the starting point of Fed tapering nears, said Chow in his daily note to clients today. Right now, all eyes are on the Fed Open Market Committee Meeting (FOMC) minutes coming out on Wednesday. The risk associated with the FOMC minutes is whether the Fed has begun discussing a possible change in its threshold rate for unemployment as a means of continuing its QE program. Remember, Bernanke said that he would not step on the break of quantitative easing until unemployment levels were comfortably below 7%, or at the very least, trending downward. Unemployment has been trending downward, but at a slower pace. Any discussion of a move away from waiting for lower unemployment will likely to be viewed as a dovish surprise by the market and may lead to a near-term rally for global bonds. Equities would also bounce. The noticeable lack of a broad dollar rally, despite the sharp moves against high yield currencies, suggests that the market may already be positioning for such an announcement. One of the problems right now with emerging market investing is fund managers are allocating out of them faster than anyone expected. The positioning in emerging markets is still problematic, said Chow, although arguably slightly less negative in equities than in fixed income where global institutional and retail positions are still large. This would suggest that there can be some asymmetry in emerging markets in the months ahead, with greater risks of disruptive moves in fixed income than in equities. Fund managers do not want to be caught holding the same positions, with the same weighting post-QE as they were during QE. This is driving the bulk of the moves in the market these days. Meanwhile, the investment patterns in developed markets seems different. While in emerging, investors have had asset allocation shifts that look more like “risk reduction”, developed market positioning is suggestive of only the early stages of the great rotation out of fixed income to equities, Barclays’ Chow said. The stock of cumulative retail inflows (as opposed to institutional) to developed market equities since early 2009 is actually negative. But institutional investors have not seen such a radical exit from their emerging equity positions. Since the financial crisis, the cumulative position of retail investment into developed market equity mutual funds is still negative ($239 billion less), but it has been offset by large institutional flow into the market ($364 billion), according to Cambridge, Mass. based fund trackers EPFR Global. EFPR Global data also shows that investment outflow from emerging markets is suggestive of broader risk reduction. Investors in retail funds have nearly completed their exit from emerging. They have also reduced their bond holdings by about 25% from multi-year highs in May. The flows from institutional funds, by contrast, have been “stickier”, said Chow, and sold in moderate amounts of both equities and debt since late May. “Although the institutional investors’ decisions should be more long-term focused and therefore naturally less likely to exit, the fact that they have not reduced their positions significantly is an unhelpful positioning technical and they may need to see a further drop in prices to buy,” Chow said. He expects more volatility, and downside risks. Technically speaking, emerging equity looks better than bonds given the considerably more advanced overall exit by both retail and institutional at this point, Chow said. A look at the assets wealthy investors assumed would return the most for their portfolios this year. Continue reading




