Tag Archives: london
Industrial building driving UK construction growth, latest RICS survey shows
Industrial building is driving construction growth in the UK and the country’s office and industrial sector rents are expected to rise as their fastest rate since 1998 in the last quarter of 2014. Indeed, the UK has seen a sixth consecutive quarterly fall in office space availability nationwide with the decline at its fastest pace since the late 1990s according to the latest Commercial Market Survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). It also shows that the rise in transactions of commercial properties being sold with Permitted Development Rights (PDR) appears to be compounding the lack of availability, with two thirds of respondents to the survey suggesting that if PDR exemptions are not extended then availability of commercial properties will be impacted further. In London, 20% of respondents said PDR transactions had led to more than 10% of available commercial properties being earmarked for conversion into residential use and a net balance of 51% of surveyors reported a rise in demand for office, industrial and retail space. Across the whole of the UK, 32% more surveyors said availability across office, retail and industrial properties had fallen, while demand had risen to a net balance of 44%. RICS says it is significant that demand for industrial property grew on the previous quarter from a net balance of 49% in the second quarter to 56% in the third quarter and surveyors in London also saw a large rise in prospective overseas investors in the industrial sector of 73%. The picture across the UK appears increasingly upbeat, with the firmer tone spreading beyond the capital as the economic expansion gains greater traction. This is being reflected in rental expectations which are now in positive territory in all parts of the country in the office and industrial sectors. Retail remains something of a laggard with a flatter rental trend away from the more dynamic parts of the market. For the next 12 months a net balance of 71% surveyors are forecasting an increase in rent levels in London across all segments of the market, compared to 36% in the North of England. ‘The third quarter results provide further evidence that the economic expansion is becoming more broadly based with tenant demand for space picking up in all parts of the country and the need for landlords to provide inducements diminishing,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist . ‘There are also now clear signs that investors are casting their nets wider in a bid to find better value in the market following the steep drop in yields on prime property in the capital,’ he added. He also pointed out that while permitted development rights is helping in a small way to boost much needed housing supply, the latest survey suggests that it is also having the unintended consequence of contributing towards a shortfall of office space in some parts of the country. ‘Feedback from members suggests that this is particularly marked in London and adding to the upward pressure on rents. Moreover, there is… Continue reading
Australian housing market weaker outside of larges cities, latest index suggests
Residential property values across Australia’s capital cities increased by 1% over the month of October, according to the latest RP Data CoreLogic index. The data highlights that despite a slowdown in growth in September, values continued to rise, increasing by 2.2% over the past three months. Although combined capital city home values were up by 1% not all cities saw increases. Only Sydney with an increase of 1.3%, Melbourne up 1.9% and Brisbane at 0.6% actually recorded value rises over the month. According to Tim Lawless, head of research, this result highlights weaker housing market conditions outside of Australia’s largest cities. Looking over the past three months Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide, which happen to be four of the five largest capital cities, were the only capital cities to record an increase in home values. Sydney leads the growth with home values increasing at a rate of more than 1% a month, up 3.9% over the past three months. Lawless said that Perth and Canberra have clearly moved through the peak of their growth cycles. However, the greatest value falls over the last three months were recorded in Hobart with a decline of 2.8% and Canberra where values were down 2.4%. ‘Looking at the increase in home values over the 12 months to October, it is clear that the rate of capital growth is continuing to moderate. Despite the annual rate of value growth slowing, all capital cities have still recorded an increase in home values over the past year,’ said Lawless, He pointed out that home values across the combined capital cities have increased by 8.9% over the 12 months ending October 2014, which has slowed from a peak of 11.5% in April of this year. Sydney, and to a lesser degree Melbourne, continued to be the main drivers of the increase in home values. Over the past year, Sydney home values were 13.1% higher, while Melbourne values were up 8.9%. Brisbane was the third best performing capital city for value growth over the year with values up 5.6% followed by Darwin where values rose by 5%. Elsewhere, value growth was more subdued with increases of 3.4% in Perth, 4.3% in Adelaide, 4.4% in Hobart and 0.9% in Canberra. ‘Despite the fact that the annual increase in home values is slowing, other indicators remain strong,’ added Lawless. Auction clearance rates continued to hover around the 70% mark week to week while volumes across RP Data real estate agent and valuation platforms remained strong which is indicative of heightened levels of industry and mortgage market activity. The number of new properties listed for sale continues to rise as are total listing numbers. However, Lawless said that the fairly rapid rate of sale is resulting in a slower increase in total listings than new listings. Conditions across capital city rental markets remained subdued, with weekly rents rising by only 1.8% over the past 12 months, the lowest annual change in capital city rents since the year ending August 2003. According to Lawless, the consistent… Continue reading
Prime central London rental values up for eighth month in a row
Rental values in prime central London rose for the eighth successive month in October, recovering to a level last seen two years ago, the latest index report shows. Rental values climbed 0.5% in October as the UK economic recovery strengthened and yields saw the strongest improvement in three years, according to the report from Knight Frank. Annual growth was 2.6%, the highest rate since December 2011 and in the third quarter of 2014 tenancies agreed rose by a quarter while tenancies started increased by a third. Rental yields rose to 2.9%, recording the biggest monthly gain in more than three years, the report also reveals. It explains how in October 2012, rental values were at the early stage of a shallow decline that took place against the background of a tepid economy and a strong sales market. Now the International Monetary Fund has forecast that UK economic growth will outpace other developed countries in 2014 and at the same time demand in the sales market shown signs of cooling ahead of next May’s general election and uncertainty surrounding the possibility of a mansion tax. ‘With UK economic data remaining mixed, the prime central London rental market is still not in full-blown recovery mode,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research. ‘Though the number of new prospective tenants and viewings rose in October compared to the same month last year, the number of tenancies started is likely to end the month down, which reflects the hesitant nature of the recovery,’ he added. He pointed out that the positive IMF forecast should be balanced against data from accountant Ernst & Young that showed the number of profit warnings issued by UK companies between July and September was the highest in the period for six years. ‘In a further move that may dampen demand in the short term, mortgage lenders have cut rates as the likelihood of an imminent interest rate rise recedes. Lenders are also attempting to bolster their loan books after a slower period that followed the introduction of stricter lending criteria earlier this year,’ said Bill. ‘In positive news for investors, rental yields recorded their biggest monthly increase in more than three years, rising to 2.9% in October. Also, the spread between prime central London yields and the so-called risk free rate of a 10 year government bond has widened notably in recent months,’ he added. Continue reading
