Tag Archives: london
UK house prices predicted to rise by 6% in first quarter of 2015
UK house prices are predicted to rise by up to 6% in the first quarter of 2015 but then start slowing as the May general election approaches, according to one forecast. Prices could even start to drop by around 2% in the last half of the year and it could be a worse scenario if the current opposition Labour party wins, says the prediction report from low cost online estate agents Hatched. Hatched also predicts growth to continue at somewhere around 4% to 5% in 2015, whilst warning home owners to be prepared for a rocky spell around April, May and June, with the uncertainty that a general election inevitably brings. According to Adam Day, the firm’s managing director, a Labour victory in May could potentially have a hugely disruptive effect on the property market as the party is known for surprising voters with unexpected measures and excessive red tape. He pointed out that the last Labour win led to the introduction of Home Information Packs which then had to be scrapped. ‘The way they were introduced wasn't thought through. The government announced the specific date that HIPs were to become a legal requirement, which led to hundreds of thousands of home owners rushing to put their house on the market in an attempt to avoid the cost and bureaucracy associated with their production,’ he explained. ‘It was this slapdash strategy, which consequently led to an oversupply of properties that brought on the beginnings of the crash in 2008,’ he added. Interest rates are also expected to rise in 2015, although for many home owners it will not have a huge impact. But it is likely to affect first time buyers who tend to spend a higher percentage of their income on home costs. However, Hatched expects interest rate rises to be a contributor to the slowdown for the housing market in the final half of the year. Day also expects there to be a significant reduction in high street agents. ‘Many agents will have over staffed themselves this year because it has been so busy, so when the property market does begin to slow in the middle of the year, they will have over extended themselves,’ he suggested. He believes that 2015 will see online estate agencies continue to prosper and traditional agents who decide to join the online revolution and thus respond to customer demand by driving efficiencies with the aim of lowering their fees, should also enjoy success and stand out in a market which is likely to get tougher as the year progresses. Continue reading
Landlords facing serious court delays on evictions due to cuts
Under resourced county courts in England are exasperated by the number of possession claims being put forward, resulting in costly delays for landlords, it is claimed. According to tenant eviction service Landlord Action it has become such a problem in the last three months that chasing up cases with the courts is now a full time role for one member of their in-house legal team. The vast majority of residential possession claims are dealt with in the county courts and enforced by county court bailiffs. However, government spending cuts, an ever growing number of possession cases which have increased around 15% on last year, are leading to overload. On top of this the firm points out that some courts are insisting that bailiffs must no longer act alone, only in pairs, and this has added to serious delays in the eviction process. ‘We are forever chasing courts for updates on possession orders, Notice of Issues or bailiff appointments. By the courts' own admission, cases are getting overlooked, administrative errors are being made and there are simply not enough bailiffs to support the number of cases, leading to long delays,’ said Julie Herbert, head of legal at Landlord Action. This is having serious implications for landlords who are not only losing thousands of pounds in unpaid rent but racking up more legal costs the longer a case goes on. Some landlords, who are unable to meet mortgage payments as a result, even face possible repossession, in addition to the added risk of their property being left uninhabitable by current tenants, where communication has broken down. One landlord, Mr Waller, has had severe delays with his case as a result of the courts losing his claim, twice. Landlord Action finally obtained a hearing date, which took place on 24 November. ‘Our eviction case has been delayed for almost a year due to severe maladministration by the courts. Files were repeatedly lost and the inefficiency we and Landlord Action encountered was astounding,’ said Waller. ‘This has been a deeply frustrating experience for us as landlords, but an even more harrowing one for our tenant who desperately wants to be rehoused by the council and needs a court order. We're in an impossible catch 22 situation, which only the courts can resolve. The negligence and insouciance of certain individuals are quite literally destroying people's lives,’ he added. Herbert of Landlord Action said another common frustration is when a possession order has been granted and a bailiff appointment confirmed, but the tenant makes a last minute application because they have nowhere else to go. ‘The standard procedure is that a hearing has to be considered by a judge. We recently learnt that many of these applications don't even reach a judge, who would have the authority to strike out an application based on the information already provided,’ she explained. ‘Instead, the knee jerk reaction of court staff is to set down a hearing date, in which everyone is dragged to court,… Continue reading
House developers looking outside London for land
Over the last six months, there has been a shift in direction of the residential development land market in the UK and urban locations with London links are increasingly being sought by developers, new research suggests. Developers are looking for opportunities beyond London as the capital city has seen much slower growth in land prices over the six months to September than the previous half year, according to the research from real estate firm Savills. Values for residential land in London rose by 4.1% from the first quarter to the third quarter of this year compared to 15.2% in the six months to March 2014. The slower increase in the value of residential land follows the cooling housing market in the capital over the same period. Sites with good transport links across all zones however are still highly sought after. The main flow of this movement is the south western corridor from London out to commuter hotspots, Guildford, Woking and Farnborough, according to the report. London based developers as well as those from other regions are interested in investing in the area. Values for urban land in Guildford and Woking are amongst the highest outside London, but despite this they have seen steady growth of 2.4% over the last quarter and 5.5% in the last year. Other cities have seen the influence of developers investing in land from London. An example is Manchester which two years ago only saw regional interest. Development land in Manchester has seen growth for the second quarter in a row after six years of stagnation. Many parties are now interested in land in and around the city although access to finance remains a potential barrier to delivery of homes. Urban land has seen stronger growth in the last quarter having previously lagged behind the growth seen for green field development land since the downturn. Along with Manchester, places in the Midlands, such as Northampton, Nottingham, Leicester and Derby, have stood out as having seen strong growth in urban values, into double digit percentage figures in some cases, indicating that the market has picked up again. Further south, Cambridge has seen increased growth in urban land values along with a large volume of development in recent years. The report points out that here development is supported by a strong and growing local economy, a significant London commuter base and its vibrant historic centre. Construction on urban extensions in Cambridge began at the end of 2011, and an additional 5,000 units will be built in and around the city in the next five years. Sales rates here have been the highest in the country outside London, indicating a strong demand for property. However, not all of the UK is seeing land value increase and in many places land values have remained stable, particularly where there has been high supply of consented land. One example is Telford, where there has been a high supply of sites controlled by the HCA. Continue reading
