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Buy to let lending outpacing residential loans, new analysis suggests
Buy to let lending in the UK increased by 20% year on year in the first three months of 2015, outpacing residential lending which was up by just 1.6%, a new analysis shows. Total lending for the quarter stood at £36.2 billion, a year on year increase of 5.4%, according to an analysis report from Equifax Touchstone which covers 92% in the intermediated lending market. The data also shows that the average value of each mortgage was £177,060 for residential compared to £170,730 in the final quarter of 2014, and £151,033 for buy to let compared to £145,017 in the previous quarter. March was the top sales month for mortgage brokers in eight years. Lending was up 24.3% on February 2015, reaching £15 billion. The market saw UK wide improvement with only two postcode areas, Perth and the Western Isles, reporting negative growth during the period. However, despite growing lending levels, the number of active brokers in the market has fallen in the last 12 months, down from 8,288 in the first quarter of 2014 to 8,028 in the first quarter of 2015. The firm says that this market consolidation makes it even more important for mortgage providers to identify which networks and firms are leading the charge and successfully responding to the rapidly changing mortgage landscape and the requirements of the Mortgage Market Review. ‘In March we saw lending power ahead and the sluggish trend witnessed at the end of last year has been reversed. There have been lingering doubts over the market recovery and it is encouraging to see such positive growth,’ said Iain Hill, Equifax Touchstone relationship manager. ‘While traditional savings accounts continue to offer low returns, savers are looking for alternative ways to invest their money, prompting substantial growth in the buy to let market. An oversupply of people and an undersupply of homes makes buy to let an attractive proposition and we expect this trend to continue to gather pace over the coming months,’ he added. Separate research by Paragon Mortgages has revealed that intermediaries are writing more mortgage business with longer term initial rates. The results from the specialist lender’s quarterly intermediary tracking survey for the first quarter of 2015 shows 30% of cases were for terms of five years or more trackers and fixed rates, up from 26% in the previous quarter. At the same time, there was a reduction in two and three year terms, dropping from 71% to 66% and intermediaries have reported a decline in popularity of tracker rate products since the middle of 2012. Survey results showed a continuous fall from the third quarter of 2012 to the second quarter of 2014. However, this trend appears to be shifting, with tracker products accounting for 18% of cases in the first quarter of 2015 compared to 15% in the previous quarter. Despite the modest improvement in the sale of tracker products, fixed rates continue to be the most popular with intermediaries recommending a… Continue reading
Shortage of bricks and bricklayers in UK could hamper new home building
The increasing shortages of bricks and bricklayers in the UK could threaten future house building plans, according to the Federation of Master Builders (FMB). How to solve the current housing crisis is one of the hot topics in the run up to the general election with all parties pledging to build new homes. But the latest FMB state of the trade survey reveals shortages. Half of all small construction businesses, that’s one in two firms, are finding it difficult to recruit bricklayers and 62% of firms are waiting for up to two months for new brick orders while almost one quarter are waiting for up to four months. An additional 16% are waiting for six to eight months. ‘The brick manufacturers are working hard to reignite their kilns which were mothballed during the recession and the ever growing lack of bricklayers is causing concern,’ said Brian Berry, FMB chief executive. He pointed out that compared to this time one year ago, more than twice the firms are reporting difficulties recruiting these tradespeople. In the short term, many SME house builders may have to rely on migrant labour. ‘To ensure we have an ample supply of skilled workers in the future, the next Government must ensure it sets the right framework in terms of apprenticeship funding and apprenticeship standards,’ said Berry. ‘Also more construction firms, large and small, need to willingly engage with training. After all, there’s strong evidence to suggest that training apprentices is good for business,’ he added. The survey also shows that the private new housing market saw its net balance increase by 5% to +13. More businesses reported higher workloads while those indicating no change in workloads decreased to 49% from 62% in the fourth quarter of 2014. The net balance for total enquiries remained in positive territory for the eighth consecutive quarter as it jumped by 27% to +29. Fewer firms stated lower levels of enquiries, compared with the previous quarter, while more respondents reported a higher level of enquiries. The net balance for total expected workloads increased by 25% to +30. The percentage of businesses with negative expectations went down, to 15% from 24%, while those anticipating higher workloads saw a rise, from 29% to 45%. Around 40% of firms predict no change in workloads, down from 46% in the previous quarter. The residential sector’s net balance moved back into positive territory as it rose by 22% to +19. Some 32% are predicting higher workloads over the next three months, up from 18%, while fewer firms are anticipating lower workloads. The private new housing market’s net balance jumped by 24% to +30. The proportion of firms with positive expectations for workloads went up from 22% to 41%. In contrast, those anticipating lower workloads declined, to 11% from 17% in the previous quarter. Continue reading
Demand for UK commercial property surges, latest analysis shows
Demand for commercial property in the UK is growing close to its fastest pace since 1998 and, along with a surge in investment, reflects the widening economic recovery, according to the latest survey. In the first quarter of 2015 the UK saw its 10th consecutive quarterly acceleration of demand for commercial properties, with 46% more respondents seeing greater interest, the commercial market report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows. Occupier activity is now at its highest since 1998, highlighting a more broadly balanced economic expansion, says RICS and overseas buyer enquiries are 34% more compared to 17% in the fourth quarter of 2014. In the investment market, enquiries also increased significantly, with 49% more surveyors seeing more prospective investors, continuing the trend of rising demand which began towards the end of 2012. The survey also reveals that availability is falling with 38% more surveyors seeing fewer commercial properties on the market and RICS says that the impact of these tighter market conditions on rental expectations has resulted in them edging upwards to the highest headline level reading since 1998. This is particularly apparent across the industrial and office sectors, while retail rental expectations continue to lag behind. Looking ahead respondents expect, the office sector to perform most strongly with London leading the way despite increasing concerns over the valuation of prime property in the capital. Significantly, there is also increasing confidence that the more upbeat mood will impact on secondary space with rents and capital projections positive in all locations. According to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, the strength of the latest commercial property survey suggests that the underlying momentum of the economy will continue to accelerate through the course of this year. ‘What is particularly encouraging is that a better tone to the results is visible in all parts of the country and increasingly in secondary as well as prime space. Given that these indicators have historically provided a strong steer as to the performance of the economy two to three quarters out, it is hard not to be encouraged by the conclusions of this report,’ he explained. Mark Bladon at Investec Structured Property Finance, said that the lack of supply is also having an impact on investment strategies with more investors looking at alternative opportunities in the search for more attractive yields. ‘Student accommodation has long been viewed as an alternative asset class but Investec believes it could be now be viewed as mainstream. We are also seeing consolidation in other alternative property sectors such as serviced apartments and retirement living, where yields are higher,’ he pointed out. ‘For momentum to continue, or for the alternative sectors to reach their full potential, the financing market will need to remain nimble and innovative in the face of these shifting trends,’ he added. Continue reading
