Tag Archives: london
New analysis identifies rising commercial opportunities in smaller UK cities
Rising capital values and strong competition are now driving investors to look beyond the major UK cities for quality office stock and potential value, a new report shows. The analysis from global property consultancy JLL looks at the economic and office market performance of 37 smaller towns and cities giving an insight in to which locations will offer the biggest opportunity over the next five years. The report shows some smaller cities are found to have a stronger outlook than the major cities such as London, Manchester and Birmingham. It explains that the success of these smaller cities will be closely associated with their ability to develop and grow clusters of businesses, along with strong university links and the provision of integrated transport and infrastructure. Growth leaders, including Brighton, Solihull and Reading have seen capital value increases of over 25% since the end of 2012 and are expected to see a stronger than average economic performance over the next five years. With the outlook remaining solid for these cities, most of which have firmly established business clusters, JLL says it may be prudent for investors to focus on opportunities where they can reposition their assets to benefit from any price growth. The report also reveals locations such as Oxford, Warrington, Southampton and Nottingham, with a similarly strong economic outlook but where recent capital value growth has not been as strong as the growth leaders and opportunities may actually be greater going forward. These potential performers include a broad range of property markets that JLL anticipates could benefit from further capital growth as the property market continues to respond to the improving economic climate. ‘The outlook for the UK’s smaller cities is now more optimistic than it has been for some time. Our research shows potential performers, including the likes of Oxford and Warrington, should benefit from further capital growth over the coming years as the property market continues to improve,’ said Chris Ireland, chairman and lead director for UK Capital Markets at JLL. ‘Indeed, the potential for growth in some of the smaller cities may be greater than in the big six regional centres which have already seen substantial uplift,’ he added. ‘From an occupational perspective, we think there will be a gradual shift towards office rental growth in a number of these centres which should ensure continuing investor and developer interest,’ explained Ireland. According to Ben Burston, head of UK offices research at JLL, strong business clusters are a key determinant of future growth prospects. ‘For instance, Oxford’s strong life science cluster is contributing to a robust employment growth outlook, while Warrington is benefitting from a strong nuclear research and technology cluster,’ he said. ‘The devolution agenda provides an opportunity for more decision making to be taken at local level, which could help drive improvements to transport, infrastructure and public realm that will help attract people and businesses, and thereby drive future growth,’ he pointed out. Cities identified in the report as… Continue reading
Shortage of property for sale keeping UK prices high, latest index data suggests
House prices in UK in the three months to April were 2.2% higher than in the preceding three months, according to the latest data from the Halifax. This particular measure of the underlying rate of house price growth fell for the first time in 2015 following three successive rises. But house prices increased by 1.6% between March and April. In contrast, annual house price growth increased slightly, from 8.1% in March to 8.5% but, nonetheless, the annual rate remains in the narrow range of 8% to 9% where it has been since the start of 2015 and is below last July’s peak of 10.2%. ‘Housing demand is being supported by a number of factors including economic improvement, rising employment and low mortgage rates. At the same time, supply remains very tight with a general shortage of properties available for sale,’ said Halifax housing economist Martin Ellis. ‘This combination has kept house price inflation steady in recent months with prices increasing by 2.2% to 2.6% on a quarterly basis and at an annual rate of 8% to 9%,’ he added. He pointed out that house prices are continuing to increase more quickly than average earnings despite the return to real earnings growth over the past few months. ‘The resulting rise in the level of house prices in relation to earnings should constrain house price growth and activity over the remainder of the year,’ he said. Ellis is predicting that the annual rate of house price growth is forecast to end the year at somewhere between 3% and 5%. The Halifax report points out that home sales were unchanged in March at 101,000 and were also static between the final three months of 2014 and the first quarter of 2015, but were 6% lower than in the first three months of 2014. Mortgage approvals have risen on a quarterly basis. The volume of mortgage approvals for house purchases, a leading indicator of completed house sales, fell slightly in March following three consecutive rises. Nonetheless, approvals during the first quarter of 2015 were 2.8% higher than in the final quarter of 2014. Supply remains tight. New instructions fell in March continuing the recent downward trend with declines in seven of the past eight months. This fall in instructions has contributed to the supply of homes on the market remaining low. Continue reading
Prime central London property starting to outperform other areas of the city
Homes in prime central London saw the biggest rise in value during the first quarter of 2015, as the centre starts to outperform outer prime parts of the capital for first time since June 2013. Buyers now pay a 34% price premium to live in prime central areas like Kensington and Chelsea, according to estate agent Marsh & Parsons’ latest London Property Monitor. Historically, property prices in the most affluent prime central areas of London had been accelerating away from values in the rest of the capital, due to consistently higher demand from overseas and domestic buyers keen to live in the most famous London locations. However, over the past two years, areas such as Brook Green and Balham have experienced some of the steepest price rises across the capital, according to the firm, but this looks to have been a short term phenomenon. While outer prime house prices have fallen 1.8% in the past three months, there has been a resurgence in price growth in prestigious prime central London with values up 0.3% throughout the last quarter. This is the first time in over a year that price rises in exclusive central areas like Pimlico and Kensington have overtaken the growth in more affordable areas like Balham, and this is a trend that Marsh & Parsons expect to continue throughout this year. As a result of this turnaround, the price premium paid for Prime London property has risen for the first time in 15 months, and is now back in line with last year. Buyers can currently expect to pay a 34% premium to live in central locations. ‘Balham and Brook Green have been putting on the most astonishing performance recently, with an eye catching spurt of growth in 2014. In the long run, the traditional property stalwarts of Kensington, Chelsea and Holland Park are proving they have the stamina to withstand a wider market slowdown,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘While the market slows in other parts of the London housing market, the enduring appeal of the most desirable prime central postcodes has ensured growth ticks on. We believe this trend is set to continue in the next 12 months, with prime central areas outperforming outer prime areas for the first time in more than two years,’ he explained. As growth at the higher end of the market continues momentum, the proportion of million-pound properties in prime central London has risen 3% in the past quarter, to stand at 67% of all homes. With the average house price currently standing at £2,080,742 in these areas, 38% of properties in prime central London are now worth £2 million or more, highlighting the implications of any mansion tax on the housing market in these parts of capital. In addition, some 22% of prime central London properties surpass the £3 million threshold. The report also… Continue reading
