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New home sales in Australia up every month so far this year
New homes sales in Australia have increased in each of the first four months of 2015, according to the latest survey of the country’s largest volume builders. However, the increase of 0.6% in April was the slowest growth pace of the four months, the new homes sales report from the Housing Industry Association shows. But HIA chief economist Harley Dale said that this is still a strong result off the back of a healthy March quarter. The April result for total seasonally adjusted new home sales comprised of two small gains, a 0.4% rise for detached house sales and 0.9% growth for multi-unit sales. ‘The profile for new home sales in 2015 is consistent with a new home building cycle where further upward momentum resides largely in the multi-unit sector and where the eastern seaboard states are driving the further growth,’ Dale explained. In terms of detached house sales, both New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia posted monthly gains in April but Queensland recorded a disappointing decline, according to Dale. Sales in South Australia continued to weaken and are at an 18 month low. A breakdown of the figures show that in April 2015 private detached house sales increased by 7.2% in New South Wales, by 2.7% in Victoria, and by 0.9% in Western Australia. Private detached house sales dropped by 9% in Queensland and were down by 1.9% in South Australia. In the April 2015 quarter detached house sales increased in by 0.5% in New South Wales and by 7.4% in Victoria but declined by 4.7% in South Australia, by 4.4% in Queensland and by 1.6% in Western Australia. ‘This profile is broadly consistent with our forecasts for detached house commencements, with the exception of Queensland which is looking weaker than we were expecting,’ said Dale. Continue reading
Rents in UK set to rise in next five years, according to lettings agents
A third of lettings agents in the UK reported that rents increased in April, the latest data shows, and many believe they will continue rising over the next five years. The latest monthly private rental sector report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) shows that in the North West some 46% of landlords reported an increase in the region. Overall nine in 10 agents reported that they were happy with the general election result and with Labour’s rent cap proposals thrown out, 79% of ARLA agents predicted that rents will increase over the next five years. The report also shows that in the last month, the number of landlords selling their buy to let properties has increased, particularly in London. ARLA agents in London saw the number of landlords selling their buy-to-let properties double between March and April, rising from three to six properties on average per branch. Scottish agents saw an increase from four to seven buy to let properties going up for sale in the last month, whilst the national average increased from three to four buy to let properties up for sale on average per branch. ‘It is interesting that we have seen an increase in the amount of landlords selling their buy to let properties in the last month, which is likely to have been a result of political uncertainty,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘We know that Labour’s plans were unpopular for many landlords and agents, so this increase in those selling their buy to let properties may have been a knee jerk reaction to the possibility of Labour’s proposals coming in to practice,’ he added. Following the general election result earlier this month 90% ARLA letting agents were happy with the outcome of a majority Conservative government with 95% believing the result is good news for the private rented sector. Some 13% of those agents said it was good news because the Conservatives will interfere less with the industry and 11% believe the result will provide certainty and stability to the market In April, supply and demand remained similar to last month. On average, ARLA member branches managed 193 properties, compared to 192 in March. In April, ARLA agents reported an average of 36 prospective tenants per branch, which remains exactly the same as March. ‘It is going to be interesting to see what happens in the market in the next few months following the election result and whether we see an increase in supply of rented accommodation as a result of the Conservative’s promise to build 200,000 new starter homes offered at 20% discount to first time buyers. This policy will help first time buyers make that leap onto the housing ladder and as a result this will hopefully free up rental property,’ Cox pointed out. ‘Hopefully, now the country is under less political… Continue reading
Two thirds of UK landlords now planning to buy new properties
Landlords in the UK are looking to expand their property portfolios at an accelerated pace over the rest of 2015, according to a new property investor survey. Some 65% of UK landlords plan to buy at least one further property in the next six months up from 55% looking to buy six months ago, says the research from specialist buy to let mortgage broker Mortgages for Business. . Just 8% of landlords currently plan to sell any property, while 27% do not intend to either grow or reduce the size of their property portfolio over the next six months. ‘Landlords are better capitalised and now more confident about reinvesting. A strong rental market is being driven by tenants moving to make the most of job opportunities, and now gradually starting to earn more too,’ said David Whittaker, managing director at Mortgages for Business. ‘That new surge of demand is putting more upwards pressure on rents, and landlords are only just beginning to supply more homes to let in response. On top of this, after the surprise stability of a majority government, landlords will almost certainly see a short term boost of house price growth while the threat of damaging regulation has been lifted for at least the next five years,’ he added. When choosing how to finance borrowing, landlords are also changing their approach. Some 26% would currently prefer a variable rate deal for a new buy to let mortgage, up from 23% in November 2014. However, choosing to fix repayments for just a short time period is actually slightly less popular than six months ago. Currently 22% prefer a two year fixed rate mortgage, down marginally from 23% in November, while 12% would go for a three year fix, down from 15% in November. Some 30% would still choose the safety of fixing their mortgage repayments for five years, though this is also slightly down on 31% in November. By contrast, very long term fixes appear to be gaining popularity and 10% would now choose a 10 year fix, more than the 8% recorded in November. Landlords’ average loan to value ratios have fallen in the space of the last six months. Overall, the average overall LTV ratio for UK landlords now stands at 54%, down from 57% in November. The proportion of landlords with overall borrowing above 75% LTV has fallen to just 12%, down from 16% in November. The vast majority have some borrowing, though below 75% LTV. This now represents 81% of landlords, up from 79% in the previous survey. Currently only 6% of UK landlords have no borrowing whatsoever. ‘Over the medium term, interest rate expectations have never been friendlier to landlords. This is clearly reflected in the proportion willing to eschew guaranteed stability in favour of some immediate savings. Over a two year period this may be rational, and landlords as a whole don’t tend to take extraordinary risks with their financial position,’ said Whittaker. Continue reading
