Tag Archives: london
French Riviera poised to benefit from demand from global wealthy buyers
Prime property prices in the world’s most expensive cities are cooling which means that wealthy property investors could look increasingly to other cities and leisure hotspots such as the French Riviera, new research suggests. While in France as a whole property prices and sales in the last three years have fallen the Riviera is still a magnet for wealthy buyers. Indeed, the area that stretches from St Tropez in the south west to the border of Italy is the third richest region in France. While prices in France overall were down 8.1% as of December 2014 compared their peak in the third quarter of 2011, the Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur (PACA) region consistently commands the country’s highest house prices and the second highest apartment prices behind the Paris region. The latest French Riviera residential market report from international real estate firm Savills also points out that it is an important global tourist market where some 17% of properties are second homes or occasional accommodation, compared to 11% nationally. The analysis points out that like the rest of France, prices have fallen in PACA and the market is a buyers’ one. Values in the region have tracked the national average closely, and are down 9.5% from a 2011 high. ‘The market did not see the same rally between 2009 and 2011 as that experienced in Paris, so values currently look better value than those in the French capital,’ the report says, adding that government rhetoric and negative media coverage around the taxation of wealth, coupled with a faltering domestic economy has slowed activity across the Riviera's prime markets. The number of €3 million plus deals fell by 44% across the region between 2007 and 2013. Cap Ferrat and St Tropez, home to the Riviera’s largest prime markets, saw the sharpest declines, down 69% and 54% respectively. ‘Although transaction numbers are down, purchasers of the region’s best properties tend to hold for long periods, with low gearing as these homes are viewed as a store of wealth, so forced sales are rare and, as a consequence, there is no mechanism for prices to fall substantially,’ the report explains. It also points out that property in the French Riviera for most is viewed as an asset with long term appeal and therefore a safe store of wealth and regional statistics disguise local market characteristics. ‘What sets the French Riviera apart is extremely limited supply in the most desirable spots. In Saint-Jean-Cap-Ferrat, a peninsula of land east of Nice, there are around 500 properties and only a handful come onto the market in any single year. Supply is kept low and prices high by wealthy buyers who hold for long periods and are not generally forced to sell,’ the report says. ‘Cap-d’Ail, Beausoleil, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin adjoin Monaco and have benefited from the surge in activity that the Principality’s residential markets have experienced. Significantly cheaper prime property is available here, albeit without the tax benefits. The area has proved popular with… Continue reading
Average house prices in UK’s biggest cities up 6.4% in first half of 2015
House prices across the UK’s 20 largest cities increased by 6.4% in the first half of 2015, led by Oxford, London and Glasgow, the latest index data shows. Oxford was the fastest growing city with a ride of 8%, followed by London with house price growth of 6.6% and Glasgow with growth of 6.4%, according to the Hometrack UK Cities House Price Index. Aberdeen was the weakest performer with house prices flat in the first half of the year, while northern cities like Leeds, Manchester, Liverpool and Sheffield, while seeing growth, still have average prices below the peak of the market in 2007. The data also shows that on a quarterly basis prices in these top cities increased by 4.3% while Oxford and Cambridge continue to perform overall like direct extensions of the London market. On a year on year basis growth across all 20 cities covered by the index is 8.4% with an average price of £226,200. At a city level this ranges from 11.6% in Cambridge to 2.9% in Liverpool. Looking to the second half of the year, the index report suggests that the headline rate of growth across the 20 cities index looks set to move higher as continued growth in house prices pushes the year on year rate towards 10% as the recovery spreads and households continue to price low mortgage rates into house prices. The greatest risk on the horizon is an increase in interest rates, recently highlighted by the Bank of England Governor. The report points out that 57% of outstanding mortgage debt is on variable rates, which is lower than the 73% high registered in the middle of 2012. While a year’s worth of new buyers have been subject to tougher affordability tests, the majority of mortgagees have not, Hometrack director of research Richard Donnell pointed out. Donnell explained that many home owners have continued to pay off debt while rates have been low, so any increase in mortgage rates is likely to impact market sentiment which, given the shortage of supply, would result in a marked slowdown in the rate of house price growth. ‘Rising demand for property against a backdrop of low supply continues push city level house prices higher. At 8.4%, city level house price inflation is running higher than the overall UK rate. While house price growth might moderate slightly in the second half of the year, it looks increasingly likely that city level house price growth will return to double digits by the year end,’ said Donnell. ‘The greatest risk facing the housing market is an upward movement in interest rates which would check market sentiment, cool demand and result in a marked slowdown in house price growth,’ he added. Continue reading
Commercial property demand up in UK as supply falls
Demand from business for commercial property in the UK rose for the eleventh consecutive quarter, while available space fell for the ninth successive period, the latest sector market survey report shows. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) says that as a result, rents are expected to rise at the fastest pace since its survey began in 1998 with 46% more respondents forecasting higher, rather than lower, rent rates going forward. Offices remain the segment of the market where rental expectations remain most buoyant, while retail continues to lag although even in this area, momentum is picking up, while prices are expected to keep rising over the next 12 months. The picture is not dissimilar in the investment market, where purchase enquiries rose again; 53% more surveyors reported an increase in prospective investors over the quarter. Meanwhile, availability continues to decline, exerting further upward pressure on capital values. There were also reports of greater overseas buyer interest, with 36% more respondents seeing more enquiries from overseas investors. Across the whole of the UK, but excluding London, 95% of respondents believe that current commercial market valuations are either at or below fair value, this is roughly unchanged since the first quarter of 2015. However, in London 50% of contributors now feel that commercial property valuations are 'expensive', an increase from 45% in the first quarter. RICS says it was interesting that given the upcoming referendum on the UK’s position in the European Union, when asked if Britain leaving the EU would have significant negative implications for the commercial property market, 44% of respondents felt it would, while 32% believed it would not. Reflecting the high degree of uncertainty, 24% reported they did not know at this point. ‘The results of the latest survey suggest the price of commercial real estate will continue to move higher over the next 12 months and quite possibly by another 10%,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist . ‘Fortunately, the strength of the occupier market is providing some underlying support for the market. Indeed, the feedback we are getting from around the country tells us that the economic expansion is continuing to broaden out with both tenant demand, and just as significantly, investor interest, rising in all areas,’ he added. Continue reading
