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Two tier house prices growth continues in Australia led by Sydney and Melbourne
The two tiered growth evident across Australia’s housing markets continued in July with Sydney and Melbourne driving home values higher, the latest monthly index shows. The CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index increased by 2.8% month on month and 11.1% year on year and the total aggregated value of Australian housing increased by just over half a trillion dollars over the past 12 months to $6 trillion. Melbourne has traded places with Sydney to record the highest rate of capital gain, with values in the city up 6.1% over the three months ending in July, the highest rolling quarterly rate of growth since the three months ending August last year when values grew 6.4%. Growth in Sydney wasn’t quite as strong over the rolling quarter, up 5.4% but still the highest rate of growth since the March quarter this year when it was 5.8%. ‘To date, the capital cities have seen remarkable differences over the growth cycle which broadly commenced at the end of May 2012 and since that time dwelling values across our combined capitals index have increased by 30.4%,’ said Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data’s head of research. Sydney values are 47.9% higher over the current cycle and Melbourne values are 32.1% higher while every other capital city has seen growth of less than 13% over the same period. Lawless explained that this highlights the extent to which the Sydney and Melbourne markets have outperformed other markets over the past three years. He pointed out that over the last year several cities have seen price corrections. Darwin has seen values falling the most, down by 5.3% while in Perth values also drifted lower over the year, down 0.3%. At the same time, the annual rate of capital gain in Sydney reached a new cyclical high with home values moving 18.4% higher over the year to the highest annual rate of growth for Sydney since the 12 months ending in December 2002. The strongest growth conditions outside of Sydney and Melbourne have been in Brisbane where dwelling values were 3.9% higher over the year. Based on the median dwelling price, Sydney prices are now 72% higher than Brisbane’s and Melbourne’s are 24% higher. Detached housing continued to outperform the unit sector, with house values substantially outperforming unit values over the past year apart from Hobart and Darwin. Detached home values are up 11.6% compared with a 7.2% increase in unit values over the past year. The differential is most pronounced in Melbourne where house values have surged 12.3% higher over the year compared with a 4.8% rise in unit values. ‘The higher growth rates for houses compared with units is likely to be supply related, with the underlying land component driving detached housing values higher at a time when new apartment supply has seen a substantial boost from new construction,’ Lawless said. While dwelling values continue to rise across most cities, the pace of rental growth has slipped to a new record low, which has… Continue reading
English landlords who don’t follow new immigration checks face jail
Landlords in England who repeatedly fail to check a new tenant’s immigration status before agreeing a lease could face up to five years in jail, it has been confirmed. As part of a wider crackdown on immigration, new rules for landlords mean that they will also be expected to evict tenants who lose the right to live in England. They will be able to end tenancies, sometimes without a court order, when asylum requests fail, according to Communities Secretary Greg Clark as he announced that the government will not tolerate rogue landlords who make money out of illegal immigration. The changes which hare part of the new Immigration Bill and follow a pilot in the West Midlands come as the British and French governments struggle to deal with a migrant crisis in Calais where large numbers of people are making nightly bids to cross the Channel to reach the UK. Clark explained that under the proposals for landlords in England, the Home Office would issue a notice when an asylum application fails that confirms the tenant no longer has the right to rent property. He also said that a blacklist of rogue landlords and letting agents will be created to allow councils to keep track of those who have been convicted of housing offences and ban them from renting out properties if they are repeat offenders. Richard Lambert, chief executive of the National Landlords Association, described the proposals as a welcome step forward, although he said he is ‘slightly concerned’ that the 40 year old principle that it has to be a court that ends a tenancy is changing. He suggests that there is a danger that those being evicted end up doing something desperate such as barricading themselves inside a property. ‘I think that we need to think through the consequences of the kind of systems we are putting into place,’ he added. David Cox, managing director, Association of Residential Letting Agents, welcomed the proposals in principle. ‘The plans will help to weed out the minority of rogue landlords who exploit vulnerable immigrants for their own financial gain and, with the introduction of a new five year imprisonment penalty, will help to deter other such unscrupulous individuals from entering the private rented sector,’ he said. ‘The proposals also build upon the Right to Rent checks as imposed by the Immigration Act 2014, which we expect to be rolled out nationally following a pilot scheme in the West Midlands. We will be organising training sessions for our members to ensure they are fully prepared and understand the new rules and we urge all letting agents to ensure they are ready for the impending roll out,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime property market across UK not picking up, new analysis suggests
Prime property outside of London increased by just 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, suggesting there has been little sign of a post-election bounce at the top end of the UK housing market as buyers remain cautious. A lack of upward pressure on prices has been consistent across all regions beyond London, with a lack of urgency among buyers in part stemming from a relatively sluggish market in the capital, according to the latest prime residential market report from real estate firm Savills. The report says that this has combined with relatively high levels of stock available on the market, built up largely as a result of a relative dearth of transactional activity in the run up to the general election. ‘For the time being this has slowed the ripple effect, despite the significant value gaps between London, the commuter zone and beyond, which would normally drive a flow of demand through the different segments of the prime housing market at this stage in the cycle. As a result, annual price growth in the prime regional markets stands at a subdued 1.6% on average,’ it explains. Though the threat of a mansion tax has now evaporated, the report suggests that the market continues to be held back by tax considerations. ‘In London and at the top end of the country market, the increased cost of stamp duty, following the Autumn statement of December 2014, remains a barrier to both price growth and activity,’ is says. Illustrating this fact, in the regional housing market over £2 million prices are 1.7% below their June 2014 level. In Scotland the introduction of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax, which replaced stamp duty in April has introduced higher rates of tax at lower price points, has caused prime values to fall by an average of 0.6% in the past quarter and by 0.9% year on year. In England and Wales the markets under £1 million and between £1 million and £1.5 million have been less affected by these tax concerns but more affected by weak buyer sentiment and the restricted availability of mortgage debt feeding up from the mainstream markets. The report points out that despite a continued benign interest rate environment, transactions in the mainstream market appear to have plateaued at around 1.2 million per annum. With the mortgage regulations restricting the amount of debt prospective buyers are able to obtain and restricting their ability to trade up the market, this is still well short of pre-crunch norms, it adds. Although mortgage availability has a less significant direct impact in the prime markets, it will impact on some buyers in their 30s and 40s, the report also suggests. ‘While restricting the amount they can borrow, this may act as a catalyst for them to move into the commuter zone as they look to stretch their debt and equity further in less expensive markets,’ it explains. While sellers need to remain realistic in… Continue reading
