Tag Archives: london
UK lenders start to increase mortgage rates ahead of expected interest rate rise
Indications from the Bank of England that interest rates are set to rise, possibly as early as the beginning of 2016, several lenders have started to increase their mortgage rates. Research by comparison website MoneySuperMarket suggests that since the bank’s governor Mark Carney suggested just a few weeks ago that rates could rise by the turn of the year, some of the best mortgage deals have become less favourable. For example, First Direct offered 1.49% at the start of July on its best price two year fixed, but this now sits at 1.69%. However the research also shows that there are still some great mortgage offers available, but interestingly, 65% loan to value (LTV) mortgages are now cheaper than 60% LTV mortgages on average. The current average 60% LTV rate across fixed, variable and discount mortgages is 2.23%, while the average 65% LTV rate is 2.08%. So for example, someone borrowing £150,000 over 25 years would pay less back over the promotional period on YBS’s 65% LTV two year fixed rate of 1.07% with a fee of £1,545 than on Post Office’s 60% LTV two year fix at 1.05% but with a higher £1,995 fee. ‘It’s prime time for those looking for a mortgage as there are still some great deals on the market even if it’s a bit bizarre that you can currently get a cheaper deal with a smaller deposit,’ said Dan Plant, consumer expert at MoneySupermarket. ‘However, the recent rate rise speculation is starting to make providers cautious, and this is being reflected in their offers. We know choosing a mortgage can be confusing but if people can do it now, they avoid the risk of rates rising over the next few months,’ he explained. ‘Many lenders allow mortgage holders to reserve rates available now for up to six months for a small fee, so even those who still have some time left on their current deal can benefit. As always, prospective buyers need to think about the long term and work out the total cost of the mortgage, including both rates and fees, before committing to a deal,’ he said. He also pointed out that while 65% LTV mortgages are better than the 60% LTV deals at the moment, consumers should be wary of a rate rise and make sure they can afford the repayments if they suddenly shoot up, should they choose a variable rate mortgage. Continue reading
Lower end US homes just 10% below 2006 and outperform middle market sector
Lower priced houses in the United States have been outperforming the middle priced market and are now only 10% below their peak values of 2006, a new analysis shows. Middle tier homes, typically selling between $120,000 and $345,000, are the worst performing segment with current price levels 24.8% below 2006 peak levels, according to a new report from real estate firm Clear Capital. It says that this vast difference in market recovery underscores the continued challenges the majority of home owners face, despite a quicker recovery in both the bottom and top segments of the market. Regionally, there was a small uptick in quarterly gains in both the West and Midwest, between 0.3% to 0.1%, while the Northeast and South remained unchanged over the quarter, at 0.2% and 0.8%, respectively. These minimal changes reinforce housing’s continued moderation and suggest the initial thrust of the home buying season is starting to wane, according to Alex Villacorta, vice president of research and analytics at Clear Capital. He pointed out that disparity still exists at the local market level. The Northeast reports the widest gap in price performance between the top and bottom performing areas with Pittsburgh seeing growth of 14.1% year and year and Providence down 14.1%. At the national level, the data through July shows a 0.1% increase in quarterly gains, from 0.6% in June to 0.7% in July. ‘While this minor increase, a carry-over from spring’s performance, is expected as we enter the thick of summer’s peak demand cycle, it reflects the overall contraction from spring’s initial surge,’ said Villacorta. ‘Through the first half of 2015, we observed a housing recovery that is normalising after an impressive price surge from the trough of the market. After more than two years of a pretty remarkable upward swing, the housing market’s correction to the correction has given way to more normal rates of growth,’ he explained. ‘What we now know, however, is that this correctionary period has not treated all markets, nor segments within markets, the same. In the present environment, micro analysis is key. In particular, our latest data exposed a mid-tier lag. This segment is still way behind both the top and bottom of the market in terms of recovery over the last nine years,’ he pointed out. Indeed, the analysis of the change in home prices since the summer of 2006 shows that the middle tier has lagged behind both the upper end and lower ends of the market by a surprisingly wide margin. At 24.8% below its peak level, the middle tier is more than double that of the lower tier. Villacorta said that the lower tier was both hit and buffered by high levels of distressed activity which, in recent years, has sparked investor activity driven in large part by the accelerated demand in the rental sector. And, the top tier has benefited from a segment of the market that is more resilient to the current economic climate. ‘The middle… Continue reading
Prime central London property rental values fall for first time since Feb 2014
Rental values in prime central London fell in July as stock levels held up while demand from the financial services sector became more subdued against a jittery global economic backdrop. The fall of 0.1% was the first decline since February 2014 and meant annual growth slowed to 2.9%, having peaked at 4.2% in May while prime gross yields were flat at 2.95%, according to prime central London index from Knight Frank. It explains that stock levels have been buoyed to some extent by a restrained sales market, where an increase in stamp duty for properties worth more than about £1.1 million has dampened activity and price growth. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, as annual price growth has slowed to 2%, more property owners have opted to become landlords as they wait for the market to digest a succession of recent tax changes. He explained that this short term supply/demand imbalance means two things. First, tenants are shopping around more and securing deals has become more difficult for landlords, even after initial agreements are in place. Second, landlords have made it more attractive for tenants to remain in place, prompting higher renewal rates. ‘While seasonal demand from students has remained strong, corporate demand has become more muted despite some pockets of stronger performance,’ he said. The report points out that demand in the prime central London lettings market has traditionally been strong from the financial services sector but optimism among bankers fell sharply in the second quarter of 2015, according to a CBI/PWC survey. ‘Continued regulatory uncertainty means banks are scaling back spending plans and nervousness surrounds a possible UK exit from the European Union, the recent Greek crisis and Chinese stock market volatility,’ Bill said. ‘However, there are longer terms grounds for economic confidence, and the UK’s recovery was underlined by strong GDP figures in July. Furthermore, in an attempt to increase the appeal of London, Chancellor George Osborne plans to reduce the bank levy,’ he explained. ‘Meanwhile, Brevan Howard, one of world’s largest hedge funds, is reportedly moving senior traders back from Geneva to London, underlining the city’s dominance as a global financial centre,’ he added. Continue reading
