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New research reveals the rapid growth of the private rented sector in the UK
Over two million homes have changed tenure in the last decade when taking into account all property sales between owner occupiers and landlords, according to new research. Some 1,550,000 properties have gone from being lived in by their owner to being lived in by a tenant, while 550,000 have moved the other way, from the private rented sector into owner occupation. This has resulted in an extra million homes being occupied by a tenant rather than a home owner, equivalent to the number of households in the North East of England, says the research from property group Countrywide plc. Homes transferring from owner occupation into the private rented sector accounted for half of the growth in the number of privately rented homes over the same period. Most of the remaining growth in the private rented sector has come from landlords buying new build homes. The research also found that some 700,000 new homes built since 2005 have found their way into the private rented sector. The remaining homes changing tenure have come from social housing and residential conversions. Despite this, homes are only around half as likely to change tenure as people. First time buyers end up buying 65% of the homes that leave the private rented sector, and last year 45,000 first time buyers bought their home from a landlord, the highest number since the market downturn in 2008. This equates to 15% of all those who got onto the housing ladder for the first time. With first time buyers and landlords tending to look for homes which are smaller and cheaper than average, they often find themselves in competition. As a result, both groups are disproportionately likely to sell homes to one another. The research explains that given the private rented sector is largest in London and the South East, this is where first time buyers are mostly likely to buy their home from a landlord. One in five new buyers in London, and one in six in the South East, bought a home which had previously been rented out. It is in these two regions where the difference between what new buyers paid when buying from a landlord and those that didn’t is greatest. Those buying from a landlord paid on average 8% less than those that didn’t. ‘The rapid growth of the private rented sector has to come from somewhere, while the tenure may change, the physical home remains,’ said Johnny Morris, director of research at Countrywide. ‘The sector has been growing since 2005 but the number of home owners has fallen in each of the last 10 years. This scale of shift in tenure shows that the current push from the government to increase the number of homeowners is unlikely to be enough to reverse the decline,’ he explained. ‘Although landlords and first time buyers might not appear natural bedfellows, because they tend to look for similar types of homes they do end up selling to each… Continue reading
Majority of home owners in Australia concerned about property values
More than two thirds of Australians are concerned that Australia’s housing is vulnerable to a significant correction in values, according to the latest housing sentiment survey. Some 68% of respondents to the September CoreLogic RP Data TEG survey said they believe the housing market is vulnerable to a significant correction in values. However, the findings are a reduction from the previous quarter results where 75% of respondents indicated they were concerned about a significant downturn, but despite the apparent improvement in consumer perceptions, a significant proportion of the community are wary of substantial value falls across the nation’s largest and most important asset class, which according to CoreLogic RP Data is worth an estimated $6.2 trillion. ‘While we don’t envisage dwelling values will fall substantially, the probability of declines in Sydney, and to a lesser extent in Melbourne, after such a strong run of capital gains isn’t unlikely,’ said CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless. ‘Home values are already trending lower in Darwin and Perth. It was less than three and a half years ago that capital city dwelling values fell by 7.4% between October 2010 and May 2012,’ he pointed out. Additionally, 95% of survey respondents believe that foreign demand is pushing property values higher, with 19% indicating that foreign buyers were responsible for placing ‘extreme’ upwards pressure on home values. Only 5% of survey respondents thought foreign buying activity wasn’t pushing home values higher. According to Lawless, the results are a stark reminder that the true extent of foreign buying of residential properties across Australia continues to lack transparency, despite the House Economics Committee Report on Foreign Investment in Residential Real Estate being handed down almost a year ago. He added that the latest statistics haven’t been updated since the 2013/14 financial year. Some 55% of survey respondents thought that the current housing market conditions represented a good time to buy a property, down from 60% in June. Respondents based in Sydney, where housing market conditions have been running the hottest, were the most pessimistic about buying conditions, however 29.7% of respondents still thought that now was a good time to be getting into the market. Alternatively, more than 70% of survey respondents thought buying conditions were ripe in the Australian Capital Territory, Adelaide, regional Queensland and Perth. The proportion of survey respondents who thought property values will rise over the coming six months has been trending lower, with respondents who thought home values will rise over the next six months dropping from 49% in March and 48% in June to just 40% of all respondents in September. Continue reading
Home buyers in UK unlikely to see mortgage costs rise in short term
Home buyers in the UK are set to see mortgage rates remain at historic lows for some time yet despite original forecasts that they might rise by the end of this year. The Bank of England has indicated that the current 0.5% base rate is likely to be around for some time yet with a rise not looking likely until well into 2016 or even 2017. Rates have now been this low for 80 months. But there are concerns that home buyers will get too used to low interest rates and this could backfire in the future when interest rates do rise. According to James Jones, head of Consumer Affairs at Experian, buyers need to work out what they can afford, and plan ahead for unforeseen costs that may make repaying debts harder over the years ahead. A survey of people who had failed to secure a mortgage last year suggests that many are failing to do the basic research needed to get proper control of their finances. Some 13% did not know how much money they have left over at the end of the month and 18% did not know what monthly repayments they could afford. The research also found that 14% did not have a big enough deposit for the property they wanted and 12% were unable to secure the size of mortgage they needed. Another piece of research has found that almost three quarters of home owners with interest only mortgages are worried they may not be able to repay their loan. Interest only deals mean borrowers pay the interest on the loan during the life of the mortgage and then must repay the capital when the mortgage term ends. Just 31% of those interest only borrowers questioned said they have a separate investment policy in place, such as an endowment or an ISA, to pay the capital, according to the research by mortgage broker Ocean Finance. While 16% said they plan to switch to a repayment mortgage before their current loan ends, 31% said they expect to have to sell their home to settle the outstanding capital. And a fifth of home owners said they don’t have a plan in place to repay the capital. ‘Interest only has become a time bomb because so many people took out the products to cut the cost of their mortgage, with no view of how they would repay the capital element. Borrowers who have an interest only mortgage with no repayment plan need to take action,’ said Gareth Shilton, Ocean’s spokesperson. ‘It’s advisable to seek advice on whether they can overpay on their current interest only deal, switch to a repayment mortgage, or use an ISA or pension to settle the capital payment,’ he added. Interest only mortgages became popular in the 1990s as a way for consumers to afford homes at a time when property prices were soaring. Lenders often agreed interest only loans without confirming borrowers could repay the capital owing… Continue reading
