Tag Archives: london
Sales of affordable homes in London fall substantially, new data shows
Sales of affordable homes in London more than halved in the first eight months of 2015 compared to the same period last year, according to a new analysis. The lowest value segment of the market, homes under £250,000, saw a 51% decline in sales, the steepest of any price point across London, the report from Cushman & Wakefield also shows. The data shows that just 10,449 homes in this band were sold in the first eight months of this year compared to 21,337 in the same period in 2014 as the supply of homes coming to market below £250,000 dries up. Total sales of London residential properties fell from 79,226 to 58,322 with volumes in the first eight months declining across the board. A range of factors have contributed to the decline including mortgage availability, the General Election and changes to Stamp Duty which have made buying property over £1 million more expensive. However, the contrast in the rates of decline between price bands is stark. Sales of homes over £250,000 declined by an average of 17%, far less than the 51% drop off below the quarter of a million mark. ‘While Stamp Duty’s impact on sales is undeniable, the rate of decline for homes below £250,000 is far more severe than above the much talked about million pound threshold. Even sales of London’s most expensive homes, above £10 million, where Stamp Duty costs are highest haven’t dropped off to the same extent,’ said Candice Matthews, a director in Cushman & Wakefield’s London residential team. ‘The biggest problem at the value end of the market in London is lack of supply and our analysis is a clear indictment of London’s increasing unaffordability. Rising prices have steadily eroded the number of homes coming to market for less than £250,000. Londoners with this budget are instead being locked into renting where they often face much higher monthly outgoings as a result,’ she added. Since December 2014, stamp duty has been applied like income tax: 0% up to £125,000 of the purchase price, at 2% between £125,000 and £250,000, at 5% over £250,000 to £925,000, at 10% over £925,000 to £1.5 million and at 12% for everything above. David Ramsdale, research analyst at Cushman & Wakefield, believes that the Government is likely to look at revising the tax over the next 12 months, particularly once the Stamp Duty revenue figures for the financial year are released next summer. ‘We believe the greatest focus needs to be on homes below £250,000. One thing that would help affordability in London would be to adjust the Starter Homes Initiative. This helps first time buyers under 40 years old get on the property ladder by making homes available at 80% of the market value up to a limit of £450,000 in the capital,’ he explained. ‘The transaction figures suggest this should be lowered to the national figure of £250,000 in order to have a significant impact,’ he added. Continue reading
A mortgage in the US is generally more affordable than renting, new report says
Paying for a mortgage is still more affordable than renting in the United States but saving enough money for a down payment has become increasingly difficult for first time buyers. According to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Zillow this is particularly the case in markets where home values are rising rapidly. With the majority of renters in the largest metros putting about 30% of their monthly income toward a rental payment, saving money for a 20% or 10% down payment is extremely difficult. The report suggests that first time buyers and millennials are left trying to find other ways to break into the housing market, turning to friends and family for financial help. In 2014 alone, 13% of home purchases were bought using a loan or gift from friends or family for the down payment. Rental affordability has worsened in 28 of the 35 largest metros over the past year, and mortgage affordability worsened in just 18 of them, according to the report covering the third quarter of 2015. Residents of the Denver metro can expect to spend about 21% of their income on a mortgage, compared to 34% on rent. In the US as a whole home owners can expect to spend 15% of their income on a mortgage and 30% on rent. But getting that mortgage payment requires a home buyer to have saved $62,760 for a 20% down payment, the industry standard, on a median valued Denver home, which is $313,800. In the Boston and Miami markets, the median monthly mortgage payment requires just 22% and 20% of monthly income, respectively. Renting is substantially more expensive, influencing many renters to start thinking about purchasing a home. Some 35% of the median income pays the median rent in Boston and 44% in Miami. However, to purchase a home in Boston a 20% down payment is $76,220 while in Miami, buyers need to have saved $44,680. The report also shows that breaking into the housing market is less of a challenge in more affordable markets, like Cleveland. A 20 % down payment on a median home there is $25,000, or $12,500 for a 10% deposit. Residents of Cleveland can expect to spend 11% of their monthly income on a mortgage while for renters it is 27% of their monthly income. ‘In general, paying a mortgage is more affordable than renting, and has been for some time. Unfortunately, many current renters aren't able to realize the savings that come with homeownership because as home values and rents keep rising, it's getting increasingly difficult to clear the down payment hurdle,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘It's not uncommon for a 20% down payment on even a modest home to represent savings of $50,000 or more in some areas. And that number itself is a moving target, rising as home values escalate and harder to achieve as more money goes to landlords and less goes to savings,’… Continue reading
Country house market in UK above £2 million seeing recovery
The UK’s country house market has seen a marked recovery in the £2 million plus sector in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the previous two quarters, according to the latest research. The analysis report from Strutt & Parker also shows that sales levels are now not far off where they were in the fourth quarter of 2014, suggesting that the market uncertainty from the general election has perhaps filtered out. Strutt & Parker’s UK outlook for the remainder of 2015 looks positive and it predicts that there will be sufficient growth in the final quarter of the year to hit the forecast of 5.0% for 2015. Growth over the next few years is also forecast as positive with 5% per annum anticipated. There are, however, uncertainties for the UK market and the upcoming European Union referendum and potential interest rate rises adds further pressures. Despite this, sensibly priced and good quality properties, both regionally and in prime central London, will continue to do well, the firm believes. ‘There remains some uncertainty over the near term outlook for the national housing market. The gradual strengthening in growth within the UK economy is still being met by some caution against risk and interest rates are expected to begin rising early to mid 2016,’ said Stephanie McMahon, head of research at Strutt & Parker. ‘Once rates do begin to rise they may have a dampening effect on the national housing market, most specifically in the mainstream markets where the majority of purchases are dependent upon mortgages,’ she explained. ‘However, two factors should cushion this impact. First, interest rate rises are likely to be gradual, estimated to reach circa 2% to 2.5% over the next five years. Secondly, the majority, 75% to 80%, f recent mortgages have been at fixed rates. Both of these factors should mean that any adjustments in purchasers’ behaviour should also be gradual,’ she added. Her colleague, James Mackenzie, head of the country house department at Strutt & Parker, also agrees that the prime country house market is showing signs of improvement with a lack of high value property on the market and growth in demand over the quarter. ‘However, buyers are incredibly price sensitive as the cost of stamp duty is still a major hurdle. We are hopeful for a normalised autumn and winter,’ he added. Guy Robinson, head of regional residential agency at Strutt & Parker, pointed out that activity in the summer and early autumn months has shown encouraging signs of an improving market. ‘Last quarter, there was strong demand from buyers which has translated into agreed sales. The number of new instructions has remained static, consistent with the previous period,’ he said. Continue reading
