Tag Archives: london
Latest index shows slight dip in UK house price growth
House prices in the UK in the last three months were 1.4% higher than the previous three months, the smallest rise since December 2014, according to the latest index figures to be published. Month on month they decreased by 0.2% but are 9% higher in the three months to November than in the same three months than a year ago, taking the average price to £204,552, the data from the Halifax shows. Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, pointed out that the annual rate of price growth eased from 9.7% in October but said solid economic growth, rising real earnings and falls in already very low mortgage rates have combined to stimulate housing demand this year. He explained that the increasingly acute imbalance between supply and demand is causing prices to rise at a robust pace and this is a situation that is unlikely to reverse significantly in the short term. Neal Hudson, associate director at Savills research, pointed out that monthly figures can be quite volatile so it is always best to look at the longer term trends. ‘These show continued annual price growth in excess of underlying incomes, driven primarily by increased mortgage lending into the sector but compounded by relatively low levels of stock available,’ he said. ‘Short term indicators have weakened, with house price growth on a three month basis slowing, but we may well see these seasonally adjusted figures revised in coming months,’ he added. He also pointed out that the figures reflect a regular pattern in house price growth emerging over the last couple of years, with strong price growth in the first six months followed by static prices in the final six months on the year. ‘Savills expects this trend to continue next year with a national house price forecast of 5% and so the seasonally adjusted growth currently reported may well be revised upwards in coming months,’ said Hudson. Mark Posniak, managing director of Dragonfly Property Finance, also expects prices to keep rising in 2016 due to the imbalance between supply and demand. ‘The worry is that there is no concerted long term strategy for tackling supply. The lack of properties being put up for sale remains an enigma given that mortgage rates and the cost of living are so low and consumer confidence, overall, is high,’ he said. ‘Talk of imminent interest rate rises has been going on for a year or two now and it may be that people want more clarity on the speed of rate rises before they commit to a purchase. It's hard to believe that 2016 will see any change in the ongoing narrative of low supply, strong demand and rising prices,’ he explained. According to Jonathan Hopper, managing director of the buying agents Garrington Property Finders, while a halving of the pace of quarter on quarter price rises might appear dramatic given the market’s consistent growth this year, it is the first time in… Continue reading
North/south home repossession gap closes in England and Wales
The gap between home repossessions in the North and South of England and Wales has closed by 80% since the recession, according to new detailed research. On average, there were 1.1 repossessions per 1,000 households in the North in the first half of 2015 compared to 0.7 in the South, according to the analysis by e.surv chartered surveyors of court ordered repossessions, a difference of 0.4. By comparison, in 2008 repossession rates stood at 8.2 per 1,000 households in the North and 5.9 in the South, a difference of 2.3. This means the divide has closed by 80% across this seven year period. On a yearly basis since the first half of 2014 the North-South divide has narrowed 43%. In the first six months of 2014 there were 2.4 repossessions per 1,000 households in the North, in contrast to 1.7 in the South, with a difference of 0.7, meaning the gap closed at a faster pace over the last year than in previous years. In absolute terms, across England and Wales total home repossessions have declined by 45% year on year to reach 10,401 in the first half of 2015 from 23,279 as of the first half of 2014. As a result, the average rate of repossessions stands at 0.9 per 1,000 households, compared to a rate of 2.1 repossessions per 1,000 households in the first half of 2014. However, the report says that despite these improvements, the North is failing to match this average rate across England and Wales, with almost eight out of 10 towns in the regions seeing a higher than average repossession rate. ‘Over the last year, the North/South gap has been narrowing at an accelerated pace. Fewer people are battling unemployment and against this optimistic backdrop, finances are being bolstered across England and Wales by delayed interest rate increases,’ said Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors. ‘Rising wages and negative inflation are making living costs more affordable, giving people room to save. But these economic changes are also having a real impact on those feeling the strain and potentially facing repossession,’ he explained. ‘A healthier lending market is enabling people to search for cheaper mortgage options and regulatory changes, such as the 2014 Mortgage Market Review, are making a real difference in protecting borrowers from committing to potentially unaffordable mortgages in the first place,’ he added. The details of the report reveal that since the first half of 2014, Bolton has featured in the top 10 worst repossession postcodes. Despite the town seeing a reduction in its repossession rate year on year to two per 1,000 households in the first half of 2015 from 2.8 in the first half of 2014, it still has emerged as the town with the highest incidence. Within the bottom five, Oldham at 1.6 per 1,000, Liverpool also at 1.6 per 1,000 and Manchester at 1.5 per 1,000, re all in the North West and are all battling high… Continue reading
UK landlords report increased tenant demand in third quarter of 2015
Private rented sector tenant demand continued to grow across the country in the third quarter of 2015 with 41% of landlords reporting a rise in demand. The data from a survey by Paragon Mortgages also shows that rental yields, that is annual rental income as a percentage of property value, have remained at the same levels seen throughout 2015. The survey, undertaken by BDRC Continental on behalf of Paragon Mortgages, found that yields averaged 5.6% nationally in the third quarter and amongst Paragon customers this figure was higher, with a national average of 5.9%. The greatest number of landlords, 17%, reported yields between 3% to 4%, while one in 10 landlords reported yields of 10% or more. Yorkshire and the Humber reported the highest yields in the third quarter at 6.1% with outer London reporting the lowest at 4.8%, despite outer London having the second largest increase in levels of tenant demand. On tenant demand, the East of England region has performed best in the quarter with 52% of landlords reporting an increase in demand. This figure was just 31% for the North East with a national average of 41% of landlords saying demand had increased. This figure represents a strong year on year increase in tenant demand across several regions since the third quarter of 2014 with the demand in the North East having increased from 23% to 31% and in outer London from 42% to 48%. ‘This research shows that yields, and tenant demand have remained strong throughout the third quarter, in common with 2015 overall. The figures reflect a steadily improving economic outlook for the UK as a whole and show that, more and more people are actively choosing the flexibility of making a home in the private rented sector,’ said John Heron, Director of Mortgages at Paragon. ‘Yields too have remained stable throughout 2015. Quarter three data shows London and the South East slowing down somewhat, while yields in the regions are growing. This represents a welcome rebalancing of the national economy, with some of the heat from London’s economy escaping the M25 and being distributed around the country,’ he added. Continue reading
