Tag Archives: london
Prime property values in London could see 3% growth in 2016
Prime property values in London are set to see modest 3% growth throughout 2016 but the fringes of the capital are expected to see much faster price rises of 5% or higher, a new forecast suggests. The market below £1.5 million is predicted o be the main driver of price growth in the coming year, as Stamp Duty continues to take the shine off the wealthiest segment of the London property market, according to the report from agents Marsh & Parson. Tooting and Queen’s Park are named in the report as the locations to watch in the coming year and agents are expecting an influx of buyers in January as the new year markets gets up to speed quickly. As a result, the popularity of more affordable and emerging locations is boosting activity and prices in these areas above levels seen elsewhere across the capital, the report explains. It points out that with direct transport links into Bank on the Northern line, and a leafy common on the doorstep, buyer demand has quickly spread from Balham to neighbouring Tooting. And in the North West, Queen’s Park is providing a credible ‘next step’ for those priced out of North Kensington and Little Venice, and is well serviced by the underground and over ground rail connections directly into Euston. With a top rate of Stamp Duty of 12% now in place, the highest tiers of the London property market have been severely tempered in recent months as buyers struggle to absorb the additional transaction levy. The report also shows that total prime London property sales dropped between the second half of 2014 and the first six months of 2015 and it is sales above £937,000, the threshold at which the higher Stamp Duty charges apply, which have seen the sharpest fall of all. In 2015, some 59% of London property sales have been for homes below the £937,000 marker, while purchases above this price threshold account for 41%, as the top of the market slows. In 2016 sellers will have to adjust their price expectations to make their properties more competitive and attractive. But properties that are priced realistically will still sell well, and quickly. At the start of this year, London homes for sale were typically achieving 95% of their asking prices, but this has climbed throughout the year to stand at 97% as of November 2015. ‘The Chancellor’s Stamp Duty changes have certainly dulled the London housing market of late, and whilst 2016 will see a return to growth it will be rather lacklustre. There now exists a fundamental unevenness between sellers who want to sell their properties at the prices they were at six months ago and buyers, who are seeking recompense for the increased Stamp Duty levelled at them,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘It’s already started but it’s going to take a while… Continue reading
Aberdeen property market set for declines unless oil price picks up
Aberdeen has seen some of the strongest growth in the residential real estate market in recent years but now it is under a period of adjustment after seven years of phenomenal growth, according to a new analysis. The residential market across the Aberdeen area is being affected by uncertainty within the oil dependent local economy and prices have started falling, data for the third quarter of 2015 shows. According to the report from real estate firm Savills in the 12 months to the end of September 2015 the overall average sale price in Aberdeenshire was the second highest in Scotland, behind Edinburgh. The average price in Aberdeen City was the fourth highest, behind East Renfrewshire, over the same period. Indeed, data for the 10 year average for the overall residential market, values are 24% higher in Aberdeen City and 19% higher in Aberdeenshire, compared to 11% for Scotland as a whole. Furthermore, prime values in the Aberdeen area are 34% higher than they were in 2007, the peak of the Scottish market. This compares to a drop of 22% for Scotland as a whole. Despite the recent turmoil, monthly residential rental prices in Aberdeen remain the highest in Scotland. However, there was a fall of 2% in Aberdeen City and 4% in Aberdeenshire in mainstream prices during the third quarter of 2015, compared to the same period last year. Prime values in the Aberdeen area have dropped by 9% over the same period, with properties in rural locations most affected compared to city locations. Rental values in Aberdeen City dropped by 7% over the same period. The biggest impact has been felt in the volume of sales. During the year ending September 2015, the number of residential sales in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire fell by 5% and 11% respectively, compared to the same period last year. However, Faisal Choudhry, director of Savills Scottish research, pointed out that despite these drops, there are some sections of the market that have bucked the trend. These include properties between £300,000 to £400,000, which have seen a slight annual increase in sales of 5%. ‘Our analysis of new build developments shows an increase in the number of properties currently available between £200,000 and £300,000. This includes first time buyers, professionals and young families who are continuing to benefit from the comparatively lower rates of taxation and mortgages,’ he said. He also pointed out that while as a whole the introduction of the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBBT) in April pushed the number of prime property sales up by 10% but this was not the case in the Aberdeen area, where the number of prime sales fell slightly to 669 during the year ending September 2015, compared to 678 during the previous 12 month period. ‘This suggests the market was further constrained by uncertainty within the oil sector. Prime activity has been further compounded by higher levels of taxation as a result of LBTT, with the… Continue reading
Prices in key UK cities up over 10% year on year
Property prices in the UK’s key cities have increased by 10.1% year on year, driven by a chronic shortage of homes being put up for sale, and are set to rise by around 7% in 2016, the latest index shows. With demand high, the shortage of supply has been particularly felt in the latter stages of the year and this is reflected in a 5% drop in sales, the data from the Hometrack UK cities house price index also shows. London has seen the highest growth with prices up 13.3%, following on from 14.7% in 2014 and the average price of a home in the capital city has leaped by £52,900 year on year. The weakest rate of growth was in Aberdeen where average house prices fell by 2% compared to a 12% rise in 2014, the data also shows. The city with the strongest turnaround over the last 12 months has been Glasgow where growth has jumped from 1.8% a year ago to 8% today as prices recover off a low base in one of the most affordable cities covered by the index. The index report suggests that scarcity and low turnover of stock will remain features of market supporting price growth but at expense of greater risk of localised price volatility, especially in cities with stretched affordability. Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack, pointed out that moving amongst existing mortgage home owners accounted for the lowest share of housing sales in a decade at 33% compared to 50% in 2007. ‘This group are a vital source of new supply alongside new homes which account for 10% of sales a year. Strong demand from investors, most of whom are not sellers, has also exacerbated the erosion of available supply,’ he said. He believes that the real engine for house price growth in 2016 looks set to come from regional cities which have recorded much lower levels of house price growth in the last few years and affordability levels are far less stretched. The index also shows that house price to earnings ratios are well ahead of the long run average in London, Oxford and Cambridge yet across all other cities affordability on this measure is in line with the average over the last 12 years. Across the 20 cities covered by the index the average income to afford a home with an average 76% mortgage at a 3.5 times income mortgage is £49,700, up from £45,200 a year ago. Donnell also pointed out that while the average mortgage rate is at an all-time low of 2.6% the reality is that existing mortgaged home owners outside the south east seem reluctant to take on debt to bid up the cost of housing. ‘Debt servicing costs continue to fall with the average mortgage rate on outstanding mortgage debt down to just 3.1%. UK households have seen interest payments fall by a further £1.1 billion over 2015,’ he said. He also… Continue reading
