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Home sales fell in Canada in December, latest index data shows
Home sales in Canada fell slightly month on month in December but are still above where they were a year ago, according to the latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association. Transactions were down 0.6% overall and fell in slightly more than half of all local markets, led by declines in Calgary, Edmonton, the York Region of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and Hamilton Burlington which offset monthly activity gains recorded elsewhere. Year on year price growth continued to range widely among housing markets tracked by the index. The actual, not seasonally adjusted, national average price for homes sold in December 2015 was $454,342, up 12% year on year, but it continues to be pulled upward by sales activity in Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto, which are among Canada’s most active and expensive housing markets. If these two housing markets are excluded from calculations, the average is a more modest $336,994 and the year on year gain is reduced to 5.4%. Even then, the gain reflects a tug of war between strong average price gains in housing markets around the GTA and the Lower Mainland of British Columbia versus flat or declining average prices elsewhere in Canada, the report points out. It adds that if British Columbia and Ontario are excluded from calculations, the average price slips even lower to $294,363, representing a year in year decline of 2.2%. Greater Vancouver with a rise of 18.87% and the Fraser Valley up 14.35% posted the largest gains, followed closely by Greater Toronto up 10.01%. Victoria and Vancouver Island prices increased between 6% and 8% and prices were up by 0.62% in Ottawa, by 1.81% in Greater Montreal and by 3.88% in Greater Moncton. Prices fell by 2% in Calgary and Saskatoon and by 4% in Regina. While the home price declines in Calgary and Saskatoon are a fairly recent trend, prices in Regina have been trending lower since early 2014, the index report points out. An increasingly short supply of listings in Vancouver and Toronto blunted the impact of changes to mortgage regulations announced in December that were aimed at cooling these housing markets, according to CREA president Pauline Aunger. ‘Buyers there had been expected to bring forward their purchase decisions before new regulations take effect in February 2016, but they faced a growing shortage of supply. Meanwhile, supply is ample in many other major urban markets, particularly those where buyers have become cautious amid economic uncertainty,’ she explained. Indeed, December mirrored the main themes of 2015, with strong sales activity and price growth across much of British Columbia and Ontario offsetting declines in activity among oil producing regions, said Gregory Klump, CREA’s chief economist. ‘The recent decline and uncertain outlook for oil prices means that housing market prospects are unlikely to improve in the near term in regions where job market prospects are tied to oil production,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures show that actual, not seasonally adjusted,… Continue reading
Scottish property industry wants more details of extra second home tax
There are calls in Scotland for further details on the extra 3% stamp duty tax to be made public as the introduction of the additional rates on top of LBTT is creating confusion. Towards the end of last year Scottish Finance Minister John Swinney announced as part of the Scottish budget that second homes, including buy to let, would face an additional 3% levy on top of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax from April 2016. However, despite the introduction of the new tax being just months away there remains much confusion amongst landlords as well as buyers and vendors generally. The intention of the levy is to charge a higher rate on each band of LBTT if at the end of the day of the transaction an individual owns two or more residential properties. However, the higher rate will not be charged if the purchaser is replacing their main residences. The Scottish Government are keen to ensure that there are sufficient affordable opportunities for first time buyers to enter the property market but the surcharge is a blow to landlords who have also recently suffered the loss of the buy to let tax relief. George Lorimer, partner at CKD Galbraith, believes that the new levy will undoubtedly lead to a rush of buy to let purchasers looking to beat the April deadline, then to an anticipated drop in sale prices post April with sellers likely to be the ones bearing the lion’s share of the additional costs of the levy. ‘However, given the complete lack of real detail currently available about the new tax, those who do rush to buy or sell property before April are doing so without knowing exactly what the new rules will be. There are many anomalies requiring clarity but the silence from the Scottish Government has been deafening and there is little time left to debate the details of the new tax,’ he said. ‘Specific questions need to be answered on issues such as property owned by married couples and civil partners, second homes outside of the UK and also the logistics of joint purchases, just to name a few. Whilst as a firm we are well placed to advise our clients and those thinking of selling or buying before April, more information is urgently required to allow for informed decisions,’ he explained. The surcharge is also expected to impact tenants as rents increases to cover costs or less well-off landlords decide to sell rental property. Bob Cherry, partner at CKD Galbraith, pointed out that the new levy will have implications for current landlords looking to sell as well as act as yet another deterrent to would be landlords thinking about the market as an investment opportunity. ‘This measure, like the LBTT rises introduced earlier this year, is also a wealth tax on owners as buyers of buy to lets will seek to pass on the extra purchase costs by reducing the price they are prepared to… Continue reading
Rents in UK likely to grow at a slower pace in 2016
Rents for newly let homes in the UK continued to grow in 2015 albeit at a slower pace than in 2014, according to the latest index report. Average rents grew by 3.1% over the year, taking the average monthly rent to £919 per calendar month, according to the data from property services group Countrywide. Rents rose in all regions of the country with the East of England seeing the highest growth, up 6.5%, and the c London market seeing the lowest with 0.5% growth. The report also shows that 34% of tenants who renewed their tenancy faced higher rents, an increase of 7% from last year. However, the average rent for renewing tenancies only grew by 1.3%, less than for those moving into a new home. Rental growth over 2015 was supported by increasing demand for rental homes and low stock of homes available to rent. This imbalance between supply and demand has intensified competition for homes in the market. The average property is now let within 20 days of being instructed; two days quicker than it was in 2014. The time to let has fallen across the country, but homes in the North of England and the Midlands are now let almost three days quicker. Greater London as a whole saw a slowdown in rental growth in 2015 compared with 2014, but rents still rose by 4.7%. As rents have risen in recent years, tenants have increasingly looked to cheaper areas in Outer London. As a result the proportion of under 25s living in the rental sector in London fell by 4% in 2015, the continuation of a longer term trend. As rents continue to increase and outpace earnings in the capital, younger people and those in lower income brackets, have found it harder to remain in the capital, particularly in central areas. Surrounding regions in the South of England have seen small growth in the proportion of under 25s in their market, as Londoners look further afield for more affordable markets. ‘A mix of steadily increasing demand and a lack of homes to rent supported rental growth in 2015, even though wage growth remained subdued. In London rising costs meant renters were more likely to move to outer London or the commuter belt in search of more affordable places to live,’ said Johnny Morris, research director at Countrywide. ‘2016 looks to be a complicated year for landlords as the government focuses its efforts on boosting homeownership. The additional 3% stamp duty charge, stricter regulation and changes to tax relief from 2017 onwards will all take their toll on investor sentiment and impact behaviour,’ he explained. ‘With stock at a premium, the smaller landlords who decide to sell up will add upward pressure to rents, although any rises will be tempered by affordability pressures,’ he added. Continue reading
