Tag Archives: investment
US home foreclosures continuing to fall, latest data shows
Foreclosures in the United States are continuing to decline with the latest data showing they fell 30% in December year on year, the sixth consecutive month with an annual decrease in foreclosure starts. However, the figures from real estate data firm RealtyTrac also shows that bank repossessions (REOs) in December increased 65% from a year ago, the 10thconsecutive month with an annual increase in REOs. ‘In 2015 we saw a return to normal, healthy foreclosure activity in many markets even as banks continued to clean up some of the last vestiges of distress left over from the last housing crisis,’ said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. ‘The increase in bank repossessions that we saw for the year was evidence of this clean up phase, which largely involves completing foreclosure on highly distressed, low value properties,’ he explained. ‘Meanwhile, local economic problems became a larger driver of foreclosure activity in 2015 Examples of this are Atlantic City, New Jersey, which posted the nation’s highest metro foreclosure rate for the year, along with several heavy oil-producing markets in Texas and Oklahoma where foreclosure activity increased in 2015, counter to the national trend,’ he added. Counter to the national trend, 24 states and the District of Columbia posted an increase in foreclosure activity in 2015 compared to 2014, including Massachusetts up 55%, Missouri up 50%, Oklahoma up 36%, New York up 24% and Texas up 16%. Among the nation’s 20 largest metro areas, six posted year on year increases in foreclosure activity in 2015. In Boson they were up 44%, up 38% in St. Louis, up 25% in Dallas, up 22% in Detroit, up 9% in New York and up less than 1% in Houston. A total of 569,835 properties started the foreclosure process in 2015, down 11% from 2014 and down 73% from the peak of more than 2.1 million foreclosure starts in 2009 to a 10 year low. Bucking the national trend, foreclosure starts increased in 2015 in 16 states, including Oklahoma up 92%, Massachusetts up 67%, Missouri up 28%, Virginia up 23%, Nevada up 14% and Arkansas up 14%. A total of 449,900 properties were repossessed by lenders in 2015, up 38% from 2014 but still 57% below the peak of nearly 1.1 million bank repossessions (REOs) in 2010. The median price of a bank owned home in 2015 was 41% below the median price of all homes, the biggest bank owned discount nationwide since 2006. ‘That may be surprising to some, but demonstrates that in a healthy real estate market foreclosures are no longer mainstream, but instead are back to being a market niche of properties with problems that many buyers do not want to tackle,’ said Blomquist. Bank repossessions (REOs) increased from a year ago in 41 states and the District of Columbia. Some of the biggest increases were in New Jersey which was up 226%, New York up 194%, Texas up 115%, North Carolina up 108%, and Oregon up 96%. Foreclosures in… Continue reading
High supply level keeping rents on prime property in London down
Residential rents across the prime property market in London rose by just 1.3% on average in 2015, while those in the commuter zone increased marginally by 0.6%, new data shows. In London this reflects relatively high levels of supply coming into the market, not just from investment buyers of an increasing volume of new build stock but also from the re-emergence of accidental landlords, who reflect a more heavily taxed and generally less active sales market, says a new report from international real estate firm Savills. Behind the headline figures, however, there are a number of submarket trends seen in previous years, the report points out. In the prime housing markets of the commuter zone, rental values of prime properties in urban locations performed much more strongly than those in other locations, showing annual rental growth of 3.1%. In London smaller properties were by far the best performers. For example, while rents for one bedroom homes rose by 3% in the year, those for four bedroom houses barely increased at all rising by just 0.1% on average. ‘From an investment perspective, this meant smaller, less expensive properties clearly delivered the best returns. In addition to stronger rental growth, they offered better income yields and capital values proved more robust given less exposure to higher rates of stamp duty,’ said Lucian Cook, director of Savills residential research. He also pointed out that the impact of tax policy on the rental market has undoubtedly become a very hot topic. There is the progressive restriction of tax relief on mortgage interest payments meaning that by the 2020/2021 tax year, only basic rate tax relief will be given to private individuals, and more recently the imposition of a 3% stamp duty surcharge on the acquisition of so called additional homes, the purchase of which completes after 01 April 2016. Cook gave examples of how these changes will have an impact. He examined the economics behind the purchase of three different prime London properties in 2015; a one bedroom flat in the east of City market, a three bedroom house in south west London and a four bedroom house in central London. In each case it was assumed that 60% of the total purchase cost, including stamp duty and miscellaneous additional costs of purchase, is funded by cash and 40% by debt. At current interest rates, with full tax relief on the corresponding interest payments each makes a reasonable cash surplus for a private investor. That surplus varies between 21% of gross rent for the most expensive property in central London that has the highest stamp duty liability and delivers the lowest income return and 28% of gross rent for the smallest, highest yielding property in the east of City market that carries the lowest stamp duty liability. ‘In 2020, we expect the cost of mortgage debt to have risen, we have assumed a 4.5% mortgage interest rate, and income yields to have fallen because we expect price growth… Continue reading
Mortgage approvals end 2015 on a strong footing, bank data shows
Approvals for home purchases in the UK increased towards the end of 2015 with December being a strong month, according to the latest figures from the Bank of England. The number of loan approvals for buying in December was 70,837 compared to an average of 69,462 over the previous six months while the number of approvals for remortgaging was 41,708, compared to the average of 39,540 over the previous six months But the next few months are likely to be very different, according to David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business. ‘The next wave of activity will be powered by landlords scrambling to complete transactions before they are hit with extra taxes. This is only just beginning,’ he said. ‘With 01 April marking the point at which Stamp Duty on buy to let properties bites, many investors have been rushing to get their mortgages completed and expand their portfolios before this date,’ he pointed out. ‘Expect this flurry of activity to continue into the first few months of 2016, as investors rush to apply for their buy to let mortgages and lenders do everything in their power to get the good applications completed before the April crunch point,’ he added. Peter Williams, executive director of Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association, pointed out that December was the busiest month for remortgaging in over two years, with activity growing more than twice as fast as overall approvals. ‘The continued appetite for remortgaging was likely to be a sign of home owners eager to capitalise on market competition and lock into lower rates, especially with US raising interest rates for the time in nine years and expectations the UK would follow suit in the not too distant future,’ he explained. After the Autumn Statement extensions to Help to Buy, and the rock bottom base rate lasting out the year, first time buyers were feeling decisive, and this was mirrored by a clear upswing in house purchase approvals from November to December, according to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘This energy has definitely been carried over into 2016, and January has already seen an impressive influx of motivated buyers, eager to progress up the property ladder,’ he explained, adding that 2015 was also the year of remortgaging for many existing home owners and this momentum is showing no signs of dissipating while cheaper fixed rate mortgages remain available. ‘But in the coming months we can expect strong buy to let lending, as the April introduction of higher stamp duty for second homes gives a new sense of urgency for those looking to invest in property or expand their existing portfolio,’ he added. Continue reading
