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Average rents in Scotland up 2.3% year on year

Average rents in Scotland increased by 2.3% year on year in January but remained static month on month at £548, according to the latest index figures. However, the average figure is being distorted by high increases in some regions such as Edinburgh and the Lothians where rents were up by 6.4%, the buy to let index from lettings agent Your Move shows. Meanwhile, rents in the East of Scotland were 1.7% lower than a year ago and they fell by 0.2% year on year in Glasgow. The index also shows that slower house price growth is hampering landlord returns with a fall of 5.8% in the year to January but arrears have improved with 11.1% tenants late paying, the lowest level since July 2015. Previously, arrears surged over the autumn to reach a record high of 13.8% in October 2015, before beginning to improve. However, tenant’s finances remain in worse shape than 12 months ago. In January 2015 as little as 7.1% of all rent due was late. A breakdown of the figures show that in January 2016, rents in Edinburgh and the Lothians were 6.4% or £38 higher than a year ago, the fastest annual rent rise on record. This is nearly three times quicker than average rent growth across the whole of Scotland. On average, across Scotland as a whole rents climbed 2.3% in the 12 months to January 2016, equal to £12 in absolute terms. This is only slightly faster than 2.2% in the 12 months from December, though represents an annual acceleration compared to the 1.3% annual lift recorded in January 2015. ‘In different parts of Scotland, powerful interplays between supply and demand are shaping the regional rent patterns that are emerging. In popular cities like Edinburgh where the jobs market is hottest the competition to find homes means tenants have to act quickly. As a result, we’re seeing exceptional rent growth in some parts of the country while in others, lettings market activity is much calmer,’ said Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland. ‘However there’s also another ingredient added to the mix now. The private rented sector is in a state of uncertainty, as landlords wait with baited breath while the Private Tenancies Bill progresses through the Scottish Parliament. Nervous landlords may be acting now before their hands are tied, and they lose control of the rent they can charge. This could have prevented a seasonal dip between January and December instead of the steady picture we have seen,’ he explained. ‘Encouragingly, the latest rent rises are underpinned by good news. We should also be looking at tenants’ bottom line. Arrears are falling which speaks volumes for affordability right now. With rents below their price peak, many tenants have been seizing the opportunity to move out of season, while good deals are available,’ he added. On a regional basis three of the five regions of… Continue reading

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Maligned banking practice could help rebalance UK mortgage market, study suggests

Securitisation, where investors buy pools of debt from banks as secured assets, has enabled mortgage lenders in the UK to offer an increased number of lower risk, long term fixed rate mortgages, it is claimed. Securitisation was originally intended to free up funding for banks, allowing them to sell packages of mortgage loans and lend out the proceeds to more customers. Those loans could then be sold on, and the cycle could start again. The process was also intended to reduce risks for banks by spreading the ownership of mortgages and other loans among other investors but it came under scrutiny during the global economic downturn and used less frequently as a result. However, a new study of long term market trends by Dr Alla Koblyakova and Professor Michael White, of Nottingham Trent University’s Real Estate Economics and Investment Research Group, has found that 78% of mortgages sold as securities over a nine year period were held in longer term fixed rate contracts. ‘This is an important finding as it shows that securitisation not only increases liquidity in the market but has the potential to shift consumer mortgage choices toward long-term fixed rate mortgage debt,’ said Koblyakova. ‘In a market like the United Kingdom’s, where around 80% of residential mortgage debt is held in higher risk variable rate or short term fixed rate contracts, this is a very welcome finding,’ he claimed. ‘A high level of variable debt is seen as a source of economic instability. Policymakers may wish, therefore, to consider the potentially beneficial role that securitisation can play in helping balance the UK mortgage market,’ he added. According to the study variable rate and short term fixed rate mortgages are more risky for borrowers as they leave them more vulnerable to financial shocks, such as interest rate increases. By contrast, longer term fixed rate deals protect borrowers from such increases, but leave lenders more exposed to these risks. Koblyakova believes lenders may be more inclined to offer longer term fixed rate mortgages to borrowers when these mortgages are sold on as securities because this reduces the lenders’ exposure to risk. The study also found that variable rate mortgages were more profitable for lenders than long term fixed rate mortgages by as much as 1.6%. For every 1% of profit a mortgage lender makes from a variable rate mortgage, the market share of variable rate mortgages increases by 18%. This is despite the data also suggesting that consumers prefer to take out longer term fixed rate products. ‘According to this data, larger profit margins for variable rate mortgage products positively influences demand. These findings are very important, and should stand as a call for action for policymakers, as they show that UK households may be faced with greater payment shocks because of the strategies of lenders,’ Koblyakova concluded. White pointed out that the regulation… Continue reading

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Average apartment prices up in Dubai but down in Abu Dhabi

Average apartment rents in Dubai increased by 3% in January compared to the previous month but amounts varied across property types, the latest data shows. Average rents reached an annual rate of AED138,000 overall with the market seeing some adjustments, according to the latest report from property portal Bayut. The firm also reports an improvement in yields for apartment property investors, reaching an average of just over 6% but these do vary according to property type, location and quality with some reaching up to 10%. One bedroom apartments recorded an average of AED97,000 in January, down 0.8% month on month while two and three bedroom rents were up 0.1% and 2.2% respectively AED151,000 and AED211,000. Rental values for four bed apartments also fell, down 2.2% in January compared to December 2015 to AED330,000. Yields improved across all apartment types. Studios offered average yields of 7.235, one bedroom apartment 6.4%, two bedroom apartments 5.7%, three bedroom apartments 5.3% and four bedroom apartments 3.55%. Dubai Marina remained the most popular locality for renting apartments in Dubai, followed by Jumeirah Lakes Towers. Bur Dubai, Downtown Dubai and Business Bay. In neighbouring Abu Dhabi rents are falling with values across all property types apart from three bedroom flats falling in January. The firm said that this could be the market adjusting to growth in 2015. Average apartment rents fell 5% from AED 141,000 in December 2015 to AED 135,000 in January. Studio apartment rents were down 3.6% to AED64,000, one bedrooms were down 1.3% to AED99,000, and two bedroom flats down 4% to AED136,000. Four bedroom apartment rents well the most by 4.6% to an average of AED252,000 while three bedroom apartments saw rents rise, up 2.3% to AED192,000. The firm also pointed out that although apartment rents fell last month in Abu Dhabi, average yields still offered a lot of value for investors, averaging 7% across all types. Yields for studios were 9.4%, one bedroom apartments 8%, two bedroom apartments 7.3%, three bedroom apartments 7.4% and four bedroom apartments 4.6%. In terms of popularity Al Reem Island, Al Raha Beach, Al Reef, Al Ghadeer and Saadiyat Island remained the top five locations for renting apartments in Abu Dhabi. Continue reading

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