Tag Archives: investment
Investment in European commercial property up by 25% in 2015 year on year
A total of €64.5 billion was invested in European commercial property in the final quarter of 2015, which took volumes for the full year to €238.5 billion, a 25% increase on 2014. However, the fourth quarter total was only slightly up, by 0.5%, on the same quarter of 2014, indicating that investment growth lost a little momentum towards the end of the year, according to the latest European quarterly commercial property outlook report from Knight Frank. However, it shows that increases in investment activity were widespread in 2015, with the core markets of the UK, Germany and France all seeing transactions rise by more than 20%. Among peripheral markets, investment volumes grew particularly strongly in Italy and Portugal, both fuelled by surging demand from international investors. The strength of investor demand kept European prime yields under downward pressure throughout 2015, although the pace of yield compression slowed in the final quarter. Also, the European weighted average prime office yield came down by four basis points in the final three months of 2015 to an all-time low of 4.79%, largely on the back of yield compression in Amsterdam, Berlin, Brussels, Copenhagen and Lisbon. The report points out that with large amounts of capital continuing to target European property, strong investment activity is expected to continue in 2016. However, the exceptional growth in transaction volumes seen in 2015 is unlikely to be repeated. Knight Frank’s forecast is that European investment in 2016 will be broadly in line with 2015 volumes. Many of the factors that supported the investment market in 2015, including the stabilising Eurozone economy, low interest rates and wide yield spreads to other asset types look set to remain favourable to property investors throughout 2016, the report says. The report also points out that Eurozone GDP growth is forecast to improve modestly to around 1.7%, following an increase of 1.5% in 2015. The European Central Bank has indicated that it may be prepared to make further interest rate cuts to support economic growth at a time when its main refinancing rate is currently 0.05% and the deposit rate is already in negative territory at -0.3%. Supported by the stabilisation of the Eurozone economy, European occupier market activity improved healthily in 2015. On an annual basis, aggregate take-up in the major markets monitored by Knight Frank rose by 10%. This was despite falling take-up in Europe’s two largest markets, London and Paris, and was driven by the strong performance of German, Iberian and CEE markets. Prime rents remained stable in the majority of European markets in the fourth quarter but the Knight Frank European Prime Office Rental Index rose by 0.9%, driven by increases in Dublin, Frankfurt, London (City), Madrid and Stockholm. The report suggests that rental growth may spread to a wider range of cities in 2016 with Paris, for example, expected to see prime office rents increase following more than two years of stability. Continue reading
New home building increases in the US as demand outstrips supply
New home building in the United States increased by 5.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.178 million units in February, according to newly released data. The figures from the US Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department show that single family production increased 7.2% to 822,000 units, its highest level since November 2007while multifamily starts remained virtually unchanged, inching up 0.8% to 356,000 units. ‘This month’s report is consistent with positive builder sentiment and other economic indicators showing that the housing market continues to recover at a gradual pace,’ said Ed Brady, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). ‘February’s single family gains indicate that this sector is strengthening in line with our forecast. As the US economy firms, job creation continues and mortgage interest rates remain low, we should see further growth in housing production moving forward,’ said NAHB chief economist David Crowe. Combined single and multifamily starts rose in three of the four regions in February, with the West, Midwest and South posting respective gains of 26.1%, 19.9% and 7..1% The Northeast registered a 51.3% loss. A decline in the volatile multifamily sector pushed overall permit issuance down 3.1% in February. Multifamily permits fell 8.4% to a rate of 436,000 while single family permits were up 0.4% to 731,000. Regionally, permits increased in the Northeast by 40.4%. The Midwest, West and South registered respective permit losses of 11.4%, 7.2% and 4.4%. Continue reading
Equity release lending hits new record in UK
Equity release lending activity on homes in the UK surged in the second half of 2015, recording its strongest growth rates since 2008. The in-depth report from the Equity Release Council shows the average initial amount of housing wealth unlocked by equity release customers via drawdown mortgages in the last six months of 2015 was £49,607. It points out that continued house price growth across much of the UK means many homes can 'earn' more than the average salary. This increases the appeal for home owners over the age of 55, who may no longer be working themselves, to improve their finances in later life by unlocking wealth tied up in their home, while retaining the right to tenure. The most common age to draw money through equity release is 65 to 74 but there has been particular growth in the 55 to 64 age group and those aged 85 and over. Over half of 55 to 64s opt for lump sum lifetime mortgages, while from 75 onwards four in five plans are drawdown mortgages Every region in England saw drawdown mortgage customers take an initial advance worth more than a year's take home pay for the average full time worker in that region. In London, drawdown customers withdraw the equivalent of 130 weeks' pay at £72,858. For lump sum customers in all UK regions except Scotland, where 91 weeks' worth of pay is released, the average withdrawal of housing wealth was equal to more than two year's take home pay. London again had the greatest sums taken out at £209,739 or 373 weeks' income. The five years from 2011 to 2015 have all seen a surge in equity release activity during the second half of the year. Indeed, the second half of 2015 saw a 26% rise in the value of lending compared with the first half, from £710 million to £898 million, the biggest half year growth rate of the post-2008 era. The Council's analysis of data for the second half of 2015 also shows product choice differs by age group, however. Between 65 and 74 product preferences closely match the overall market and 68.2% of plans taken out by this age group are drawdown and 31.8% are lump sum. The UK average is split 66.6% drawdown to 32.8% lump sum, and home reversion made up the remainder. Customers aged 55to 64 bucked the overall trend with the majority, 54.5%, choosing lump sum products. In contrast, from age 75 onwards four out of five opt for drawdown plans, taking an initial sum in later life while preserving an additional sum to withdraw as the need arises. ‘Equity release products continue to prove versatile in helping customers meet a range of financial needs before, at and during retirement. As a result, there is growing recognition from UK consumers, regulators and politicians that housing wealth can, and should, play a greater role in financial planning for retirement,’ said Nigel Waterson, chairman… Continue reading
