Tag Archives: investment
UK buy to let landlords face tougher lending rules
Some buy to let landlords in the UK face tougher regulation when it comes to getting a mortgage for expanding their portfolio, the Bank of England has announced. In what may be seen as another blow to the buy to let market but the Bank’s Financial Policy Committee (FPC) says that some lenders are applying ‘weaker’ standards when it comes to applications in this sector. The FPC also believes that the rapid rise in buy to let lending, while likely to slow when the new stamp duty levy comes into play on 01 April, the sector is still not without potential threats in terms of financial stability. So there will be stricter affordability checks. Landlords with four or more properties will be expected to declare the rental income they expect to receive from tenants and also their own income and spending habits. This is to ensure they can still afford the mortgage if a tenant defaults on their rent or the property is left vacant. Landlords will also have to prove they can cope if interest rates rise sharply and can afford all the costs associated with renting out a property. This includes tax, which will rise on buy to let properties from next year. ‘The FPC remains alert to potential threats to financial stability from rapid growth in buy to let mortgage lending,’ the statement says, showing that the outstanding stock of buy to let mortgages has risen by 11.5% in the year to the fourth quarter of 2015. ‘The macro prudential risks centre on the possibility that buy to let investors could behave pro-cyclically, amplifying cycles in the housing market, as well as affecting the resilience of the banking system and its capacity to sustain lending to the wider real economy in a stress,’ the FPC explains. ‘The FPC welcomes and supports the Supervisory Statement issued by the Board of the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) to clarify its expectations for underwriting standards in this market, including guidelines for testing the affordability of interest payments,’ it points out. ‘The PRA's review of lenders' plans revealed that some lenders are applying standards that are somewhat weaker than those prevailing in the market as a whole. The PRA's action is a prudent supervisory measure intended to bring all lenders up to prevailing market standards. It will guard against any slipping of underwriting standards during a period in which rapid growth plans could be challenged by the impact of forthcoming tax changes,’ it adds. The FPC statement also points out that the growth of buy to let mortgage lending is likely to slow in the second quarter of this year as changes to stamp duty take effect and that forthcoming changes to mortgage interest tax relief and the implementation of the PRA Supervisory Statement will probably dampen growth further. ‘The FPC will continue to monitor closely these developments and potential threats to financial stability from the buy to let mortgage market,’ it adds. The… Continue reading
UK new house building target not over ambitious, analysis suggests
The UK Government’s target of building a million new homes over the next few years is not as ambitious as some may think, according to a new analysis from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). The individual components of the goal includes 200,000 Starter Homes, an initiative still working its way through parliament, and 135,000 shared ownership properties about which little has been said to date. Trying to access the success of such a programme it about the official data on housing starts, according to RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn, and these show that a mere 144,000 new units were begun through the course of 2015. But he points out that other data produced by the Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG) casts some doubt on the accuracy of the quarterly figures which are produced on a high frequency basis and released within a short period following the end of the quarter. He explains that there is arguably more value to be gained by focusing on the less frequently released net supply numbers, which are based on completions rather than starts, as they reflect the additions to the stock of housing units for habitation. The quarterly completions series showed an additional 125,000 homes built in 2014/2015, the last full year for which data is available, while the annual net supply series puts completions at 155,000. Rubinsohn adds that net conversions added close to nearly 5,000 additional units over the period and this was supplemented more than 20,000 units from ‘change of use’. The latter figure has increased sharply over the past few years as a result of Permitted Developments Rights enabling the shift from office class to residential. And then demolitions amounted to just over 10,500 in 2014/2015. ‘So pulling this altogether, in the last financial year, there may have been 125,000 housing completions in England, 155,000, just over 180,000 or, after demolitions, 170,000. And on the basis of the higher number (gross additions to supply), the government doesn’t appear that far off its ambition for 2020,’ Rubinsohn argues. ‘None of this is designed to minimise the fundamental nature of the housing crisis which reflects the fact that household formation is still projected to comfortably outstrip projections for the supply of new units even on the most generous calculations,’ he says. ‘This is also clearly visible in the estimates by our professionals for medium term growth in house prices and rents. The February Residential Market Survey suggested both are likely to increase by at least another fifth over the next five years comfortably outstripping the probable rise in wages,’ he adds. Continue reading
Estate agent figures confirm rush of buy to let buyers
Figures from estate agents confirm that there has been a rush from buy to let investors ahead of the new stamp duty deadline for additional homes in the UK. In February some 85% of estate agents reported an increase in the number of buy to let investors flooding the market to beat the stamp duty changes which come into effect on 01 April, according to the latest housing report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA). The Chancellor’s announcement around stamp duty for additional homes made in last year’s Autumn Statement meant that in January and February this year 72% and 85% of agents respectively, saw an increase in interest from those hoping to purchase second homes. This meant that with added pressure from buy to let investors on the market, demand for housing was the highest level for 12 years in February. Indeed, the data shows that there were an average 463 house hunters registered per member branch, the highest since August 2004 when 582 were registered per branch. This is following an increase in January when estate agents reported 453 per branch, the highest since July 2015. The number of properties available per branch increased marginally from 33 in January to 35 in February, as the number of sales agreed per branch in February increased too. There were an average nine sales completed in February, back to the level seen in October 2015 and a rise from eight sales agreed per branch in January. The report also shows that 24% of total sales made in February were to first time buyers, a decrease of 5% points from January, as mounting pressure from buy to let investors increased competition. ‘It is evident from February’s report findings that we’ve seen a real sense of urgency from landlords trying to complete on sales ahead of the stamp duty reforms,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘However, the mounting pressure and increased demand for housing has meant that first time buyers have had to compete with landlords for property and as a result they have lost out,’ he pointed out. ‘We would like to say that come April things will look better for first time buyers. Schemes like the Help to Buy ISA, Help-to-Buy scheme and the new Lifetime ISA all sound great on paper, and there’s no doubt that some young people will definitely benefit from them,’ he explained. ‘But the crux of the problem though is that there is still a huge issue with supply and until we build more homes, and crucially the right sort of homes, we cannot fool ourselves into thinking we are doing enough to help people buy their own home,’ he added. Continue reading
