Tag Archives: housing
Demand remains strong in all commercial property sectors in UK
Commercial property prices in the UK continue to rise as demand remains strong in all sectors according to the latest survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). UK Commercial Property is still seen as a safe haven for investors with rents and capital values set to continue rising despite macro concerns, the survey says. With businesses across the UK thriving and employment data still strong, the industrial sector has the greatest momentum in occupier demand. Some 43% more chartered surveyors are seeing a rise in demand for industrial space in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 29% more seeing a rise rather than fall in demand for offices and 26% more seeing a rise in demand for retail. As demand increases, supply has continued to decrease across the UK with the survey recording the eleventh consecutive quarterly drop in available space across the commercial property market. The survey report also says that development nationally has only increased marginally with anecdotal evidence suggesting that there is a lack of commercial construction activity in many locations. It also explains that a deepening skills crisis is playing a key role in inhibiting development. One notable exception to the low level of new build across the UK is in the London office sector, where development has risen sharply over the last three quarters and 34% more surveyors saw a rise rather than fall in office development starts in the quarter. In the face of continued demand and lack of supply, rent expectations for the next quarter are strongly positive across all sectors with 35% more chartered surveyors projecting a rise in rents across all sectors. Industrial space was again the strongest performer with 43% more surveyors envisaging a further rise rather than fall in rents. Looking at the investment market, buyer enquiries have risen in each sector albeit less than previously and the upward trend in foreign buyers has noticeably flattened. Notwithstanding this, capital values are forecast to rise further in all sectors of the market in both the near and longer term with prime office and industrial sectors most likely to outperform. Looking further forward, all sector rents are set to continue to rise both in the medium and longer term. Over the next 12 months, respondents are most confident of seeing rental increases in the prime industrial market with 87% more respondents foreseeing a rise as opposed to a fall. At the other end of the scale, secondary retail space exhibits the most modest reading on a sectoral comparison, but still posted a relatively healthy balance of +51% expecting rents to grow. Regionally price expectations are positive across the UK, with the strongest performers expected to be London and the East, however, 81% of respondents in the capital now view commercial real estate in central London to be overpriced, slightly up on the 77% who took this view in the third quarter survey. The report also points out that there… Continue reading
Modest house price growth expected in UK in first months of 2016
UK house prices increased by 0.3% in January and annual growth is broadly stable at 4.4%, according to the latest residential index to be published. This takes the average price to £196,829 but the monthly rate of increase slowed from 0.8% in December which was unseasonally high, the report from the Nationwide Building Society says. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that annual house price growth has remained in a fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% since the summer of 2015. This annual trend was maintained in January, with house prices up 4.4% over the year, broadly in line with the 4.5% increase recorded in December. ‘As we look ahead, the risks are skewed towards a modest acceleration in house price growth, at least at the national level. The labour market appears to have significant forward momentum,’ said Gardner. ‘Employment has continued to rise at a robust rate in recent months and, while the pace of earnings growth has slowed somewhat, in inflation adjusted terms regular wages continue to rise at a healthy pace,’ he added. He also pointed out that this trend expected to continue and with interest rates also likely to stay on hold for longer than previously anticipated, the demand for homes is likely to strengthen in the months ahead. ‘The concern remains that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability. Indeed, the market is already characterised by a shortage of stock, with the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors reporting that the number of properties on estate agents’ books remains close to all-time lows,’ Gardner added. Continue reading
UK housing supply halves in 10 years and first time buyers still struggle
The supply of available housing to buy in the UK has almost halved in 10 years and first time buyers are still struggling to get on the housing ladder, according to estate agents. The average number of properties available per branch in December 2015 fell to 37 properties, the latest housing market report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) shows. It is the joint lowest figure for 2015 with September, and almost half the number available in December 2005 when there were an average 72 houses per branch. There were 45 houses available in December 2014. While the number of house hunters registered per branch fell to 374 in December from 403 last month, an expected seasonal trend, the number of house hunters per branch has gradually increased year on year. In December 2014, there were 360 potential buyers registered at each branch, up from 302 in December 2005. Low supply affected the number of sales in December, as NAEA members reported an average of seven sales per member branch, an expected seasonal dip, and the lowest recorded in 2015. ‘Whilst we expect figures for supply and demand to be seasonally low in December, 2015 overall does not paint a positive picture for the housing market. Supply of housing is half of what it was 10 years ago,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘Yet the number of home buyers on the books has been gradually increasing. When there is such a huge and widening gap between supply and demand, a level playing field seems further out of reach for many would be house buyers,’ he added. The report also suggests that the Government’s recent efforts to help first time buyers enter the property market such as Help to Buy and plans to build new starter homes are yet to take effect. The number of sales to first time buyers stands 24%, a 2% drop from December 2014. It also reveals that the recent 3% increase to stamp duty on buyers’ second properties has created movement in the market. Some 44% of NAEA agents have seen an increase in house buyers trying to beat these reforms, and snap up their properties before they come into force in April. ‘The issue of lack of supply needs to be solved, but it isn’t going to be done anytime soon. We are still waiting to see new homes being built and whilst we wait, house prices continue to rise,’ said Hayward. ‘There is some potential light for first time buyers however, once the new tax rate increase in April is in place we may see less investment from buy to let or second home investors, which may mean less competition for first time buyers,’ he added. Continue reading
