Tag Archives: housing
Lack of homes for sale hampering buyers in the United States
A lack of homes for sale across the United States continues to limit choices available to potential buyers, putting a strain on markets across the country, new research reveals. In January buyers had 8.6% homes to choose from than they did last year, according to the latest real estate market report from property firm Zillow. It also shows that housing starts reached a three month low in January, indicating that newly built homes will not be a significant benefit for buyers, either. The firm says that a restricted supply of homes for sale will mean increased competition for homes that are available, and bidding wars that can price out entry level or first time buyers. Low inventory, along with a strong job market has been driving up home prices, especially on the West Coast. Across the country, only a quarter of markets saw inventory increase over the past year. Among the largest metros in the country Atlanta saw the largest increase in available homes for sale at 6.8% while buyers in San Diego have significantly fewer options with inventory down 30%. Besides inventory, Zillow looks at price cuts and days on market to help identify whether markets are better for buyers or sellers. It found that markets that benefit sellers are mostly grouped in the West, where buyers are more likely to face bidding wars. Buyers will find themselves with more bargaining power in the East, in markets like Philadelphia and Baltimore. ‘If you're looking for a home or trying to sell, it's important to know what kind of market you're in. Hopeful buyers in a strong sellers' market should be prepared to move quickly, since homes don't stay on the market as long,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘In a buyers' market, they can afford to take their time and be more selective. However, low inventory is a factor affecting the majority of the country, so buyers should be prepared for a limited selection as we enter the home buying season,’ she explained. National home values rose 4.2o % $184,000, according to the Zillow data meaning that the pace of home value appreciation has increased for 10 months in a row. Denver and Dallas continue to lead the way, with strong double digit increases in home values. Rents, on the other hand, continued their recent trend of levelling off, growing 2.9% year on year from January 2015. San Francisco was the only large metro to see double digit rent increases. Continue reading
Homes for sales in UK slump to 14 year low
The supply of available housing in the UK is at its lowest level in 14 years with buy to let landlords rushing to complete ahead of tax change, new research shows. Property investors are trying to avoid the additional 3% stamp duty charge on buy to let and second homes from 01 April, according to the report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) but sales to first time buyers are also up. The January Housing Market report shows that the number of properties available per member branch fell to 33 in January, the lowest recorded since December 2002 when just 25 properties were available per member branch. In contrast, demand for housing soared in January, with an average 453 house hunters registered per branch, the highest recorded since July 2015 and a 21% increase from December when there were an average 374 registered, during a seasonal lull in activity. This reflects increased activity from landlords pushing to complete sales ahead of the upcoming buy to let stamp duty surcharge, the report suggests. Indeed, 72% of estate agents reported an increase in interest from landlords, a rise from 44% in December. Almost a third, 29%, of the total sales made in January were to first time buyers, an increase of 5% from December 2015, the report also shows. ‘Our findings this month reflect what we are all seeing across the market which is that landlords are trying to complete on sales ahead of the changes to stamp duty on additional homes in April. It continues to be a sellers’ market as demand outstrips supply,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘The number of sales made to firs time buyers has increased this month, and we should expect to see their market share rise after April. The fact that housing supply has reached a 14 year low really highlights the need for the government to push the house building programme to the very top of their agenda and help more first time buyers make their first step on to the housing ladder,’ he added. Continue reading
Sales fall in key UK cities and prices start to plateau
Sales in 20 key cities across the UK fell by 2% in the last 12 months but prices have continued to rise, up 10.2% from a year ago, the latest price index shows. London has seen a 7% fall in transactions while Cambridge has seen sales fall by 20%, according to the UK cities house price index from Hometrack. Overall city level house price inflation has increased from 8.6% a year ago largely due to constricted supply. The average UK city house price currently stands at £231,700 ranging from £109,000 in Glasgow to £455,000 across London. However, there are signs that the annual rate of growth in high growth cities in southern England is starting to plateau as the level of housing sales slows and affordability pressures on would-be buyers increase. The report suggest that uncertainty around the forthcoming European Union referendum is likely to slow activity further. Questions remain as to the level to which the campaign will influence households’ decision making and overall levels of housing market activity. The Brexit referendum comes at a time when other policy measures such as higher stamp duty for investors and second home owners are expected to impact market activity from investors who accounted for one in five sales in 2015. ‘Slower growth in sales volumes has been a trend seen over the last three years across the high value, high growth cities such as Cambridge, Oxford, Aberdeen and London where house prices have been rising for six consecutive years,’ said Richard Donnell, Insight Director at Hometrack. ‘High housing and moving costs are limiting access to the market for a growing number of households which, in our view, will result in lower turnover and slower house price growth,’ he added. He believes that the EU referendum adds further complexity to an already complex outlook. ‘Our analysis shows that the Scottish referendum, and the 18 month campaign that preceded it, resulted in 10% fewer transactions and slower house price growth over the period relative to England,’ said Donnell. ‘The shorter run up to the EU vote will help but the true impact will depend on how quickly the campaigning focuses on the economic ramifications for UK households and the knock on effect for housing related decisions as Scotland proved. A vote to remain in the EU should see a return to business as usual whereas a vote to leave will create additional uncertainty,’ he explained. ‘After a three year upturn in housing market activity and house prices the outlook for the market appears increasingly tied up with policy impacts and the potential outcome of the referendum rather than the operation of market forces. Businesses operating in housing face risk and uncertainty which will have to be managed and monitored carefully,’ he added. Continue reading
