Tag Archives: housing
UK estate agents see surge in home hunters as supply remains low
The number of house hunters recorded by estate agents in the UK is at the highest level in nearly 10 years as supply is at a 12 year low. The latest figures from the National Association of Estate Agents shows that in September its members reported an average of 405 house hunters per branch, the highest since October 2004 with each agent averaging 511 buyers. The September Housing Market report also reveals that 82% of homes sold for less than the original asking price, suggesting that sellers still need to be flexible when it comes to pricing. While supply of housing increased slightly from last month, from 49 houses available in August to 51 in September, this figure is seasonally low for September. The last time that supply levels were lower for September was in 2002, when 43 houses were available per NAEA member branch. The NAEA says that it is promising to see that first time buyers now account for 30% of all sales estate agents reported for the month of September, compared to 28% in August and 20% in July. ‘The report demonstrates to us that people are ready to get on or move up the housing ladder, but the supply levels do not match demand,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘September is a notoriously busy month in the housing market. The kids have gone back to school after the summer and people want to get sorted before Christmas, however it seems a lack of affordable and quality housing has been a problem this month. Now that the economy is picking up and Brits are in more comfortable financial situations, more people will want to buy and sell homes, but may be restricted,’ he explained. Despite high volumes of house hunters, the majority of houses are being sold for under the sellers’ original asking price. Only 4% of properties sold in September were sold for more than the original asking price, and a stark 82% were sold for less than asking price, some 16% more than in July, when this was last reported on. The report also shows that 70% of estate agents agreed that the impending interest rate rise set for 2015 is already effecting demand in the housing market, this is up by a quarter from September when only 39% thought that the rise was already effecting demand. ‘There’s still a visible gap in the number of house hunters, and the number of properties available and the impending base rate rise is likely to have an effect on this, with almost three quarters of agents reporting evidence of the rise affecting demand already,’ said Hayward. ‘All of our research does emphasise the need for the government to take action and ensure measures are in place for more homes to be built in order for supply to eventually meet the growing demand,’ he added. Continue reading
US real estate price growth slows to more realistic level, says latest index
Home value growth has peaked in the United States and the cooling real estate market has banished concerns about a property bubble, according to experts. Home values are still rising in most markets, but the rate of appreciation has slowed considerably, making the housing market less competitive for buyers, according to the latest data from real estate firm Zillow. It means that home buyers who have been priced out of hot markets will welcome the cooling off, and the most recent data should further combat worry about another housing bubble. The rate of annual home value appreciation peaked at 8.1% in April and has fallen in every month since. That means that US home values were up 6.5% year on year at the end of the third quarter, to a Zillow Home Value Index of $176,500. The rate of appreciation is expected to continue to slow. Home values are forecasted to grow at 3%, roughly half their current pace, through the end of the third quarter of 2015, according to the Zillow Home Value Forecast. As the market cools, the dynamic between buyers and sellers is also changing. At the end of the third quarter, there were 18.6% more homes on the market than last year, and more homes listed recently had a price cut. In September, nearly 37% of listings on Zillow had at least one price cut in the past month, up from 33.6% in September 2013. The softening market means home buyers will find less competition. The pace of home value appreciation dropped off significantly in markets that had been among the hottest at times during the housing recovery, particularly in California and the Southwest. In Los Angeles, home price appreciation slowed from 18.5% annually in the third quarter of 2013 to 8.3% over the past year. Annual appreciation in San Francisco slowed to 8.2% compared to 23.5% over the same time period last year. ‘What a difference a year makes. At this time last year, we were worrying about a number of frothy markets that looked like they could be on the edge of another housing bubble, places where homes were appreciating at more than 20 percent per year and where buyers' heads were spinning just trying to keep up,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘We always knew these market conditions couldn't last, and it's good to see us now on a more natural and sustained glide path down toward more normal market conditions of roughly 3% annual appreciation and more balance between buyers and sellers,’ he explained. ‘Home values should continue to grow, but that growth will increasingly be driven by traditional market fundamentals like household formation and job growth, and less by artificial stimulants like decreased supply and widespread investor demand,’ he added. Nationally, rents rose 3.5% year on year in the third quarter, to a Zillow Rent Index of $1,335, rising 1.8% compared to the second quarter. Continue reading
HMRC figures shows UK property sales cooling
Sales of properties in the UK fell by 4.8% between August and September but are still 5% higher compared to the same period in 2013, the latest data shows. The figures from HMRC show that the provisional seasonally adjusted sales count reached 97,450 residential sales and 7,880 non-residential. The pattern since the beginning of the 2013/2014 financial year has been of a general month on -month increase in transactions for the seasonally adjusted data until February 2014, then a gradual decrease followed by a flattening out of transaction numbers. According to David Newnes, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains estate agents, the figures show that the property market is settling back into a period of steadier growth after toning down the temperature in the last few months. ‘Price growth has cooled, with September seeing the lowest monthly increase in property prices so far this year and transactions have also dipped on a monthly basis. Some of that energy loss is a consequence of lower lending levels, which dipped in July and August,’ he explained. ‘Some is down to a drop off in demand at the higher end of the market, as foreign investors rein back their purchases while sterling stays strong. Uncertainty over rate rises completes a trio of hesitation, although it has been made clear that eventual rate rises will be brought in gradually,’ he added. He also pointed out that while the market may appear to rebalancing, demand at the lower end remains positive, with sales of typical first-time buyer properties like flats stable. ‘Greater availability of higher LTV loans enables more new buyers to get onto the housing ladder,’ said Newnes. ‘Help to Buy has played a vital role in this regard, and has inspired much more confidence in the lower end of the market, confidence which is now being translated into a sustained demand for first time buyer property,’ he added. Continue reading
