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Demand from buyers in UK falls to two year low
Demand for housing in the UK is at its lowest level in two years with the number of house hunters making enquiries down by a fifth in April, new research shows. Estate agents also reported that the number of sales made to first time buyers fell in April. The April Housing Market report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) shows there were 325 house hunters registered per member branch on average last month. This was the lowest number recorded since March 2014, when there were 313 house buyers recorded at each estate agent branch. This means demand has decreased by 22% from 417 in March. Last month, the supply of houses available for buyers also decreased by 35% from 54 properties available in March to 35 in April. Some 26% of the total sales made in April were to first time buyers, a decrease of 2% compared to March. However, some 33% of estate agents expect sales to this group to increase following the buy to let stamp duty changes as buy to let landlords exit the market, potentially freeing up properties for first time buyers. The monthly research also found that 24% of estate agents expect house prices to decrease and a further 23% expect demand to decrease if Britain votes to leave the European Union in the referendum on 23 June. Indeed, a recent Brexit report from the NAEA and that Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) revealed that by 2018, a Brexit would reduce the average UK house price by £2,300 to £300,900. However, if Britain remains in the EU, the average UK home could cost £303,000 by 2018. ‘It’s no surprise that demand dropped significantly in April. Some 80% of agents saw an increase in purchasers trying to beat the buy to let stamp duty changes before the 01 April deadline, so we expected to see a slow down immediately following the deadline,’ said NEA managing director Mark Hayward. ‘Whilst the number of house hunters registered per branch dropped in April, the supply of available housing to buy also fell quite sharply, so supply and demand are still moving in the opposite direction, rather than balancing out,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the upcoming EU Referendum means we’ve entered a period of uncertainty, as buyers put off their hunt in anticipation of the result, and what might happen to prices as a result,’ he added. Continue reading
New research reveals lack of affordable homes in London
With the average price for a property in London now exceeding £500,000 new research shows that just 46% of home listed matches this price or less. The analysis from fixed fee estate agent eMoov examined current stock levels across all of the major portals, recording the total levels listed for each London borough, before comparing this to the level of stock listed for £550,000 or less. The research then took the total stock under £550,000 and recorded it as a percentage of the total level of stock across the capital. The worst location for affordability was Kensington and Chelsea with just 6% of properties for sale at £550,000 or less, followed by Westminster at 7%, Hammersmith and Fulham at 14%, Camden also at 14%, Wandsworth at 22% and Islington at 25%. A further 13 of London’s boroughs had just 50% or less of its stock listed for the average price of £550,000 or under. The boroughs that did offer more for those with a budget of half a million were Hounslow at 57%, Bromley at 61%, Waltham Forest at 64%, Enfield at 65%, Hillingdon at 65%, Lewisham at 66%, Redbridge at 72%, Greenwich at 72%, Newham at 78%, Croydon and Sutton both at 79%, Havering at 84%, Bexley at 91% and Barking and Dagenham at 97%. ‘It’s no surprise to anyone that the majority of London is unobtainable to many from a property point of view. However, this research highlights just how out of reach the capital actually is for UK home buyers, even for those with the sizable budget of £550,000,’ said eMoov chief executive officer Russell Quirk. ‘For many the average house price is a benchmark, a mile stone, on just what they need to have in the bank to live in a certain area. But this average price masks the true cost of living in the capital or even where in the capital you can live for that matter,’ he pointed out. ‘When you consider that even with that sort of healthy budget, you would have to restrict your property search by removing more than half of the properties currently for sale in the capital, it really highlights how little £550,000 can get you in the London market,’ he added. Continue reading
Tracker report confirms UK property sales soared in first quarter of 2016
Property sales in the UK were 10% higher in the first quarter of 2016, boosted by a rush in demand for buy to let and second homes due to a stamp duty surcharge, new figures show. Some 275,002 transactions were registered between January and March, up 10% from the previous first quarter record from 2014, when 251,042 transactions were logged, according to the latest Conveyancing Market Tracker report from Search Acumen. The report points out that the 2014 rush was due to a surge of activity ahead of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) rule changes in April 2014, as consumers moved to secure mortgage finance and complete deals before affordability checks were tightened. The latest tracker, which uses Land Registry data, also shows that sales volumes in the first three months of 2016 were also up 15% year on year, as conveyancers pushed second home buyers and landlords to completion before the introduction of the new 3% stamp duty surcharge which was introduced on 01 April 2016. The report points out that the potential for a time lag due to extended timelines for Land Registry applications being completed means the higher volume of conveyancing transactions may also continue into the second quarter of 2016. Year on year, those firms ranked 11 to 20 in terms of transactions completed experienced the biggest growth from the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, with their transaction volumes rising 24% from 801 to 994 on average. Firms ranked from 21 to 50 experienced the second best year on year growth rate, with average sales in the first quarter up from 551 to 665, a rise of 21%. Overall, the top 1,000 firms in the market experienced 16% annual growth, compared with 11% outside the top 1,000. It means that the aggregate market share for the top five firms has now been 6% or less for each of the last five quarters since the fourth quarter of 2014 as competition has heated up further down the ranks. ‘Conveyancers’ services have been in high demand so far this year as buyers of second homes and buy to let properties have created a stampede to beat the April 2016 stamp duty deadline,’ said Mark Riddick, chairman of Search Acumen. He pointed out that the artificial stimulus of government intervention has put major pressure on workloads, more than the firm has seen in the opening exchanges of any year since the recession and topping the pre-MMR rush of 2014. ‘Our analysis points to another interesting trend in the market, where challenger firms have enjoyed the biggest benefits of the year on year rise in transactions. As conveyancers pause for breath after the stamp duty frenzy, there may be some who are left licking their wounds or feeling their business performance could have been better,’ explained Riddick. ‘Periods like this, when services come under pressure from extra demand, can be testing all round, and it’s important for conveyancers to ensure their… Continue reading
