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Rent rises in England and Wales slowing but reach record high
Residential rents have eased across England and Wales, slowly up to reach an all-time record high as the rental market approaches its autumn peak, according to the latest buy to let in The average residential rent across England and Wales is now £761 per month, some £3 higher than the previous record £758 set in October 2013, the data from lettings agent networks Your Move and Reeds Rains shows. On a monthly basis August rents are on average 1.1% higher than was seen in July, an increase of £8 which leaves monthly rents 2.4% higher than a year ago. In absolute terms this annual growth represents an increase of £15. ‘Autumn is when more people move to take up new opportunities, to build new careers and to start new chapters. That is what the rental market is all about for many people by providing flexibility and it’s what it does well at a cost that’s risen in line with inflation for at least half a decade,’ said David Brown, commercial director of LSL Property Services. ‘No year is the same, and already 2014 has been like no other. The reawakening of mortgage lending startled the property market into a new spring of life earlier in the year. The benefits have been felt across the board, not just for first-time buyers but for tenants too. Investment means rents are now only 1% higher in real terms than at the start of 2010,’ he explained. He pointed out that now that the independence vote is over in Scotland the main issue is over tenant fees. ‘Banning tenant fees in Scotland pushed up rents by £312 per year, or multiple times what a tenant would have paid at the start of a tenancy. Across every corner of Britain this should serve as a lesson in fully thought through policy making,’ said Brown. A breakdown of the data shows that rents in seven out of 10 regions of England and Wales are higher than a year ago. This is led by the South West, where rents are up 3.5% on an annual basis, followed by the South East at 3.4%, and the North West with a 3.3% annual rise. London was not in the top three, with annual rent rises of only 3% while rents in the North East are in fact 1.6% lower than a year ago, while the West Midlands and Wales experienced annual falls of 0.4% and 0.1% respectively. On a monthly basis rents in the North East have by contrast matched London, with both seeing a 1.5% increase in rents since July. Only rents in the South East and the South West of England grew faster on a monthly basis, up 1.7% from July. In total three regions are now seeing lower rents than in July. Alongside annual falls, rents in Wales and the West Midlands are lower… Continue reading
Referendum decision set to boost Scotland’s commercial property markets
The No vote in the Scottish referendum has lifted an uncertainty for commercial property markets for businesses on both sides of the border, according to real estate firms. However, according to Walter Boettcher, director of research and forecasting with global commercial real estate services firm Colliers International, while the No vote might suggest that little has changed, in reality it may be the beginnings of a fundamental shift UK wide between local governments and central government. He believes that the referendum has highlighted how a new balance of local and central powers and decision making must evolve to accommodate local aspirations and perceptions of economic opportunity. Regions must have the power to determine their own economic strategies and exploit what they see as their own competitive advantages. ‘Scotland will remain part of the United Kingdom, but it will be a Scotland that will join in unison with other UK regions who have also been seeking greater self-determination in regional policy making,’ he said. ‘From a narrow business perspective, economic and financial confidence has perhaps regained its balance and this will drive higher levels of activity as pent up demand and projects shelved temporarily will be dusted off and pushed through. Certainly property sector leasing and investment transactions both north and south of the border will see a decisive boost,’ he explained. ‘From a broader strategic business perspective, given international appetite for infrastructural development by sovereign wealth funds in a very low interest rate environment, the opportunity for commercial real estate investment and development is staggering and may sustain activity levels well beyond the normal limits of traditional property cycles,’ he added. Overall the result should provide a welcome boost to Scotland’s property market, according to Alasdair Humphery, lead director for JLL in Scotland. ‘Uncertainty surrounding the possible outcome of the referendum has undoubtedly been a factor in the decision making process for many potential occupiers and investors, although some will continue to hold back commitments until there is a clear indication of what that result means for Scotland and wider United Kingdom,’ he said. ‘Following the result, I am optimistic we’ll see more confidence returning to the market and an increase in activity from international occupiers, some of whom had previously been reluctant to progress expansion plans,’ he added. He pointed out that the constitutional and fiscal changes that will occur if Scotland is granted devo max are at this early stage an unknown quantity. ‘We will clearly be keeping a close eye on proposals for further devolution of powers, and what these might mean for our clients not only in Scotland but across the UK. However, the devil is in the detail, and much of this detail has yet to be worked out,’ he said. ‘We’ll be monitoring developments over the coming months to form a better sense of what the Scottish property market will look like for our clients and how we can best… Continue reading
Property industry says Scotland No vote will bring renewed enthusiasm
Scotland’s property market is likely to see renewed enthusiasm and a rise in prices in sales after the historic referendum vote which saw independence rejected. The residential real estate industry welcomed the No vote and said that the market, which has been stalled to a certain extent, can now not only return to normality but is also likely to see growth as those who put buying or selling on hold are now reassured. ‘With the outcome now certain and Scotland voting to remain part of the United Kingdom, we can expect to see some positive movement in the Scottish housing market. It is good news for Scottish estate agents and their customers who can now look forward to a less frenetic housing discussion and market,’ said Mark Hayward, managing director of the National a Association of Estate Agents (NAEA). ‘Although the outcome does not necessarily guarantee clarity for the market, the mist of ambiguity will clear much earlier than if the outcome to Scottish independence was Yes. Therefore, there is likely to be a substantial increase in market activity in the coming months, with an increase seen in the volume of sales and investments,’ he explained. But he warned that this could disrupt house prices in the short term, although not significantly. ‘The existing concerns around increases in interest rates and a significant hike in stamp duty will undoubtedly have a bigger impact over the next 12 months,’ added Hayward. According to Ran Morgan, head of Knight Frank Scotland, the certainty provided by the No vote will allow the property market to return to more normal trading conditions. ‘The fundamentals are in place to ensure a full recovery, led by the key cities of Edinburgh, Aberdeen, Glasgow and rural counties within commuting distance of large employment hubs. Improving economic activity levels in the UK, better consumer sentiment and higher bank lending will all help to kick-start the market,’ he said. ‘We expect we will be very busy in the coming months as vendors and buyers, many of whom have put off making a decision to buy or sell a property in Scotland due to the referendum, return to the market. This will lead to an increase in the number of transactions at all levels of the market,’ he pointed out. ‘We believe that the outlook for the prime property market in Scotland is positive. Our forecast is that prime values will rise by 3% by the end of this year and by a further 3% to 6% in 2015,’ he added. Andrew Rettie, head of agency for Strutt & Parker in Scotland, also believes that the No vote will inject confidence, optimism and stability into the market which will experience a renewed vigour in the latter months of 2014. ‘We all hope this will be a shot in the arm for the Scottish housing market and that the momentum seen earlier in the year returns to the sector. Buyers and sellers who have stalled in… Continue reading
