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Rents in England and Wales see fastest annual growth since 2010
Residential rents across England and Wales have increased by 4.6% compared to April last year, the fastest annual rise since November 2010, new data shows. Rents are also at a new all-time record in absolute terms with the average rent at £774 the most expensive rental prices on record, according to the latest buy to let index from Your Move and Reeds Rains. The index data also shows that on a monthly basis, rents grew by 0.8% between March to April, the fastest month on month growth since September. Growth is fuelled by a fundamental shortage of housing and renewed wage growth, according to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Reeds Rains and Your Move. ‘Economic progress has brought about a slow but steady stream of household earnings and employment, the most basic requirements for rent rises and these modest improvements have driven rents up at record speed. People have more money in their pockets, but we’re in danger of seeing that recovery squandered away on a housing shortage,’ he said. A regional breakdown of the figures shows that in the East of England, rents are not just increasing but accelerating on an annual basis. Compared to April last year, rents grew by 12.5%, up from 12% annual growth in March 2015 and 10.2% over the 12 months to February 2015. London comes in second for annual rent rises with a 7.8% increase since April 2014. Again this represents an acceleration compared to 5% annual rent rises in March and 4.9% in February. After London, Yorkshire and the Humber comes in third with a 2.2% annual rent rise. On the other hand rents in Wales are actually 2.8% lower than they were in April last year. On a similar note, rents in the North East have fallen back 0.8% on last April’s figures while rents in the East Midlands have edged down 0.2% over the last 12 months. Looking at monthly rent rises, London is dominant. From March to April, London’s rents increased by 2.3%. The South West came in second, with rents up just 1.1% over the last month, closely followed by the West Midlands with a 1% increase between March and April. By contrast, rents in Wales fell 1.8% on a monthly basis. Similarly, rents in both the North West and North East of England fell by 1.4% between March and April. ‘The East of England has witnessed rapid growth in property purchase prices, and rental prices have taken a similar course, albeit even faster. Away from the East, London is the real figurehead for the housing dilemma. Rent rises tend to follow wage-growth, so it’s no surprise to see this clustered around the South,’ said Gill. ‘However, this could change if demand for jobs and homes in northern England starts to catch up with supply in a similar way…. Continue reading
Signs of mortgage market in UK recovering, says CML
Home lending appears to be on the brink of recovery after a dip due to new mortgage rules, the latest gross lending data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders suggests. The CML April estimate for total gross lending is £16 billion, 1% down on the previous month and 4% lower than the £16.7 billion of lending last April. But according to Mohammad Jamei, CML economist, lending appears to be in the throes of an incipient recovery even although lending in April was fractionally down on the previous month and year as this comes after a stronger March. ‘Overall, we now seem to be on the cusp of a modest lending recovery. Household finances are generally improving as earnings growth continues to outstrip inflation, and mortgages are being offered at extremely competitive rates. As a result, we expect to see stronger lending in future months,’ he said. Paul Smith, chief executive officer of haart estate agent, believes that the mortgage market is in rude health and despite the doom and gloom in the election run-up, consumers have been undeterred by the prevailing uncertainty. ‘Mortgage lending is still down on April 2014 but 2014 was an exceptional year where property prices and demand were speeding along beyond all expectation and an application of the brakes is no bad thing,’ he said. ‘Lower, but still strong, house price growth and levels of demand that aren’t dominating the headlines, is actually good for overall sentiment and both buyer and seller confidence. With the new majority government bedding in and the continued advantageous economic climate and government support for consumers, we expect mortgage lending to be on an upward trajectory for the rest of this year,’ he added. John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank, said that there is no doubt that pre-election jitters took their toll on borrower demand in April ‘But the mortgage market hardly ground to a halt. Mortgage rates remain near historic lows, and this continues to drive underlying activity,’ he pointed out. ‘On top of this, we have seen deflation take hold, pushing back the prospect of a hike in interest rates. Combined with improving earnings, this will boost the borrowers' budgets. With the new government now in situ, any lingering uncertainty has been put to bed, and sentiment has undergone a palpable bounce,’ he explained. ‘There are already signs that mortgage activity is on the increase, with big ticket purchases returning, and the market expects positive momentum to build as the year progresses. Yes, affordable mortgages for those with the smallest deposits remain thin on the ground, holding back first time buyer levels, but an increasingly buoyant buy to let market will support total lending in 2015,’ he added. Continue reading
UK property sales down month on month and on an annual basis
UK residential property sales fell by 3.4% between March and April and were 5.6% lower compared to the same period last year, the latest published figures show. The provisional seasonally adjusted UK property transaction count for April 2015 was 97,020 residential and 9,910 non-residential transactions, according to the official data from HMRC. Adrian Gill, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains estate agents, believes it can be put down to uncertainty in the run up to the UK general election at the beginning of May. ‘Only a few weeks ago, the outcome of this general election was a mystery and buyers were sitting on the fence to watch the spectacle unfold. Sales were stalling, and house price growth was also braking in many places across the country,’ he said. ‘Now, confidence is soaring and the prospects for the property market look rosy. Any ground lost before the vote will be made up by the ensuing sudden sprint, as demand now picks up the pace off the back of less stamp duty, competitive mortgage rates, and support schemes like the Help to Buy ISA,’ he explained. ‘This new unbridled momentum looks set to carry the market forwards for the remainder of the year, but now the election rhetoric has died down, the new government needs to get to the heart of the housing market’s remaining obstacle, a fundamental lack of available homes,’ he added/ Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, agrees. ‘Political anxiety clearly stalled housing market activity momentarily. Not many would have predicted an outright majority government, but the conclusive election result has launched a rocket of confidence in the property market, with buyers and sellers able to act with certainty again,’ he said. ‘The market above £2 million, which is already starting to digest the new higher stamp duty costs, is now free from the fear of an unfriendly mansion tax that would have encroached across much of the capital,’ he pointed out. ‘With the election done and dusted, we expect to see the market really awaken to the opportunities that are on offer with buyers acting quickly to take advantage of more available stock, better mortgage rates, lower stamp duty for those buying under £937,000 and Help to Buy schemes,’ he added. Continue reading
