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UK residential property prices showing steady growth, latest index shows
UK house prices increased by 3.3% in the second quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter taking the average price to £200,280, according to the latest property price index. It means that the quarterly rate of change has picked up following two successive falls and prices in the three months to June were 9.6% higher than in the same three months a year earlier, the data from the Halifax shows. This was higher than May’s 8.6% and the highest quarterly rise since September 2014 when it was 9.6%, and on a monthly basis prices increased 1.7% between May and June, the fourth consecutive monthly rise. The steady increase in prices comes as home sales remain steady. Data from HMRC shows UK home sales increased by 1% between April and May and sales in the three months from March to May were 0.5% higher than in the preceding three months, but were 4.2% lower than in the same period last year. According to Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, supply remains very tight with the stock of homes available for sale currently at record low levels. ‘This shortage has been a key factor maintaining house price growth at a robust pace so far in 2015,’ he explained. ‘Economic growth, higher employment, increasing real earnings growth and very low mortgage rates are all supporting housing demand with signs of a recent modest pick-up in demand,’ he added. Jonathan Samuels, chief executive officer of Dragonfly Property Finance, pointed out that there are a lot of mixed signals in the property market at the moment as the latest index from the Nationwide shows prices falling slightly. He also pointed out that while prices in London have slowed, house prices per square metre have risen by 45% since 2010, highlighting the extent of the growth in the capital in recent years. ‘With economic growth stronger than expected during the first quarter, a buoyant jobs market and people generally better off, you would expect the market to continue to improve throughout the rest of 2015, if at a more moderate rate compared to recent years,’ he said. There is also a potential effect from the current Euro crisis and how what happens in Greece could affect the UK property market. ‘We could see a flight away from equities into bricks and mortar, but at the same time if Europe as a whole is adversely affected then the UK economy will almost certainly suffer, too,’ he added. Thomas van Straubenzee of prime London prime property agency VanHan, is expecting to see an influx of enquiries from wealthy Europeans looking to move their assets off the Continent and into London as they seek to avoid the effects of the euro crisis. ‘We have seen interest from the Middle East and India pick up again, which is not surprising as we had noticed that these buyers were particularly affronted by the idea of a mansion tax. We do not see London… Continue reading
Tax change could result in higher residential rents in the UK
Landlords in the UK’s private rented sector could be forced to put up rents if their buy to let mortgage interest payments are made non tax deductible, it is claimed. The National Landlords Association (NLA) is warning that costs in the UK private rented sector (PRS) could rise by up to £2.6 billion if tax changes are made, as has been hinted. In a letter to the Chancellor ahead of Wednesday’s Budget, the NLA’s chief executive officer Richard Lambert says that making mortgage interest payments non tax deductible would be the last thing the UK economy needs and would only put greater pressure on the cost of housing. The letter also outlines the contributions that landlords make to the UK economy by means of their support for the housing industry and through direct contributions in the form of tax. ‘It has been suggested that private landlords receive too many perks or reliefs which give them an unfair advantage compared to owner occupiers, but this ignores the fact that letting residential property for profit is a business,’ said Lambert. ‘No business pays tax on their gross turnover alone so why should landlords be treated any differently. Removing their ability to deduct legitimate costs before declaring their taxable profit would essentially force them to suck up one of the most significant expenses they face in being able to provide homes for others,’ he added. Using figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders reported at the end of 2014, the NLA estimates that costs in the PRS could rise by as much as £2.6 billion if mortgage interest payments were to be reclassified as non-deductible, a move it warns would leave landlords with no other option than to raise rents. Lambert concluded the letter by seeking ‘an unequivocal reassurance that the Government will continue to regard buy to let mortgage interest payments as a legitimate business cost, and give landlords the confidence and certainty to invest for the future’. Continue reading
US housing negative equity rates falling, latest data shows
The housing market negative equity rate in the United States is falling but more than half of underwater home owners are nowhere near resurfacing, the latest research shows. More than 4 million US home owners owed the bank at least 20% more than their properties were worth in the first quarter of 2015, according to the report from real estate firm Zillow. That means those homes would have to appreciate at least 20% for their owners to have any chance of breaking even on a sale. While home values are forecast to continue rising, they are expected to do so at a slower pace than recent years. Overall the national negative equity rate dropped to 15.4% in the first quarter, down from 18.8% in the first quarter of 2015. The data also shows that the rate of negative equity improved in all of the 35 largest housing markets in the first quarter of 2015, a sign that, metro by metro and home by home, the country is continuing to recover from the lax lending rules and subsequent housing market bust of the last decade. At the peak of the real estate crisis, more than 15 million home owners owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth, putting them in negative equity. Foreclosures, short sales and rapidly rising home values freed nearly half of those home owners, leaving 7.9 million home owners upside down at the end of the first quarter of 2015. Home owners who remain underwater will likely be the toughest to free from negative equity, the report points out. It also explains that while spring and summer are the busiest buying and selling seasons and this year there is high demand for homes in the bottom third of the market, a disproportionate number of those home owners are simply stuck in their homes and can't afford to sell to buyers looking for homes in their price range. The rate of underwater home owners was much higher among the homes with the least value. More than 25% of those who own the least valuable third of homes were upside down, compared to about 8% of the most valuable third of homes. The imbalance was even more pronounced in some markets. In Atlanta, for example, 46% of low end home owners were underwater, compared with 10% of high end home owners. And in Baltimore 32% of low end home owners were in negative equity compared to 9% of those who own the highest value homes. ‘It's great news that the level of negative equity is falling, but what really worries me is the depth of negative equity. Millions of Americans are so far underwater, it's likely they may not re-gain equity for up to a decade or more at these rates,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘And because negative equity is concentrated so heavily at the lower end, it throws a real wrench in the traditional housing market conveyor belt. Potential… Continue reading




