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Over half of UK home borrowers will struggle if interest rates rise, says new poll
Some 52% of borrowers in the UK believe they will struggle or fall behind with mortgage repayments when interest rates rise, according to new research published by the Building Societies Association. The survey has revealed that one tenth would experience real financial problems. A further 14% said they would be able keep up with repayments, but it would be a constant struggle, while almost a quarter, 23%, said that they would experience difficulty from time to time. When questioned about the impact on their lifestyle, 18% of borrowers said they will have to cut back on essentials such as food or clothing in order to make their monthly repayments. A further 15% said they will have to work more hours in order to keep on top of their mortgage commitments. ‘Concern from borrowers is natural when it comes to interest rate rises. There are at least 1.85 million home owners that have never experienced a rate rise, we have a record low Bank Base Rate for so long, it is unsurprising that some people are concerned that a rise in rates will affect their lifestyles and ability to make mortgage repayments,’ said Paul Broadhead, head of mortgage policy at the BSA. ‘Clearly some of the actions borrowers say they would take may not be within their control, for example working additional hours. Our advice to those concerned about interest rate rises is to start thinking about how they will manage the increased costs. This could include creating a household budget, to taking a look at mortgage calculators and rescheduling unsecured loans such as credit cards. Free money advice is available for those that are concerned,’ he explained. ‘The good news is that the results of our survey show nearly a quarter of borrowers will not have to make any changes to their lifestyle when interest rates rise. With the economy more stable than it has been for years, this is a positive result,’ he pointed out. ‘That said, with inflation near zero and the Monetary Policy Committee voting by a majority of eight to one to maintain the Bank Rate at 0.5%, it is looking unlikely that things will change before well into 2016,’ he added. Joanna Elson, chief executive of the Money Advice Trust, the charity that runs National Debtline, said that after years of low rates, borrowers’ minds are beginning to focus on the prospect of higher interest rates, and what this will mean for their finances. ‘Nevertheless, many mortgage payers are still in for a big financial shock when rates do start to climb and we remain concerned that many will fall into problem debt as a result. We must not forget that renters, too, are likely to be affected as extra mortgage costs are passed on by landlords,’ she explained. ‘Households now have a window of opportunity to re-assess their budgets, look again at their borrowing and think about how they will cope with higher interest rates. It is crucial… Continue reading
Three bed homes in UK see fastest rent rises, new index shows
UK rents are rising fastest for three bedroom homes with 4.6% year on year growth in August compared to a rise of 3.3% for all UK properties, according to a new index. The new index from Landbay Rental is the first to track rental trends to the county and London borough level in combination with the number of bedrooms. Areas where three bed rental growth is highest are mainly located within commutable distance of London, such as Windsor and Maidenhead up 22% to £1,936, Southend on Sea up 20% to £1,121 and Swindon up 13% to £813. The data shows that across the UK as a whole, rents climbed by 3.3% in the last year to £1,281 and this is well ahead of inflation but while rents continue to climb year on year, the rate at which they are growing has eased from a high of 4.9% in February. It also points out that average UK rents fell between May and July 2015, with August seeing the first monthly rise in rents since March. Across all property sizes, the top rental rises outside of London were Southend on Sea up 12.6%, York up 12.1% and Wrexham up 11.1%. At the other end the biggest fall was in Cheshire were rents were down 6.9%, Aberdeen City down 5.7% and Buckinghamshire down 3.5%. ‘At the national level, rents performed very strongly in 2014 after a dip in 2013. This year has seen rents continue to grow, but at a slower rate. The macro trends at the national level aren’t uniform when you drill into the local level and look at different types of property, which is why we want to establish a rental index that gives landlords, tenants and others interested in the private rented sector access to a more granular level of insight,’ said John Goodall, chief executive officer of Landbay. ‘For investors in the private rental sector, our data makes family homes in the south east look like an attractive proposition. As well as performing well now, rents for three bedroom homes saw the smallest falls when rents dipped in 2013. The challenge for investors looking to benefit is finding suitable properties for professionals at a cost that produces a good yield,’ he added. Continue reading
Falling property prices make Dubai a more mature real estate market
Falling property prices in Dubai are not totally bad news as it will make the emirate’s real estate market more mature, a new analysis report says. The report from international real estate firm Knight Frank explains how over the past decade, Dubai has been on a real estate rollercoaster ride of boom, crash and recovery. Indeed, property values halved between 2008 and 2010, but then rose phoenix like from the desert to regain most of their losses by 2014. However, the rallying prices of 2013 and 2014 set off the alarm so authorities had to react to prevent a market boom and crash cycle. At this point Dubai’s market regulators, wielding mortgage caps and a doubling of transaction fees, stepped in to reduce speculation and the report points out that this combined with other factors such as deteriorating oil prices, currency fluctuations and a series of economic and political failures in different parts of world, means lower levels of demand from most regional and international group of buyers looking to purchase properties in Dubai. On top of this there has been an excess of new build supply and the net impact has been a 12% fall in mainstream property prices over the 12 months to June 2015. ‘Nevertheless, falling prices are not totally bad news. With the government stepping in to curb speculative activity through tightening mortgage regulations and capping price increments, it is evident that lessons has been learnt from the 2008 downturn and the market is heading steadily to be more mature and better controlled,’ says the report. ‘More interestingly, with price falls continuing to outpace rental value declines, initial yields are rising. Reaching more than 7% in rental yields in the mainstream property segment, Dubai still stands tall among real estate capitals in the world for investor seeking income generating properties,’ it adds. It also points out that the rate of decline in prime residential prices of 4.5% in the year to June 2015 was smaller compared to the mainstream segment while in sub-markets, the picture is a bit more positive as well. In demand areas are mostly in the prime segment including villas, townhouses and apartments in the Palm, Emirates Hills, Dubai Marina and Downtown for example. ‘Even during the 2008 downturn, prime properties saw lower levels of declines compared to less established areas,’ Diaa Noufal, of the MENA research unit at Knight Frank Dubai office. The report also looks at the wider region. In Qatar foreigners have been able to buy property since 2004, although restricted to a few specific areas. Demand has been rising, albeit with a slowdown this year following the oil price crash and regional instability. Buyers tend to be residents of countries within the Gulf Cooperation Council, although the number of European buyers is rising. Demand for Oman property from across the Middle East and from India and Pakistan has risen in recent years. Knight Frank says this is partly due to… Continue reading
