Tag Archives: finance
Prime central London sales up but still 32% down on a year ago
Sales in the prime central London property market increased by 21% in the second quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter but are 32% lower than a year ago, according to the latest quarterly data. Prices have fallen marginally, down 0.6% in the second quarter compared to the first three months of the year, according to the latest prime central London report from real estate firm JLL. But it explains that the sales market continues to show resilience and, although cautious, demand has recovered somewhat since the slump before the general election in May. But the Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) reform continues to have an effect on the market and buyers and sellers are still assessing the impact of these changes, particularly in the £5 million to £10 million price range. Meanwhile, the sub £2 million market has been the least affected by the election, SDLT, and mansion tax fears with prices rising 2.2% year on year. ‘While transaction levels remain low, particularly in the £3 million to £7 million sector of the prime central London market, there is undoubtedly a noticeable flight to quality,’ said Richard Barber, sales director at W.A.Ellis, part of the JLL Group . ‘Affordability issues, in the face of increased stamp duty costs, have affected purchaser confidence, but high prices per square foot are still being achieved for the most exclusive properties,’ he added. The prime central London lettings market has seen a rise in demand from tenants, while levels of supply have remained high throughout the second quarter, the report also shows. It says that London’s improved economic conditions are causing a rise in rental values, up 1% compared to the first quarter and 1.5% year on year. Overall, lettings transactions have increased by 4% in the second quarter as election uncertainties resulted in some buyers choosing to rent instead. However transactions are down 8% year on year. ‘There has been an increase in rental stock available, mainly as a result of landlords awaiting the outcome of the general election and deciding now to let instead of sell, and these higher stock levels have meant that competition between landlords has increased with properties in optimal condition letting first,’ said Lucy Morton, letting director and head of agency at W.A.Ellis. ‘This has also meant that the market has become very price sensitive with more people turning to the rental sector after being unable to secure finance or find the right property to buy,’ she added. The report concludes that overall, the outlook for the prime central sales market is one of confidence in light of the stable government and low interest rates, with prices expected to increase by 1.5% during 2015, while the lettings market will see rental values increase by around 3% with more people preferring the flexibility of renting. Continue reading
Prime property market across UK not picking up, new analysis suggests
Prime property outside of London increased by just 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, suggesting there has been little sign of a post-election bounce at the top end of the UK housing market as buyers remain cautious. A lack of upward pressure on prices has been consistent across all regions beyond London, with a lack of urgency among buyers in part stemming from a relatively sluggish market in the capital, according to the latest prime residential market report from real estate firm Savills. The report says that this has combined with relatively high levels of stock available on the market, built up largely as a result of a relative dearth of transactional activity in the run up to the general election. ‘For the time being this has slowed the ripple effect, despite the significant value gaps between London, the commuter zone and beyond, which would normally drive a flow of demand through the different segments of the prime housing market at this stage in the cycle. As a result, annual price growth in the prime regional markets stands at a subdued 1.6% on average,’ it explains. Though the threat of a mansion tax has now evaporated, the report suggests that the market continues to be held back by tax considerations. ‘In London and at the top end of the country market, the increased cost of stamp duty, following the Autumn statement of December 2014, remains a barrier to both price growth and activity,’ is says. Illustrating this fact, in the regional housing market over £2 million prices are 1.7% below their June 2014 level. In Scotland the introduction of the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax, which replaced stamp duty in April has introduced higher rates of tax at lower price points, has caused prime values to fall by an average of 0.6% in the past quarter and by 0.9% year on year. In England and Wales the markets under £1 million and between £1 million and £1.5 million have been less affected by these tax concerns but more affected by weak buyer sentiment and the restricted availability of mortgage debt feeding up from the mainstream markets. The report points out that despite a continued benign interest rate environment, transactions in the mainstream market appear to have plateaued at around 1.2 million per annum. With the mortgage regulations restricting the amount of debt prospective buyers are able to obtain and restricting their ability to trade up the market, this is still well short of pre-crunch norms, it adds. Although mortgage availability has a less significant direct impact in the prime markets, it will impact on some buyers in their 30s and 40s, the report also suggests. ‘While restricting the amount they can borrow, this may act as a catalyst for them to move into the commuter zone as they look to stretch their debt and equity further in less expensive markets,’ it explains. While sellers need to remain realistic in… Continue reading
Office market in Saudi Arabia flat as new completions offset higher demand
Annual office take up in key Saudi Arabian cities is continuing to rise but higher demand is offset by new office completions, according to the latest report into the country’s commercial property market. In Riyadh and Jeddah in the 12 months to June 2015 this resulted in vacancy rates remaining broadly stable over the same period and rents were also unchanged in the two cities. The analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank also shows that in the first half of 2015 Grade A and B office rental values in the capital stood at SAR1,300 and SAR900 per square metre per annum, respectively. Meanwhile, Grade A at SAR1,200 per square metre per annum and Grade B at SAR700 per square metre per annum rents in Jeddah were also flat. In Eastern Province, demand for office space was flat in the 12 months to June 2015 and the report points out that there is little to indicate that demand will rise in the near term, suggesting that the completion of new office projects will exert upward pressure on vacancy rates. However, with landlords in the market largely insensitive to changing supply demand dynamics, it is suggests it is difficult to see rents budging from their current levels of SAR1,050 for Grade A offices and SAR700 for Grade B offices. The report says that the current supply of Grade A and Grade B office stock in Riyadh stands at 3.5 million square meters, the majority of which is concentrated in the central and northern parts of the city. ‘Due to current dynamics we do not expect the market as a whole to see increased vacancy rates or a reduction in achievable rental rates as demand for quality commercial spaces that are well located and benefit from good floor plates will remain strong in the short to medium term,’ it adds. Supply of office space in Jeddah currently stands at 820,000 square meters with over 100,000 square meters of office supply due to be added to the market in the short term. As a result of construction delays, the first half of the year saw few completions which resulted in market wide vacancy rates remaining stable at 10%. Total stock is expected to exceed 1 million square meters in the medium term as new supply comes online and the report says that the second half of the year will see additional supply coming from a number of small to medium sized projects. ‘Due to the historic lack of Grade A stock in the market, we see robust demand for good quality offerings in the short to medium term as tenants look to upgrade to better quality premises and the non-oil economy continues to show healthy growth,’ the report adds. Whilst the Eastern Province does not benefit from a well-defined CBD, supply looks set to grow with a number of projects under construction due to be released to the market between the fourth quarter of… Continue reading
