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The value of housing stock in the UK reaches over five trillion
The value of UK's private housing stock in August 2015 reached an estimated at £5.1 trillion, a rise of 53% over the last decade, with London doubling since 2005. The increase of £1.8 trillion since 2005 is equivalent to £76,316 per household in the owner occupied and private rented sectors and means that the value of the UK private residential housing stock has grown at a faster rate than consumer prices, with the retail price index up by 35% in the past decade. In the past year, the value of private housing stock grew by £262 billion, mainly reflecting average house price growth of 4% in the year to August, according to the research from the Halifax. The research also shows that the value of mortgage debt has also grown, up by 35% since 2005 from £942 billion to £1.28 trillion. Nonetheless, the value of the private housing stock has grown by over five times as much as outstanding mortgage debt at £1.8 trillion compared with £334 billion. As a result, housing equity has increased by £1.4 trillion or 60% over the decade from £2.4 trillion in 2005 to £3.8 trillion. Regionally, there is a wide variation in the level of housing equity, with a higher balance in the south compared to northern areas. The highest is in London where housing equity is estimated at £798 billion, which is equivalent to £305,749 per household. The next largest is South East at £722 billion or £223,197 per household, and the East at £461 billion or £212,263 per household. Outside southern England, the highest equity levels are in the North West at £283 billion or £109,043 per household, the West Midlands at £251 billion or £128,703 per household and Scotland at £241 billion or £124,679 per household. ‘The combined value of all privately owned houses in the UK is estimated at close to £5.1 trillion in 2015. The increase in total housing value over the past decade is equivalent to over £76,000 per privately owned property,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘Aggregate net housing equity held by UK households is in a healthy state with total housing assets worth nearly £4 trillion more than the total value of mortgage debt. Despite the rapid rise in mortgage debt over the past 10 years, net housing equity has grown by £1.4 trillion since 2005,’ he added. The research shows that there has be a strong rise in the value of the private housing stock across all regions, with values more than doubling in London at 105% from £552 billion to £1.1 trillion over the decade. The next largest increases were in Scotland at 72% or £136 billion, the South East at 55%, the East at 54% and the South West at 36%. The value of housing in the north increased by 36% compared to 66% in the south during the last ten years. As a result, the South's share of total UK housing assets rose… Continue reading
Overall UK property market sees rise in new listings
There may be hope the UK’s property supply crisis is starting to ease, as the number of new properties coming onto the market across the UK in October increased for the second consecutive month. September saw new property listings up 9.1%, following several months where new supply had dried up. In October, supply continued to rise, albeit at a gentler rate, with new property listings up 2.8% in October and up 3.8% in London. The data from online estate agents HouseSimple also shows that Bottle in Merseyside saw the biggest increase with listings up by 47.4% followed by Truro with growth of 46.8% while in London the borough of Newham saw the biggest rise in new supply with an increase of 40.5% month on month. Sunderland saw the steepest decline in the number of new listings with a fall of 20.5% and in Guildford, where new property stock grew by over a third last month, new property listings fell by 19.4%. The borough of Camden in London has also seen a big change with new listing falling 15.8% in October compared with September when supply almost doubled. ‘Average property prices in the UK hit a record high in October, reaching almost £200,000 according to the latest Nationwide’s house price index. Lack of supply has contributed to this, but there is a glimmer of hope the UK’s supply crisis may be starting to ease,’ said Alex Gosling, the firm’s chief executive officer. ‘We are starting to see more new properties coming to the market, but levels are still well down on what would be considered healthy levels. There is still a massive demand supply imbalance, and in many towns and cities the numbers of new property listings fluctuates dramatically from month to month,’ he explained. ‘Until we start to see consistent and stable increases in supply, the market is likely to see upward pressure on prices continue,’ he added. Continue reading
Top end of prime central London property market still seeing low activity
Buyers in the prime central London property market are still cautious with the £5 million plus sector seeing particularly low activity levels, according to new research. There is an increasingly polarised market in this sector where growth is still being seen at the lower end and high end sales are limited in volume, according to the latest statistics covering the third quarter of 2015 from Strutt & Parker. ‘Whilst some commentators are predicting falls in values across the market, we believe these positions are being disproportionately impacted by the £5 million plus segment of the PCL market, which has experienced particularly low activity levels in 2015,’ said Stephanie McMahon, head of research at Strutt & Parker. A total of 720 properties were sold during the third quarter of 2015, a fall of 3.7% compared to the same period last year. Compared to the five year quarterly average, the total volume of transactions were 17% down and flats remain the preferred purchase, accounting for nearly 57% of . The research also shows that the downturn in price growth in 2015 has reduced the number of these properties entering the market as discretionary vendors are willing to wait for prices to recover. This is matched by increased buyer caution as Stamp Duty reforms, an accumulation of recent tax revisions aimed at high net worth property owners, and a strong pound, have discouraged foreign investors from entering the UK market. Overall, this has resulted in investors taking longer to make decisions and considering alternatives. These trends look set to continue for the remainder of 2015 with the ultra-prime segment likely to show zero and in some cases negative growth. However, sellers placing properties on the market that are sensibly priced and good quality will continue to do well. ‘Since the summer break, increasing activity in PCL shows that buyers and tenants are making the most of relative aligning of asking prices. There is no doubt that confidence is on the up and the considerable tax changes of the last few years are now being regarded as the new norm,’ said Charlie Willis, head of London residential at Strutt & Parker. The data also shows that there were 3,936 property lets agreed in PCL during the third quarter of 2015, which was just 1.9% below the five year quarterly average. Zoë Rose, head of London lettings at Strutt & Parker, explained that the PCL lettings market has experienced a slowdown, particularly affecting the three and four bedroom mid-market. ‘That said, demand for one and two bed properties from young professionals remains robust and uncompromising. Properties that are well presented continue to rent successfully,’ she added. ‘The prime London markets have slowed over the past 12 months with the spate of intervention from the government, combined with a strong pound. The coming year brings further uncertainty with the Mayoral election and lobbying around Brexit,’ McMahon pointed… Continue reading
