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Sales of affordable homes in London fall substantially, new data shows
Sales of affordable homes in London more than halved in the first eight months of 2015 compared to the same period last year, according to a new analysis. The lowest value segment of the market, homes under £250,000, saw a 51% decline in sales, the steepest of any price point across London, the report from Cushman & Wakefield also shows. The data shows that just 10,449 homes in this band were sold in the first eight months of this year compared to 21,337 in the same period in 2014 as the supply of homes coming to market below £250,000 dries up. Total sales of London residential properties fell from 79,226 to 58,322 with volumes in the first eight months declining across the board. A range of factors have contributed to the decline including mortgage availability, the General Election and changes to Stamp Duty which have made buying property over £1 million more expensive. However, the contrast in the rates of decline between price bands is stark. Sales of homes over £250,000 declined by an average of 17%, far less than the 51% drop off below the quarter of a million mark. ‘While Stamp Duty’s impact on sales is undeniable, the rate of decline for homes below £250,000 is far more severe than above the much talked about million pound threshold. Even sales of London’s most expensive homes, above £10 million, where Stamp Duty costs are highest haven’t dropped off to the same extent,’ said Candice Matthews, a director in Cushman & Wakefield’s London residential team. ‘The biggest problem at the value end of the market in London is lack of supply and our analysis is a clear indictment of London’s increasing unaffordability. Rising prices have steadily eroded the number of homes coming to market for less than £250,000. Londoners with this budget are instead being locked into renting where they often face much higher monthly outgoings as a result,’ she added. Since December 2014, stamp duty has been applied like income tax: 0% up to £125,000 of the purchase price, at 2% between £125,000 and £250,000, at 5% over £250,000 to £925,000, at 10% over £925,000 to £1.5 million and at 12% for everything above. David Ramsdale, research analyst at Cushman & Wakefield, believes that the Government is likely to look at revising the tax over the next 12 months, particularly once the Stamp Duty revenue figures for the financial year are released next summer. ‘We believe the greatest focus needs to be on homes below £250,000. One thing that would help affordability in London would be to adjust the Starter Homes Initiative. This helps first time buyers under 40 years old get on the property ladder by making homes available at 80% of the market value up to a limit of £450,000 in the capital,’ he explained. ‘The transaction figures suggest this should be lowered to the national figure of £250,000 in order to have a significant impact,’ he added. Continue reading
House prices up for third month in a row across whole of UK
House prices have risen across all parts of the UK for the third consecutive month in October whilst stocks continue to fall, the latest residential market survey shows. The residential report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) says that prices are expected to rise by 4.5% per annum over the next five years, a cumulative increase of around 25%. It also says that new sales instructions extend their streak of uninterrupted decline stretching back to February but although sales growth has paused, expectations remain a little more positive. In October some 49% more chartered surveyors saw house prices rise across the UK, compared to 44% more in September. As prices rise in all areas of the UK, East Anglia has consistently seen the fastest rises over the last three months and 91% more chartered surveyors reported seeing a rise rather than fall in prices in October. In contrast, 25% more chartered surveyors saw prices rise in London over the last three months, with only 5% more expecting a rise in prices in the capital over the next three months, the lowest reading across the UK over this time period. However the 12 month view for the capital is still relatively strong. Contributing to the rise in prices across the country, demand from potential buyers grew across the UK in October with 12% more respondents seeing a rise in new buyer enquiries. The report also shows that demand continues to considerably outpace supply and the number of new instructions has decreased for the ninth month in succession, with 10% more chartered surveyors reporting a fall. The supply of new stock to the UK market has been in decline since the middle of 2014, with the number of new instructions only increasing in one of these months. Despite the lack of new stock to the market, sales activity is relatively healthy and following a small pick-up in agreed sales in September, activity was little changed this month across the UK. This chimes with HMRC transactions data, which continues to see the number of sales rising consistently over the year. In the UK lettings market, demand is also continuing to outpace supply in the three months to October. This has been the trend nationally for some time, with the growth in demand outstripping that of supply since 2009. Unsurprisingly, rental expectations remain strong and respondents continue to expect rents to rise over the year ahead. Rental growth is anticipated to accelerate to an average of just under 5% per year over the coming five years. ‘It is hard to get away from the issue of supply when it comes to the current state of the housing market. The legacy of the drop in new build following the onset of the global financial crisis is now really hitting home, with both the sales and letting markets continuing to show demand outstripping supply on a month by month basis,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief… Continue reading
A mortgage in the US is generally more affordable than renting, new report says
Paying for a mortgage is still more affordable than renting in the United States but saving enough money for a down payment has become increasingly difficult for first time buyers. According to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Zillow this is particularly the case in markets where home values are rising rapidly. With the majority of renters in the largest metros putting about 30% of their monthly income toward a rental payment, saving money for a 20% or 10% down payment is extremely difficult. The report suggests that first time buyers and millennials are left trying to find other ways to break into the housing market, turning to friends and family for financial help. In 2014 alone, 13% of home purchases were bought using a loan or gift from friends or family for the down payment. Rental affordability has worsened in 28 of the 35 largest metros over the past year, and mortgage affordability worsened in just 18 of them, according to the report covering the third quarter of 2015. Residents of the Denver metro can expect to spend about 21% of their income on a mortgage, compared to 34% on rent. In the US as a whole home owners can expect to spend 15% of their income on a mortgage and 30% on rent. But getting that mortgage payment requires a home buyer to have saved $62,760 for a 20% down payment, the industry standard, on a median valued Denver home, which is $313,800. In the Boston and Miami markets, the median monthly mortgage payment requires just 22% and 20% of monthly income, respectively. Renting is substantially more expensive, influencing many renters to start thinking about purchasing a home. Some 35% of the median income pays the median rent in Boston and 44% in Miami. However, to purchase a home in Boston a 20% down payment is $76,220 while in Miami, buyers need to have saved $44,680. The report also shows that breaking into the housing market is less of a challenge in more affordable markets, like Cleveland. A 20 % down payment on a median home there is $25,000, or $12,500 for a 10% deposit. Residents of Cleveland can expect to spend 11% of their monthly income on a mortgage while for renters it is 27% of their monthly income. ‘In general, paying a mortgage is more affordable than renting, and has been for some time. Unfortunately, many current renters aren't able to realize the savings that come with homeownership because as home values and rents keep rising, it's getting increasingly difficult to clear the down payment hurdle,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘It's not uncommon for a 20% down payment on even a modest home to represent savings of $50,000 or more in some areas. And that number itself is a moving target, rising as home values escalate and harder to achieve as more money goes to landlords and less goes to savings,’… Continue reading
