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Growing demand and short supply is pushing up house prices, says RICS
House prices in the UK continue to be squeezed higher by growing demand and contracting supply, according to the latest residential market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). The report shows that while 44% more chartered surveyors saw prices rise in July, supply to the market continued the decline with 22% more surveyors reporting a drop in new instructions. Additionally, the shortage of housing inventory worsened further during July, with the average number of properties for sale per surveyor slipping to a record low. Consequently, all areas of the UK are projected to see sizeable house price gains over the next 12 months, with confidence most elevated in East Anglia and Northern Ireland. The report also says that near term expectations for prices also continue to reflect the imbalance between demand and supply with 41% of members expecting prices to continue to rise over the next three months. However, rising prices have not dampened interest as new buyer enquiries rose for the fourth month in succession, with 25% of respondents reporting a rise in demand. Despite this steady and sustained improvement in demand, newly agreed sales were more or less unchanged at the national level in July. Going forward, there is a little more optimism regarding the prospects for activity with 37% more respondents expecting sales to gain momentum over the next three months and 40% more taking the same view on a one year perspective. ‘This government has put home ownership at the very heart of its agenda, with Starter Homes and extending Right to Buy the strongest evidence of that ambition. However, this continues to be demand driven and fails to address the real issue of supply,’ said Jeremy Blackburn, RICS Head of Policy ‘A coherent and coordinated house building strategy is required across all tenures. This should include measures that will kick start the supply side, such as mapping brownfield, addressing planning restrictions and creating a housing observatory to assess the underlying economic and social drivers of housing and provide the impetus for solutions,’ he explained. ‘The changes brought in through Fixing the Foundations, the Chancellor’s productivity plan, were welcome and refreshingly on the supply side, such as zonal planning, dispute resolution for S106 and local plan enforcement. But these alone are not a strategy for increasing housing supply across all tenures,’ he added. Blackburn also pointed out that in the lettings market, tenant demand continued to rise while landlord instructions, despite increasing slightly, failed to keep pace once more. As a result 34 % of respondents expect rents to increase right across the UK with members in the West Midlands expecting 4% growth over the next year and in the South East 3.3% growth. The housing market is facing some very real challenges, according to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, but more worrying still is the suspicion that the imbalance between supply and demand will lead to even strong price gains over the next 12 months. ‘This… Continue reading
Land owners in Scotland urged to register voluntarily for new mapping process
Registers of Scotland (RoS) is to work with Scottish Land and Estates to make sure that landowners in Scotland are part of the process that will see all privately owned land registered and mapped by 2024. The Scottish Government has asked RoS to complete the country’s land register by 2024 for privately owned land and property and by 2019 for publicly owned titles. At the moment, around 58% of all Scottish properties are on the register and around 27% of Scotland's land mass. Almost all the remaining properties are held on the General Register of Sasines. Property currently transfers from the Sasine to the Land Register through change in ownership, or by the owner voluntarily applying for registration. However from April next year this register will close to standard securities, such as a remortgage, and any change to title will automatically come on to the land register. Landowners are being urged to register their land voluntarily with officials pointing out that benefits will include clarity of title on the map based system, which provides greater certainty and security about what is owned. A voluntary registration also includes a state backed warranty of the information contained in the title deed. The Keeper of the Registers of Scotland has a new lever known as Keeper Induced Registration (KIR) where she can register land and property with no involvement of the owner. The details of how this process will work have yet to be finalised and a public consultation will be held later this year. ‘Our commitment is to take reasonable steps to ensure that ownership of land is visible and to ensure that landowners or their named representatives are accessible and contactable,’ said David Johnstone, chairman of Scottish Land and Estates. ‘As owners and managers of land, members are concerned about the process and professional costs of voluntary or keeper induced registration of title and in particular the impact of any changes from a practical perspective. In general, we are concerned to ensure the integrity and accuracy of the land register for landowners across Scotland and will continue to work closely with Registers of Scotland as it progresses this work to achieve its target,’ he explained. Charles Keegan, head of Land Register Completion at Registers of Scotland, said that when titles are added to the map based public register, RoS will provide a title sheet that provides greater clarity on what is owned and should make any future transactions quicker and easier. ‘We look forward to continuing to work with Scottish Land and Estates members going forward on registering their titles and would encourage anyone with an interest in voluntary registration to get in touch with the team,’ he added. Continue reading
Housing supply in UK fell significantly in July, new index shows
The number of UK home owners putting their properties on the market fell dramatically in July, down 13.2% across the UK and almost 15% in London, according to the latest property supply index. The majority of locations have seen new stock levels fall in the past month with Glasgow and Edinburgh seeing new property listing fall by 30.3% and 29.7% respectively while supply was down 28.2% in Milton Keynes and 28.1% in Sunderland The index from online estate agent House Simple, which used new listing on Rightmove in July compared to the previous month of more than 100 major towns and cities and all 32 London boroughs, also shows that while Swindon saw a 40.5% rise in new property listings in June, they fell 25.2% in July. Meanwhile, a quarter of the towns and cities that saw the biggest falls in new property listings in July were in the south west of England. A fifth were each in the south west of England and the West Midlands. In London new property listings fell 14.9% in July and only the borough of Bromley saw increase in new stock, but this was still less than 1%. Bexley saw new property listings fall by 31.4%, while new stock levels in Kensington and Chelsea, a favourite with foreign buyers, fell by 24.5% ‘Any hope that sellers were finally returning to the market seems to have been a vain one for the time being,’ said Alex Gosling, chief executive of House Simple, adding that the reasons are not easy to ascertain but it could be due to prices rising. ‘Or maybe they’re not confident about market conditions, despite the strength of the economy and the highly competitive mortgage rates on offer at the moment. Somehow, sellers need to be encouraged back to the market because there are buyers galore waiting when they do. It’s a very attractive market right now for motivated sellers,’ he pointed out. ‘The next few months are going to be important as the property market looks to gather momentum heading into the last quarter of the year. We fully expected activity to drop off in the summer months, but come the Autumn the market needs to replenished with stock to realign the supply versus demand balance,’ he concluded. Continue reading
