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Gap between property prices in London and rest of UK widens

The gap between London house prices and the rest of the UK has continued to reach new highs with the latest index showing the regional divergence is growing. Overall UK house prices increased by 0.5% in September and annual house price growth increased to 3.8% in September, the data from leading lender the Nationwide shows. But on a quarterly basis London house price growth increased to 10.6% in the third quarter of the year, up from 7.3% in the second quarter of 2015. This compares to an average house price rise in England of 1.8% in the third quarter. There was a mixed picture across the regions. The rate of annual house price growth accelerated in Southern England, particularly in London, but continued to slow in the Midlands and most Northern areas. London was the strongest performing region and annual price growth also accelerated in the neighbouring Outer Metropolitan region from 6.8% to 9.5%. The price of a typical home in London at £443,399 is more than double the UK aggregate and more than three and a half times the price of the typical property in the cheapest UK region which is the North of England. The North West was the weakest performing English region, with prices down 0.6% year on year. House prices continued to recover in Northern Ireland, with annual growth of 6.5% in the third quarter although average prices are still 44% below their pre-crisis peak. Wales saw a 1.9% year on year increase in average prices, a slight improvement compared with recent quarters. Scotland was the weakest performing region for the second quarter in a row, with a 1.3% year on year fall, similar to the 1% annual decline recorded in the second quarter. Price growth in the South exceeded that in the North for the 26th consecutive quarter. Prices in Southern England were up 8% year on year, whilst in Northern England prices rose by just 1%. In cash terms, the gap in average prices between the South and the North of England is at a record high, exceeding £150,000 for the first time, with average prices in the South now twice as high as those in the North. ‘The data in recent months provides some encouragement that the pace of house price increases may be stabilising close to the pace of earnings growth. However, the risk remains that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. ‘Indeed, in recent months surveyors have reported historically low levels of properties for sale and increased new buyer enquiries. Therefore it is unsurprising that most surveyors expect a pickup in house price growth in the months ahead,’ he pointed out. ‘The slowdown in house price growth since the middle of 2014 has not been confined to, nor has it been driven primarily by, developments in London. The capital has continued to see price growth at or above… Continue reading

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Monthly residential rents in Ireland up 7.1% quarter on quarter, latest index shows

Monthly rents for private sector accommodation across the Ireland increased by 7.1% in the second quarter of this year compared with the same period last year, the latest published data shows. Nationally, rents for houses were 6.4% higher, while apartment rents were 7.6% higher than in the second quarter of 2014, according to the data from the Private Rented Tenancies Board (PRTB) which is regarded as the most accurate and authoritative rent report of its kind on the private accommodation sector in Ireland. Annual growth in the Dublin market was stronger, up by 9.2%. Dublin house rents were up 8.8% and Dublin apartment rents were higher by 9.4%. However, annual growth in rents for the market outside Dublin remains more subdued, recording growth of 5.8% when compared to the second quarter of 2014. There is also a gap in the performance by property type. The rent for houses outside Dublin increased by 5.8%, while apartments outside Dublin experienced an increase of 5.9%, according to the data which is based on actual rents being paid rather than asking or advertised rents. The rent for private sector accommodation across the whole country in was €878, up from €820 in the second quarter of 2014. The rent for apartments nationally was €922 compared to €857 a year earlier and for a house it was €853 compared to €801 a year earlier. In Dublin, the rent was €1,387 for a house and €1,260 for an apartment compare to €1,275 and €1,152 respectively in the second quarter of 2014. This represents a monthly increase in Dublin rent of €112 for a house and €108 for an apartment over the course of the 12 month period. Outside Dublin, the rent was €677, with houses averaging €695 and apartments €660. A year earlier, these figures stood at €640, €656 and €623 respectively. This represents a monthly increase in rent outside of Dublin of €39 for a house and €37 for an apartment in the 12 month period. Looking at the quarter on quarter picture for 2015, nationally the rate of increase in monthly rent levels was 2.9% in the second quarter of this year compared to the first quarter of 2015. This compares to a national quarterly growth rate of 1.3% in the first quarter of 2015. Looking at trends in more detail, monthly rents for houses recorded quarter on quarter growth of 2.4% in the second quarter of the year, while rents for apartments grew by 3% when compared with the first quarter of 2015. The results show quarterly growth in rents outside Dublin of 2%, with rents in Dublin showing stronger growth of 4.2% in the quarter. Rents for houses in Dublin grew by 2.9% compared to the first quarter of 2015, while Dublin apartment rents were higher by 4% in the quarter The rent indices show, for properties outside Dublin, rents in the second quarter of 2015, when compared with the first quarter… Continue reading

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Property prices gap between Sydney and other cities in Australia widens

The gap between property price growth rates in the eight Australian capital cities has widened, according to the latest figures to be published. The data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that said over the year to June 2015, the price index rose by 9.8% with a 4.7% increase occurring during the June 2015 quarter. Sydney led the way with price growth of 18.9% far more than any other capital city. Next Melbourne with growth of 7.8% but all other cities were some way behind, opening u a considerable gap. Brisbane saw price growth of 2.9%, followed closely by Canberra with growth of 2.8%, then Adelaide with 2.7% and Hobart with 1.5%. But in the other cities prices have fallen year on year. Perth saw a fall of 1.2% and Darwin a decline of 1.8%. Annual house price growth was 10.5% with prices in the semidetached home sector increasing by 7.5% over the same period and according to the Housing Industry Association (HIA), the voice of Australia’s residential building industry, the variation in price growth across the capital cities is remarkable. ‘On the one hand, price growth is very robust in both Sydney and Melbourne, while prices have actually eased back a little in cities like Perth and Darwin,’ said HIA Senior Economist, Shane Garrett. ‘The wide divergence of dwelling price growth across the capitals is indicative of the mixed economic conditions across Australia. It highlights the challenges in prescribing ‘one size fits all’ policy responses to the housing market,’ he explained. ‘The strength of dwelling price growth in Sydney is receiving much attention. However, the upturn in Sydney prices follows a decade which saw the city lag far behind the other seven capitals in terms of price growth,’ he pointed out. ‘Price pressures ultimately represent the inadequate response of supply to much stronger demand conditions. We need to see more flexibility in the planning process and in the release of new residential land in order to take the heat out of prices,’ he added. Continue reading

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