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Data shows foreign buyers are back in the Spanish property market
The number of international buyers back in the Spanish property market is rising with British people now representing almost 20% of foreign sales, new data shows. In absolute terms, the number of purchases by foreigners is increasing to over 42,000 in a year with close to 11,000 transactions quarterly, and over 42,000 in a year. According to figures from the Ministry of Public Works sales to foreign residents in Spain increased year on year in the latest quarter by 17.2%, the 16th quarter on a row of growth to this sector of buyers. The nationality with the greatest volume of home purchases is the British, amounting to 19.8%, and it is suggested that this is due to the UK’s economic recovery and currency rates which give buyers more euros to the pound. French buyers accounted for 8.1% of sales to foreigners, Germans 7.6%, Belgians 6.4%, the Swedish some 5.5% and Italians 5.3%. But sales to Russian buyers have dropped from 9% during 2012 and 2013 to less than 4% currently, and this is likely due to the fall of the rouble and the price of oil. Asian buyers still only account for a small percentage of sales. Quarter on quarter sales to foreign non-residents reached 17,307 while sales to foreigners who are not residents increased by 5% to 1,244 transactions. A rise in foreign demand has also been recorded by the Association of Registrars whose latest data suggests that while there was a slight decline in the first quarter of the year, in the second quarter sales reached 12.8% of the total home transactions. In the first half of the year, foreign home buyers accounted for between a third and a quarter of all the home purchases in some regions. For example, in the Balearic Islands, some 33.5% of all the home purchases in the second quarter were made by international buyers, while in the Canary Islands they accounted for 27.5%, and in Valencia some 25.7% of all transactions. The regions of Murcia, Andalucía and Catalonia recorded percentages of home purchases by international buyers of between 12% and 15%, while in Madrid they accounted for only 4.7% of sales. The data also shows that in Aragón foreigners bought 4.5% of homes, in La Rioja it was 2.8%, in Navarra 2.3%, in Asturias and Cantabria 1.9%, in Castilla-La Mancha 1.8%, in the Basque Country 1.7%, in Castilla y León 1.1%, in Galicia 0.6% and in Extremadura just 0.4%. Meanwhile, the latest house price data suggest the housing market in stable with average national prices down by just 0.8% in the 12 months to the end of September, according to data from appraisal company Tinsa. A second set of figures from Idealista suggests year on year property prices fell 1.6% to a national average of €1,574 per square meter. According to Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight, these latest figures back an overall trend of stabilisation in the country’s real estate market. But he is sceptical about official figures from… Continue reading
Rents in England and Wales reach new record level
Rents across England and Wales reached the highest level on record between August and September in a trend increasingly divergent from the wider rate of consumer price inflation, new data shows. Average rents now stand at a new record of £816 per month, after rising by 1.6% month on month and 6.3% year on year, according to the latest buy to let index from Your Move and Reeds Rains. Trends in the private rented sector are increasingly divergent from the official measure of wider inflation. According to the Office for National Statistics consumer prices are by contrast now 0.1% lower than in September 2014. On a cumulative basis the difference with inflation is starker, the index report shows. Rents are now 24.4% higher than in January 2010, while the index of CPI inflation is just 14.1% higher over the same period. This means rents have risen by 10.3% in real terms since the start of the decade. ‘Rents are rising strongly in real terms due to the recent acceleration in wages, and the much deeper and longer term shortage of available properties across the UK of all tenures,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Reeds Rains and Your Move. ‘Meanwhile, as the price of everyday essentials plateaus and even falls, rents are no longer following the same broad trends. The cost of a place to live has now uncoupled from the cost of living. As long as this supply and demand imbalance keeps up, it is hard to see any reversal in the speed of rent rises,’ he explained. ‘In many ways housing is more essential than other expenses, so this also raises important questions about the nature of inflation. In this case, reform of the UK housing market and planning system is the only serious way to maintain steadier rental inflation,’ he added. The data also shows that five out of 10 regions of England and Wales have also seen individual rent records in September. Rents in London are rising most rapidly, up 11.6% on an annual basis to a new record of £1,301 per month. The annual change in London has also overtaken the East of England, where rents are now rising marginally more slowly, yet are still up 8.8% over the last 12 months. Record rents in the East Midlands are now 6.7% higher than a year ago, at £603 per month, while the West Midlands has seen its own record of £592 per month, or 5.2% higher than in September 2014. Meanwhile, South Western rents have risen at a comparable annual rate of 5.5% to stand at a fresh local record of £691 per month. The final region to see a local record, rents in the South East now average £831 per month, but have risen more slowly, by 3.6% since September 2014. ‘We are in the middle of… Continue reading
Steady price growth forecast for London’s prime property market
Homes in London’s prime property market are set for steady price growth in the mid term as the market adjusts to new constraints such as tax and inflation, new research shows. Stamp duty reform at the end of last year, very low inflation and the mortgage market review which came into being in 2014 will continue to moderate London’s prime housing markets over the short term, according to the latest five year forecast from real estate advisor Savills. But the fundamentals of wealth generation and demand point to a steady medium term price growth and the key trend will be different patterns of growth across the different tiers of the prime London market. The prime market covers a broad swathe stretching from Ealing in the west to Canary Wharf in the east and from Highgate in the north to Wimbledon in the south, dictated as much by price band as by location. As such, the higher value markets of prime central London, where the average house price in the Savills index is around £5 million, are expected to remain flat next year, but record five year growth of 21.5% given the medium term forecasts for international and domestic economic growth and wealth generation. Prime central London values are currently showing annual price falls of 4.6% but are expected to have largely absorbed the impact of higher stamp duty charges by the end of 2015, to close 2015 some 2% down year on year. Other prime London markets are less impacted by higher stamp duty charges and are expected to see moderate price growth through next year, rising 2%, the report says. However, tighter lending criteria will continue to be a constraining factor for these more domestic markets, capping five year growth at lower 18.2%. ‘The stamp duty reform of December 2014 was a defining moment for the top end of the prime London market, particularly as it was looking fairly fully priced having grown significantly to outperform the rest of the market over a 10 year period,’ said Lucian Cook, Savills head of residential research. ‘It is fair to say that last year’s Autumn Statement took the market by surprise and has essentially prevented any bounce back in values post-election, leaving little scope for significant value uplift next year, particularly in a low inflation environment,’ he explained. ‘As such, we have pushed out our five year forecast by a year to 18 months, building in a period of little or no growth as the market continues to adjust to a new fiscal and regulatory environment,’ he pointed out. ‘Thereafter, we expect the depth of the market and the maturity of London as a global city, coupled with job creation and economic growth forecasts to return to long term trend rates of real price growth, particularly, but by no means exclusively, in core prime central London… Continue reading
