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City of London office market sees strongest recovery on record
Rents for City of London offices have proved more resilient in recent years than during previous market downturns and recoveries, according to new research. The analysis from real estate firm Knight Franks indexed City of London office rents at 100 for the pre-downturn peaks recorded in the fourth quarter of 1989, the third quarter of 2001, and the fourth quarter of 2007. This showed that rents in the most recent downturn found a floor and moved into recovery far sooner than during the early 1990s and early 2000s downturns and overall the City office market has seen its strongest recovery on record. Also, the current recovery is proving to be far more enduring than that seen after the early 2000s downturn. Indeed that market cycle lasted just six years, with the arrival of the global financial crisis in late 2007, the report points out. It also explains that the outlook is good as it is over seven years on from the market peak for rents, and growth is still occurring, and expected to continue. ‘These figures demonstrate that the City office market has proved far more resilient in recent years than anyone would have imagined back in 2007 when the financial crisis began,’ said Bradley Baker, central London tenant representation partner at Knight Frank. ‘One of the keys to the City’s success has been its’ significant diversification away from an over-dependence on the financial sector in the past and instead embracing and attracting technology and media firms such as Saatchi & Saatchi, Amazon, Hachette and Uber,’ he explained. ‘Unlike previous downturns, the current recovery began within two years of the initial crash and has been sustained for over five years. This compares favourably to the 2001/2003 and 1989/1991 crashes which took over three and four years respectively to post a recovery, and even then they were short lived,’ he added. Continue reading
Home buyers in UK unlikely to see mortgage costs rise in short term
Home buyers in the UK are set to see mortgage rates remain at historic lows for some time yet despite original forecasts that they might rise by the end of this year. The Bank of England has indicated that the current 0.5% base rate is likely to be around for some time yet with a rise not looking likely until well into 2016 or even 2017. Rates have now been this low for 80 months. But there are concerns that home buyers will get too used to low interest rates and this could backfire in the future when interest rates do rise. According to James Jones, head of Consumer Affairs at Experian, buyers need to work out what they can afford, and plan ahead for unforeseen costs that may make repaying debts harder over the years ahead. A survey of people who had failed to secure a mortgage last year suggests that many are failing to do the basic research needed to get proper control of their finances. Some 13% did not know how much money they have left over at the end of the month and 18% did not know what monthly repayments they could afford. The research also found that 14% did not have a big enough deposit for the property they wanted and 12% were unable to secure the size of mortgage they needed. Another piece of research has found that almost three quarters of home owners with interest only mortgages are worried they may not be able to repay their loan. Interest only deals mean borrowers pay the interest on the loan during the life of the mortgage and then must repay the capital when the mortgage term ends. Just 31% of those interest only borrowers questioned said they have a separate investment policy in place, such as an endowment or an ISA, to pay the capital, according to the research by mortgage broker Ocean Finance. While 16% said they plan to switch to a repayment mortgage before their current loan ends, 31% said they expect to have to sell their home to settle the outstanding capital. And a fifth of home owners said they don’t have a plan in place to repay the capital. ‘Interest only has become a time bomb because so many people took out the products to cut the cost of their mortgage, with no view of how they would repay the capital element. Borrowers who have an interest only mortgage with no repayment plan need to take action,’ said Gareth Shilton, Ocean’s spokesperson. ‘It’s advisable to seek advice on whether they can overpay on their current interest only deal, switch to a repayment mortgage, or use an ISA or pension to settle the capital payment,’ he added. Interest only mortgages became popular in the 1990s as a way for consumers to afford homes at a time when property prices were soaring. Lenders often agreed interest only loans without confirming borrowers could repay the capital owing… Continue reading
Research shows average fixed rate mortgage deals in the UK are at lowest since 2012
Average fixed rates for two, three and five year mortgages in the UK are at their lowest level since 2012, new research shows, and the number of 10 year fixed deals is beginning to grow. Home owners looking to get the best possible deal should consider fixing their mortgage now whilst providers are cutting rates, says the research report from comparison website MoneySuperMarket. The research looked at average fixed term mortgage rates and found they have crept down to some of their lowest ever levels again, despite speculation of a base rate rise next year. The average rate for a five year fixed deal currently stands at 3.45% while last year it was 4.06% and in 2012 it was 4.67%. Shorter term mortgage deals also follow the same pattern, with the average three year fixed rate coming in at 3.21% today, compared to a rate of 4.8% in 2012. Similarly, the average two year fixed mortgage rate is now 2.9% whereas it was 4.48% in 2012. The research also shows that those looking to secure their mortgage rate for a more substantial amount of time will find that there are now more deals to choose from. There are currently 41 10 year fixed rate products on the market while just last month the total number stood at 35. ‘Mortgage lenders are doing a U-turn, decreasing their rates again after hiking them over the last couple of months. Even though the Bank of England base rate hasn’t risen yet, it’s still a case of when rather than if, so any homeowners looking for a cheaper deal should take advantage of the current low rates,’ said Dan Plant, consumer expert at MoneySuperMarket. ‘Many lenders allow mortgage holders to reserve rates available now for up to six months for a small fee, so even those who still have some time left on their current deal can benefit. However, you should never rush into decisions to do with mortgages,’ he pointed out. ‘Before taking out a mortgage, it’s vital to work out the total cost over the term of the deal, taking both rates and fees into account. Expensive fees can wipe out the potential benefit of a lower rate so do the sums first to ensure you really are getting a great deal. The good news is that we’ve seen fees decrease over the last four years, especially for five year fixed deals, meaning it’s a cheap time overall to be looking around,’ he added. Continue reading
