Tag Archives: europe
Prime property market in London set to be affected most by Brexit
The prime property market in London is likely to be the affected the most by the referendum results in the UK which will see the country leave the European Union. Sales activity and price growth in the prime London residential market have already both slowed since the middle of 2014 and in the run up to the historic vote many commentators and experts were predicting that a vote to leave would affect London the most. ‘There is no doubt that the vote in favour of Brexit will generate a period of renewed uncertainty in the prime London residential market. Some demand, especially from investors, will be delayed and in some cases redirected to other markets although the significance of these trends should not be overstated,’ said Liam Bailey of international real estate firm Knight Frank. He explained that demand for prime London property rests on a wide range of drivers most of which are unaffected by the referendum decision such as the scale of London’s business cluster, depth of skills, education, lifestyle and language. ‘It is not easy to identify an obvious alternative destination for investors despite short term nervousness. On the eve of the vote the pound sat 14% below its mid-2014 peak meaning pricing in the prime market was more attractive for dollar buyers. While a further weakening of the pound could increase inward investment, this impact will be constrained by the fact that around 80% of central London buyers are UK residents,’ he pointed out. ‘It seems a reasonable assumption to make that interest rates will be lower for longer, despite the risk of imported inflation from a weaker pound. While the long term benefit of ultra-low interest rates on the housing market may be questionable, in the short term they will act to underpin demand especially for equity rich buyers with access to the best funding rates,’ he added. Bailey also believes that the prime country house market will be similarly impacted by the result. ‘However while the market has performed relatively well over recent years, following a slow recovery immediately after the financial crisis, prices have not tracked London to date and there is scope for some outperformance in the short to medium term,’ he said. ‘While we are entering a period of renewed uncertainty in the UK and London market, ongoing issues around EU and especially Eurozone stability, which will be highlighted in the run up to French and German elections, are likely to counter this risk and shore-up London’s safe haven appeal,’ he concluded. The decision to leave has opened up a Pandora’s Box as far as the London property market is concerned and for overseas buyers, this big and dramatic drop in the value of Sterling will effectively offset the Stamp Duty and tax adjustments and it will make prime London property a lucrative investment for overseas investors bold enough to make a decision to buy despite the market uncertainty, according to Peter Wetherell, chief… Continue reading
UK property market set to see short term volatility due to EU vote result
The UK property market is facing short term volatility due to the decision by the people to vote to leave the European Union, but over the long term experts predict it will settle down and still be attractive. The main issues seem to revolve around how foreign buyers will react to the leave vote as there had already been signs of a wait and see attitude in terms of overseas investment in property in London in particular where demand and prices were showing signs of slowing. There will be international buyers who may initially give the London market a wide berth, according to Edward Heaton, managing director of property buying and search agent Heaton & Partners. But he pointed out that this could be short lived if the pound drops dramatically, as London will suddenly look much better value to foreign buyers. ‘There is a risk that with a period of uncertainty ahead of us, prices may drop off, but I believe that any fall will be limited and suggestions of a crash are overstated. The effect is most likely to be felt in London and the South East,’ he explained. However, Ian Westerling, managing director of Humberts, believes that continued uncertainty during lengthy negotiations as politicians thrash out what post-Europe looks like for Britain is likely to keep the brakes on the property market for the foreseeable future. He explained that people who have to move house will still do so but many investors and less committed buyers are likely to sit tight to see the economic and social impact of the referendum result. ‘Housing market professionals will need to brace themselves for a new norm in market dynamics, underpinned by the ongoing unknowns. The wait and see period could lead to some price adjustments. The onus will be on the Government to act swiftly to avoid the property market becoming paralysed which would have a knock-on impact on the rest of the economy,’ he said. Adam Challis, head of residential research at JLL, also believes that the London housing market will feel the effects of the decision more deeply. ‘The interconnected trading relationship between London and the rest of Europe means the implications are more complex. This will exacerbate the uncertainty for London’s home owners,’ he said. But he also pointed out that paradoxically, investors may well identify opportunities in this market over the short term, particularly international purchasers that can benefit from the currency arbitrage that has opened up by a weaker pound. ‘While the focus leading up to the Referendum has been on the UK's international trading relationships, we are deeply concerned that domestic politics will now be the key risk to the housing market. The UK has a deep housing supply imbalance and concerted attention from politicians to deliver credible, lasting solutions to the supply conundrum is desperately needed. Protracted infighting within the UK’s political parties will only harm the UK economy and any chance… Continue reading
Land Registry consultation launched on single digital property register in UK
A consultation is underway in the UK on changes to local land registry frameworks with interested parties from the property industry urged to give their opinions. It is currently intended that the Local Land Charges Rules 2017 will come into force on 06 April 2017. However, the rules will only take effect in relation to local authorities in stages, as there will be an incremental roll-out, it has been confirmed. The Infrastructure Act 2015 provides for the transfer of responsibility for Local Land Charges from local authorities to the Land Registry. The plan is for the Land Registry to provide a single, digital Local Land Charges register. ‘In today’s world, it is crucial that public services are available online. Customers expect to be able to access government information without delay or complication, and for a reasonable fee,’ said Graham Farrant, chief land registrar. ‘With our track record for modernising land related systems and our continually evolving digitisation programme, Land Registry is well placed to deliver the single, digital register for Local Land Charges information,’ he explained. ‘A single digital register held by a single provider will reduce overheads and eliminate regional variations in the speed, format and costs of the local land charges service. It will make the local land charges system fit for purpose in a digital era,’ he added. He pointed out that the provisions in the Infrastructure Act 2015 set up the framework for Land Registry to modernise and digitise property searches. ‘We will centralise and digitise local land charge information from the 326 English local authorities that currently hold and supply it. The result will be a far more efficient and cheaper service,’ Farrant said. ‘We will set a standardised national fee and turnaround time in contrast to the existing local variations in service, where fees range between £3 and £96 for the same outcome. A single source for improved access to property information will support a more streamlined conveyancing process and improve the ease of registration,’ he added. ‘This activity will ultimately help people who are buying and selling their homes, and support the Government aim to make dealing with property quicker, cheaper and easier. We are well placed to help achieve that aim because Land Registry is already at the centre of the conveyancing process and is the largest single source of property information. A single provider of local land charge information, rather than the 326 separate providers, and a modern digital system, are what is required for this part of the conveyancing process to underpin the property market,’ he concluded. The consultation seeks views on the proposed draft Local Land Charges Rules 2017 which will provide the framework for how the electronic Local Land Charges Register Service will work. As a result of the changes, the proposed Local Land Charges Register Service to be provided by Land Registry will improve upon the current services by introducing a single digital local land charges register,… Continue reading
