Tag Archives: europe
New home sales in Australia fall for second month in a row
Total new home sales in Australia fell for a second consecutive month in May 2016 but experts say it is cyclical downturn and nothing to worry about. Total seasonally adjusted new home sales declined by 4.4% following a 4.7% fall in April 2016. The sale of detached houses fell by 6.7% but apartments were up by 4.9%. The data also shows that detached house sales declined in three of the five mainland states with a fall of 11.5% in New South Wales, a fall of 8.2% in Victoria and a fall of 11% in Queensland. But detached house sales increased by 3.8% in South Australia and by 5.4% in Western Australia. The figures should not cause alarm, according to the Housing Industry Association. ‘There is a cyclical downturn ahead for new residential construction activity, as new home sales signal, but the early pull-back will be mild by historical standards,’ said HIA chief economist Harley Dale. ‘We remain of the view that a decline in new dwelling commencements will gather momentum in 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, following four years of growth which has delivered enormous benefits to the broader Australian economy,’ he explained. ‘This economic benefit delivered by new home construction in recent years is unprecedented. It creates a platform for the Federal government to provide leadership on the key issues of new housing supply, affordability and home ownership, which will in turn benefit Australia’s economic growth and future standard of living,’ he added. Meanwhile the HIA’s regular review of Australia’s $30 billion home renovations market show that the sector is very much in recovery mode with 2015 marking the second consecutive year of growth. This followed a deep slump during the early years of the decade. The Renovations Roundup report projects that renovations activity will increase by 2.5% this year with growth of 1.7% forecast for 2017. The HIA also projects that activity will grow by 2.8% in 2018 followed by a 2% increase in 2019, bringing the total volume of renovations activity to $33.30 billion. According to Shane Garrett, HIA senior economist, the recovery in renovations activity is being supported by the environment of remarkably low interest rates and very strong dwelling price growth in key markets. ‘In this context, many home owners have decided to shelve plans to move house and instead conduct major renovations work on their existing homes. The large pool of available home equity has made this possible,’ he explained. ‘However, the pace is growth is being held back by the weakness of earnings growth in the economy and the fragile condition of consumer sentiment. The importance of home renovations activity is often underestimated and it accounted for about 35% of total residential construction during 2015,’ he said. ‘With new home building set to decline over the coming years, the expansion of the renovations market means that its importance will only increase. The revival in renovations activity will provide a welcome offset to the more challenging situation emerging on the new… Continue reading
UK remortgage figures up in May, but uncertainty could now creep in
Last month was the best May for remortgaging since 2008 but uncertainty and volatility are now expected following the decision by the UK to leave the European Union. Remortgaging reached £5 billion in May and the number of loans reached 32,334, higher than every May since 2008, when 77,100 loans were approved while the average amount of equity withdrawn reached £33,600, the highest amount this year and 43% up from the previous month. However, despite record low interest rates, borrowers felt the pinch due to falling incomes, according to the research from LMS. Remortgage lending was up by 26% compared to May of last year but was down by 16% from April, which was an exceptional month for remortgaging. The number of remortgage loans also decreased month on month by 7% from 34,800 in April to 32,334 in May but this is 31% more than May 2015 when 24,700 borrowers remortgaged. The average amount of equity withdrawn per customer from remortgaging activity has risen by 43% month on month, from £23,479 in April to £33,691 in May. The average amount of equity withdrawn is also up by a quarter in comparison to May last year when equity withdrawn stood at £26,863. The total amount of equity withdrawn rose by 33% over April from £817 million to £1089 million in May, some 64% more year on year from the £664 million recorded in May 2015. This is also the highest amount of total equity withdrawn since May 2008, back when remortgagors withdrew almost £1.21 billion. Despite being the lowest interest rate on record, however, average household income fell from £50,000 in March to £44,898 in April. A drop of 10%. The household income recorded in April 2016 is also 1% lower than in April 2015, when income was recorded at £45,365. ‘Remortgaging witnessed its best month of May since 2008, although the numbers are slightly down following a rush to remortgage in April. The favourable mortgage market, with eagerly competitive lenders, record low rates and rising house prices provided the ideal background remortgaging to continue its year on year surge,’ said Andy Knee, chief executive of LMS. ‘We will have to wait and see what the impact of June’s Brexit decision on the housing and mortgage markets will be in the short and medium term. There will be some uncertainty and volatility to cope with as everyone absorbs the news and this is likely to put a dampener on the housing market at least until the autumn,’ he pointed out. ‘However, interest rates remain at historically low levels and for those with a mortgage now is a great time to take out a fixed rate and stabilise their financial outgoings. Lenders may well come under pressure and their appetites for new business may shrink in the short term. If they do, the range of excellent rates available today might not be around… Continue reading
Research reveals how student debt is affecting the US housing market
New research suggests that the vast majority of would be first time buyers in the United States believe they can’t afford to buy because of student debt. Some 71% of non-homeowners repaying their student loans on time believe their debt is stymieing their ability to purchase a home, and slightly over half of all borrowers say they expect to be delayed from buying by more than five years. The survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and SALT, a consumer literacy programme provided by American Student Assistant, also revealed that student debt postponed four in 10 borrowers from moving out of a family member's household after graduating college. Nearly three-quarters of non-homeowners polled in the survey believe their student loan debt is delaying them from buying a home. Broken down by each generation and debt amount, the percent share is the highest among older millennials approximately aged 26 to 35 at 79% and those with $70,000 to $100,000 in total debt. Regardless of the outright amount of student debt, more than half of non-homeowners in each generation report that it's postponing their ability to buy. The survey, which only polled student debt holders current in their repayment, yielded responses from borrowers with varying amounts of debt from mostly a four year public or private college. Some 43% of those polled had between $10,001 and $40,000 in student debt, while 38% had $50,000 or more. The most common debt amount was $20,000 to $30,000. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that the survey findings bring to light the magnitude student debt is having on the housing market and the budget of even those financially able to make on-time payments. He pointed out that while obtaining a college degree increases the likelihood of stable employment and earning enough to buy a home, many graduating with this debt are putting home ownership on the backburner in part because of the multiple years it takes to pay off their student loans at an interest rate that's oftentimes nearly double current mortgage rates. ‘A majority of non-home owners in the survey earning over $50,000 a year, which is above the median US qualifying income needed to buy a single family home, reported that student debt is hurting their ability to save for a down payment,’ he said. ‘Along with rent, a car payment and other large monthly expenses that can squeeze a household's budget, paying a few hundred dollars every month on a student loan equates to thousands of dollars over several years that could otherwise go towards saving for a home purchase,’ he added. Among non-homeowners who believe student debt is delaying their ability to buy, over three quarters, including over 80% of millennials, said their delay is because they can't save for a down payment. Additionally, 69% don't feel financially secure enough to buy, and 63% can't qualify for a mortgage because of high debt to income ratios. Some 52% of those polled expect to be… Continue reading
