Tag Archives: europe
Signs that currency volatility could boost UK market, especially in London
Currency volatility sparked by the decision in the UK to leave the European Union could create a scenario where overseas investors make major profits by continuing to invest and store their wealth in prime property in London, it is suggested. Market conditions are ripe for opportunistic foreign investors, which could create a welcome increase in the level of sales enquiries received by London developers and give a lift to the British property sector, according to a report from Arcadis. Since the result of the EU referendum was announced, sterling has fallen relative to the euro and the US dollar with further falls forecast before the end of the year. The report suggests that buyers from Europe, Asia, and the Middle East are now well placed to secure bargains in the London prime housing market by exploiting both a softening of property values and a favourable currency situation. Furthermore, with some Banks forecasting a recovery of sterling during 2017 and agents predicting some recovery of prime London house prices during 2018, those investing £2 million now may see their investments rise by as much as £250,000 in value, according to Mark Cleverly, head of commercial development at Arcadis. Although the appetite for opportunistic investment will depend on forecasts of further depreciation of sterling in the short term, the London prime market could soon see another influx of foreign investment. This would provide a timely boost for the UK construction sector in the long term, particularly if increased competitiveness is also matched by government funding for infrastructure, helping to underpin confidence in the new build sector. ‘The market volatility we’ve seen as a result of the Brexit vote is, perhaps ironically, going to re-open the luxury property market to overseas investors, as several of our clients have already reported a bounce in enquiries following the referendum. This influx of investment coming into the UK could boost British construction again in the future as well as giving shot in the arm to the Treasury through increasing stamp duty receipts,’ Cleverly explained. ‘For a market that, in some areas, has been stuttering for some time due to ongoing stamp duty hikes taking the steam out of buyer demand, the buying opportunity presented by recent events could be a big plus. More buyers means a more buoyant market which can only be good news for the industry,’ he added. Already there has been a surge in interest from overseas buyers, according to Benoit Properties International due to the plunge in the value of sterling. The firm says buyers could make a saving of around 12%. Matthew Lavin of Benoit Properties International said there has been a surge in interest in buy to let property from investors in the Middle East, Hong Kong and other countries with currencies pegged to the dollar. Within days of the referendum result the firm sold… Continue reading
Buy to let lending via limited companies up in the UK in first half of 2016
Lending to buy to let investors borrowing via limited companies in the UK grew in the first half of the year according to the latest data to be published and the number of lenders and products available to limited company borrowers also increased. According to transactional data the number of buy to let mortgage applications completed by limited companies grew to 30% of all buy to let completions, up from 21% in the second half 2015, and 18% in the first half of 2015. By volume the number grew to 30% of all buy to let loans, up from 25% in the second half of 2015 and 20% in the first half of 2015, according to the buy to let data from Mortgages for Business. It also shows that the number of lenders offering products to limited company borrowers also increased in the first half of the year to 14 from 12 in the second half of 2015. The rise was due to existing buy to let lenders introducing limited company products rather than new lenders entering the buy to let sector. Lenders offering limited company products now account for 42% of the whole buy to let lending sector, up from 30% in the first half of 2016. Product numbers increased to an average of 154, up from 147 in the last six months of 2015, although the actual proportion of them as a percentage of the whole buy to let market fell due to the increase in product numbers available to individual borrowers. Whilst average products numbers for limited companies accounted for 13% of all buy to let products in the first half of 2016 but by the end of June the percentage had risen back to 16% of all buy to let products, the same percentage recorded in the first half of 2015. ‘Both applications and completions for limited company borrowers appear to have stabilised at around one third of all buy to let business,’ said David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business. ‘However this masks a dramatic change in the investment pattern for new purchases where the proportion investing through limited companies has risen from less than 20% by number or 25% by value in the first half of 2015 to over 50% in 2016, with second quarter applications by limited companies running at over 60% of total applications related to purchases of buy to let properties. This increasing proportion will also drive an increase in the proportion of completions in the next quarter,’ he explained. He pointed out that there has only been a slight uplift in the proportion of remortgaging activity that relates to limited company borrowers, due to historical investment patterns. ‘It would, however, appear that some landlords who already own property personally are sitting on their hands somewhat and holding back from remortgaging, probably waiting to see how the economy pans out post-referendum,’ he said. ‘With the Chancellor announcing his intentions to lower corporation… Continue reading
Report highlights low number of first time buyers in UK housing market
First time buyer numbers in the UK remain 2.2 million behind where they should be given demographic trends despite significant government investment in home ownership, according to a new report. The report from the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLS) suggests that it means that current policy behind interventions in the housing market is missing the mark but they are likely to remain priorities for any new government that emerges in the post-Brexit political environment. The report finds that government investment in home ownership, including through the 15 different Own Your Own Home schemes currently on offer, is yet to have the desired upward effect on home ownership levels. Schemes including the Help to Buy ISA and the Starter Homes Scheme are designed to boost home ownership. They will also expand a demographic that has traditionally voted for the Conservative party, the report points out. At the 2015 General Election, 46% of outright owners and 39% of mortgaged home owners voted Conservative against 28% of private tenants and only 18% of social tenants, meaning homeowners remain a vital demographic for the Conservatives. This approach of extending support to help first timers get on the property ladder is partly being funded by the Conservatives’ second major intervention in the housing market, managing demand through the introduction of extra tax on buy to let and second home purchases. The report explains that the Exchequer is set to raise around £1.7 billion a year from these new taxes, although spending on home ownership far exceeds these costs and the latest UK Housing Review research from the Centre for Housing Policy estimates Government spending on home ownership in England through grants, guarantees and loans will total £40 billion over 2015 to 2021, equivalent to over £6.6 billion a year. But despite Government efforts to bolster home ownership, first time buyer numbers are still tracking lower than expected. The IMLA report finds that between 2007 and 2015 the number of first time buyers in the UK was some 2.2 million lower than past demographic trends suggested it should have been. The report also points out that so far some 90,000 new home sales have been made under the Help to Buy equity loan, NewBuy and FirstBuy schemes and a further 74,000 mortgages have been completed with the support of the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme but the government has failed to reverse the decline in home ownership. Indeed, between 2010 and 201, the latest year for which data is available, the number of owner occupied homes in the UK fell by 270,000. This decline may now be stalling as the latest English Housing Survey showed no change in owner occupation rates between 2013/2014 and 2014/2015, but there is yet to be any increase in home ownership levels. The IMLA’s analysis of data from the Building Societies Association (BSA) suggests more people worry about accessing a mortgage than affording one. In research conducted in March 2016… Continue reading
