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Landlord campaigners should know soon if tax challenge can go ahead

The legal campaign to overturn the proposed UK Government’s decision to phase out the tax relief that residential landlords can currently claim on their mortgages will know next month if its challenge can be taken further. There will be a hearing around the end of the month to determine whether or not there will be a judicial review of the move to reduce the tax relief from 2017 to 2020 until it meets the basic tax rate. Landlords and organisations have warned it could put off new landlords coming into the private rent sector and also hit existing landlords who will have little choice but to pass on the extra cost to their tenants in the form of higher rents. Landlord campaigners Steve Bolton and Chris Cooper said that they also have a meeting with the new housing minister Gavin Barwell on 09 September when the issue will be discussed. ‘We will obviously be raising our serious concerns about the impact, making him aware of our legal challenge and doing the best job we can to help him become a supporter of our cause within Government,’ they said. It is not the only tax change landlords have faced recently. Earlier this year a new 3% extra stamp duty was levied on the purchase of additional properties which included buy to let investments. The Scottish Association of Landlords (SAL) and the Residential Landlords Association (RLA) have both warned that these tax changes threaten to increase costs, making it easier for irresponsible landlords to provide sub-standard housing to tenants and threaten housing supply for those who believe renting is the most suitable option for them. The Scottish Association of Landlords (SAL), along with the Residential Landlords Association (RLA) south of the border, have launched a joint campaign to convince the new Chancellor of the Exchequer to reverse or amend tax changes in his Autumn Statement expected later this the year. They pointed out that a recent YouGov survey for the Council of Mortgage Lenders suggested that 34% of landlords will reduce their investment in the private rented sector as a consequence of these tax changes. Alongside this, the Scottish Government has introduced a 3% levy on the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) for those buying additional properties, including properties to rent out. ‘We know from our regular branch meetings around Scotland that landlords are already seeing increased costs as a result of tax changes. As well as impacting on individual landlords, we are concerned this could make it harder to tackle the current housing crisis by making it more difficult to attract much needed investment,’ said John Blackwood, SAL chief executive. ‘With the uncertain investment environment that has been created by the Brexit vote, at least in the short term, the last thing anyone in the housing sector needs is tax rises which will only make things worse,’ he explained. ‘Furthermore,… Continue reading

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Demand for rural land in the UK fell sharply in first half of 2016

Demand in the UK’s rural land market fell sharply in the first half of 2016 while supply continued to increase, albeit very modestly, the latest industry survey shows. This rise in supply relative to demand pushed 12 month price expectations deeper into negative territory with a net balance of 49% of contributors now expecting prices to fall, across all farm types, over the coming year. The data from the RICS/RAE rural land market survey also shows that yields on investment land drifted slightly down, to 1.6% and anecdotal evidence from respondents suggests that increased uncertainty due to the Brexit vote and resulting confusion over the future of CAP payments has weighed on the market. This has compounded the already subdued demand due to low commodity prices, the report points out and while commercial farmland continues to experience the worst of the current downturn with demand falling most substantially, blocks with a residential component also saw a sharp contraction in buyer interest. Indeed, some 19% more contributors reported a fall rather than a rise. Likewise, while expectations for prices at the 12 month horizon are slightly worse for commercial farmland, the outlook for mixed residential farmland turned markedly more negative in the first six months of the year with a net balance of 42% of surveyors expecting prices to fall rather than rise over the next year. The survey’s transaction based measure of farmland prices, which includes a residential component where its value is estimated to be less than 50% of total, edged down in the latest period and now stands at £10,750 per acre. Meanwhile, the survey’s opinion based measure, a hypothetical estimate by surveyors of the price of bare land, fell by 4% between the first half of 2016 and the second half of last year. Since 2015, the difference between the two measures has widened somewhat and RICS says that this may reflect several influences but the fact that the transaction based measure contains some residential element is probably a significant factor at the moment, given that residential prices in most parts have continued to rise steadily over the past year. According to surveyors, average arable land rents fell by 8.8% in the first half of the year and by 3.1% over the year as a whole. Average pasture land rents fell by 6.7% and by 7.3% respectively. The buyer profile has remained broadly unchanged over recent years with individual farmers still representing around 60% of purchases. Meanwhile lifestyle buyers compose around a quarter of the demand. Continue reading

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Researcher blames government not rich foreign buyers for UK housing crisis

Decades of planning policies that constrain the supply of houses and land and turn them into something like gold or artworks is to blame for the current housing crisis in the UK rather than foreign buyers, according to a new analysis. The problem is not foreign speculators buying luxury flats as an investment in London which then lie empty but that for more than 30 years not enough homes have been built, says Paul Cheshire, Professor Emeritus of economic geography at the London School of Economics. He also believes that homes that have been built have too often been in the wrong place or of the wrong type to meet demand. For example, twice as many houses were built in Doncaster and Barnsley in the five years to 2013 than in Oxford and Cambridge. It means that in northern cities more homes have been built that in the southern part of the country where the demand and population is greater. Pace has also not kept up to demand. According to his analysis from 1969 to 1989 over 4.3 million houses were built in England but from 1994 to 2012 there were fewer than 2.7 million. In 2009, the National Housing and Planning Advice Unit, which was set up as an independent technical source of advice in the wake of the Barker Reviews of housing supply and planning, estimated that to stabilise affordability, it would be necessary to build between 237,800 and 290,500 houses a year. On a conservative estimate, that implies building 260,000 houses a year, which over 19 years would mean a total of over 4.9 million. Taking the difference between actual building between 1969 and 1989 and the advice unit’s estimate of necessary annual building, this implies that between 1994 and 2012, building fell short of what was needed by between 1.6 and 2.3 million houses. ‘This is what explains the crisis of housing affordability. We have a longstanding and endemic crisis of housing supply and it is caused primarily by policies that intentionally constrain the supply of housing land. It is not surprising to find that house prices increased by a factor of 3.36 from the start of 1998 to late 2013 in Britain as a whole and by a factor of 4.24 over the same period in London,’ said Cheshire. He explained that it is a long standing problem as discounting inflation, house prices have gone up fivefold since 1955 but the price of the land needed to put houses on has increased in real terms by 15 fold over the same period. He also explained that in the UK houses are converted from places in which to live into the most important financial asset people have and the little land you can build them on becomes not just an input into house construction but a financial asset in its own right. ‘In other words, what policy is doing is turning houses and housing land into something like… Continue reading

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