Tag Archives: europe
Spain is top target for commercial real estate investors in Europe, new poll shows
Active commercial real estate investors see Spain as the top investment target in Europe for next year as values are still below peak, new research suggests. This is a sign of the Spanish commercial market’s recovery, with Germany following close and Germany is next on the list, according to a poll of investors carried out by international real estate firm Knight Frank. ‘The fundamental rationale behind investing in Spain is even stronger than this time last year. Prime CBD office rents have risen by 20% over the past 12 months, but remain nearly 40% below the 2008 peak, and both footfall and sales have been increasing in dominant shopping centres for six consecutive quarters,’ said Humphrey White, head of Capital Markets at Knight Frank Spain. At the same time some 25.4% chose Germany as their preferred target and Knight Frank says that the results mirror the buoyant investment activity seen in the country, with a total of €30 billion invested in property during the first half of 2015, an increase of 35% compared to the first half of 2014. According to Joachim von Radecke, head of German Desk at Knight Frank in London, the increase is driven by the rising flow of foreign capital into the country and the 50% increase of domestic investor activity. ‘Foreign investors’ share of the German market continues to grow, and now accounted for almost 60% of all transactions in the first half of 2015. We saw the usual trend towards the big five markets of Berlin, Frankfurt, Munich, Hamburg and Düsseldorf, with 78% of total office transactions recorded in these cities,’ he added. The UK also featured strongly in this year’s poll, attracting 17.4% of the votes, on the back of the continuing recovery which has now extended to the UK regions. ‘The UK is well ahead of the rest of Europe in terms of the property cycle and has already seen significant yield compression,’ said Chris Bell, managing director of Europe at Knight Frank. ‘However, it is encouraging that rental growth is beginning to re-emerge more widely across Europe, helped by the strengthening of occupier demand and the steadily falling availability of good quality space exacerbated by the lack of development over the preceding recessionary years,’ he added. Continue reading
RICS backs idea of older home owners downsizing to boost supply crisis
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has waded into the debate over housing supply in the UK, saying that measures such as downsizing could help alleviate the current problems. Last week the head of mortgages at the Financial Conduct Authority was criticised for saying that older people should move out of family homes to make way for younger families but RICS appears to also back the idea. In its latest policy review RICS suggest it is one measure that could help the current shortage of supply in the housing market and that more downsizing could release almost three million homes. It also suggests other measures such as the expansion of affordable ownership via planning controls insisting developers offer a percentage of new homes for affordable rent, regulations to oblige second home owners to release their properties for rental, and the creation of Self Invested Personal Pensions which would allow investors to put their money into Build To Let schemes. But it adds that downsizing is considered perhaps the most effective way of improving supply in the market. ‘Britain’s older home owners are understandably reluctant to move out of much loved, but often under occupied family homes,’ said Jeremy Blackburn, head of policy at RICS. ‘Clearly, it’s an emotive issue and one that needs to be treated with sensitivity, but we would like to see central and local government provide older people with the information, practical and financial support they need to downsize if that is their choice,’ he added. He explained that this might include offering a fund to support with moving costs and pointed out that Bristol City council is already piloting a scheme along these lines, and another suggestion is a stamp duty discount for retired people who are downsizing. RICS believes that the most consistent feature of the housing market over the last 18 months has been a shortage of homes on sale with stock levels on surveyors’ books dropping to lows not seen for at least three decades. ‘Almost a third of over 55s have considered downsizing in the last five years yet we know only seven per cent actually did. If we are to get to grips with this country’s housing crisis, we need to look at supply-led measures across government and the wider industry in order to get the market moving,’ Blackburn added. Continue reading
Research shows interest only mortgage numbers in UK are falling
Concerns have been growing in the UK over the number of home owners with interest only mortgages who do not have enough finance to cover themselves when their loan comes to an end. But new research shows that over the past two years the total number of interest only loans outstanding has fallen by over a quarter with a 16% reduction in the number of loans over the past year alone. According to the Council of Mortgage Lenders the progress that has been made and the ongoing steps that are being taken by the industry to check that borrowers with interest only mortgages have plans for how they will repay their loans at maturity is encouraging. As at the end of 2014, CML members reported that there were around 1.9 million pure interest only mortgages outstanding, and around 460,000 part interest only mortgages. This was around 300,000 fewer pure interest only mortgages and 160,000 part interest only mortgages than a year earlier. The CML research suggests that a quarter of this reduction is down to natural attrition, which is loans maturing and repaying at the end of their term. Around a third can be attributed to full redemption of loans not set to mature until at least 2028, suggesting that many borrowers are taking action well before problems could arise. This also suggests that a significant group of borrowers are successfully remortgaging onto full repayment terms without falling foul of new affordability rules. Of those loans that have matured, few have failed to repay. In total, there are fewer than 16,000 loans outstanding which have matured but not yet repaid or restructured and previous experience shows that most such loans subsequently redeem within a relatively few months of maturity. However, the CML said there is no room for complacency and members are continuing to think about the options for customers who may not be able to repay their mortgages. This includes more partnering with third party advice providers, including equity release firms, and product innovations that may help some borrowers. The CML also pointed out that it remains a challenge to get borrowers to respond to lender contact designed to help them plan for their mortgage's repayment at maturity. Lenders contacted around 427,000 interest only customers between April and December 2014, about 17% of all interest only borrowers. During 2014, the focus of lender communications moved beyond those whose mortgages are due to mature by 2020, and included borrowers whose mortgages are not due to mature until after this. Response rates by borrowers varied. Around 27% of those contacted whose mortgages are due to mature between 2021 and 2028 responded but only a disappointing 2% of those whose mortgages are not due to mature until after 2028 did. However, where lenders did succeed in getting customers to respond, 86% of those who responded had a repayment strategy, and those who did not appeared responsive to making changes such as switching to repayment terms,… Continue reading
