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New home sales down month on month in Australia

New home sales in Australia fell by 4% month on month in September, with the level of activity down from the April peak by 5.2%, the latest new data shows. Detached house sales declined in four out of the five the mainland states with only Victoria seeing growth at 3.1%, according to the New Home Sales report from the Housing Industry Association (HIA). They fell by 19.8% in South Australia, by 8.6% in Western Australia, by 5.9% in Queensland and by 0.5% in New South Wales. In Victoria detached house sales increased by 3.1%. ‘Following the peak level of sales that occurred in April this year, sales activity has trended lower only very modestly. This augers well for actual new home building activity in 2015/2016,’ said HIA economist, Diwa Hopkins. ‘A fresh record level of building activity during this financial year could have been achieved and could have been of strong benefit to the broader domestic economy but increasingly restrictive credit conditions are likely to curtail the boom in new home building,’ she pointed out. ‘The deterioration in credit conditions is likely to weigh more heavily on new home building activity beyond 2015/2016. We have therefore pared back our forecasts for activity over our forecast horizon beyond the end of the current financial year,’ she added. Meanwhile, separate research shows that offshore investment into Australia's commercial property market shows no signs of abating this year. Foreign investors accounted for 28% of transaction volumes by value in 2014 and already in the first half of 2015 the level is 27%. The Australian market is remaining attractive to offshore buyers, as commercial real estate assets continue to provide relatively high income returns in global context, according to the report from real estate firm JLL. It points out that Australian office assets are attractively priced for investors seeking high yielding, stabilised assets in a mature market, comparing well against major cities in Europe, Asia, and America. And even taking into account localised differences such as higher rent free incentive levels in Australia, yield spreads still favour the Australian market. ‘In Australia, yield compression has continued unabated, especially for prime grade assets, across all sectors and many markets. The weight of capital remains significant and the global portfolio tilt toward real estate continues,’ said Simon Storry, JLL's head of International Investments Australia. While 2014 was a record level of foreign investment into Australia, at the half year mark, 2015 levels are close to the record 28% of transaction volumes recorded in 2014. Storry said that the depreciation of the Australian Dollar has allowed offshore investors to be far more competitive and they seem to have a much greater desire to deploy substantial pools of capital in what they see as an undervalued market globally. Continue reading →

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British property rents up 2.7% annually, fastest rate in three years

Private rental prices in the UK increased by 2.7% in the 12 months to September 2015, but there are considerable regional variations, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statistics. Private rental prices grew by 2.8% in England, 1.6% in Scotland and 0.5% in Wales, while excluding London they increased by 1.8% year on year. In the capital city they were up 4.1%. Rental prices increased in all the English regions. The largest annual rental price increases were in London followed by the South East at 2.7% and the East also at 2.7%. Rental price increases have been stronger in London than the rest of England since November 2010. The ONS index report says that the rental market in Great Britain continued to show signs of strength with rental prices now growing at their joint fastest annual rate since October 2012. Increasing demand for rental properties coupled with low supply may be supporting price growth, it adds. August’s ONS House Price Index showed that house price growth has typically been stronger than rent price growth for a number of years. The Bank of England’s Agents’ Summary of Business Conditions for the third quarter of 2015 reported the long term growth in demand for rental properties continued in the three months to September. The Residential Market Survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) for September confirmed this robust growth, noting the strongest tenant demand since the second quarter of 2012 in the third quarter of 2015. Despite signs of a slight increase in supply growth, growth in demand continues to outpace supply. While the latest RICS release did suggest a marginal increase in new landlord instructions, the longer term trend within the wider housing market is one of under supply, the report points out. Reflecting the Bank of England’s August Inflation Report, which noted that supply remains weak within the housing market, the Association of Residential Letting Agents reported a dwindling supply as the average number of properties held per branch fell by 5.8% in August. According to Rob Weaver, director of investments at property crowdfunding platform, Property Partner, it is no surprise than rents rose the most in London, as the supply issue in the capital is especially pronounced. ‘We need to build more homes, but there are a number of obstacles getting in the way, from slow moving planning departments to the practice of land banking. Recent initiatives such as the Government's decision to make it easier to convert commercial property into residential property are a step in the right direction,’ he said. ‘Unused office space is a way to tackle the housing shortage without eroding the green belt. We need more initiatives like this from both the public and private sector if we are to get Britain building and genuinely improve supply,’ he added. Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partner, also believes that a shortage of suitable properties, coupled with strong demand, both… Continue reading →

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Sharp upturn in UK home owners using equity release

Equity release lending in the UK has seen its biggest rise for 11 years with levels up by £68.3 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the previous quarter. The Equity Release Council, which issued the figures, says that it is clear that more and more home owners over the age of 55 are making use of their housing wealth to support their finances in later life. The third quarter saw the highest annual growth rates so far in 2015 and the number of new plans exceeded 6,000 for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2008, meaning that people are withdrawing a record £5 million of housing wealth every day. Total lending in the third quarter rose 21% year on year, compared with 18% annual growth in the second quarter and just 3% in the first quarter, to reach £452.6 million. In doing so, it set a new lending record for a second successive quarter. There were 6,049 new plans taken out in Q3 2015, representing a 12% increase on the second quarter and the volume of new plans was up 9% year on year, the strongest figure of 2015 to date, compared with 3% annual growth in the second quarter and 2% in the first quarter. Growing demand for equity release to help boost retirement incomes and meet later life expenses means lending for the first three quarters of 2015 already exceeds the 2013 annual total at £1.16 billion compared to £1.07 billion, and is within £220 million of the record annual total of 2014 which was £1.38 billion. The data also shows that lending via drawdown lifetime mortgages reached a new high in the third quarter, rising 18% year on year from £231.6 million in quarter two of 2015 to £266.8 million. The Equity Release Council said that drawdown products have become increasingly popular since their introduction in the mid-2000s as equity release customers took advantage of the opportunity to boost their income with regular instalments. The value of lending via lump sum lifetime mortgages also increased by 18% year on year in to reach £183.5 million, the largest figure since the fourth quarter of 2006 when it was £204.7 million. Lump sum mortgages can prove popular for customers who have a larger one-off cost to cover, such as clearing an outstanding mortgage or making home improvements. Despite accounting for less than 1% of the total market, lending via home reversions almost tripled from £632,647 in the second quarter of 2015 to £2.37 million in the third quarter. ‘Appetite among over 55 home owners for tapping into their housing wealth continues to grow. There is increasing awareness that equity release can offer many benefits in later life by providing people with extra income or the means to meet other costs and expenses,’ said Nigel Waterson, chairman of the… Continue reading →

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