Tag Archives: europe
Buying is still cheaper than renting in many US housing markets
Buying a home in the United States is still more affordable than renting in the majority of markets, according to the latest analysis from real estate data firm RealtyTrac. But the opposite is true in markets with the biggest increase in the millennial share of the population over the last six years, the research also shows. In the 473 counties covered by the research, the fair market rent for a three bedroom property in 2015 needed an average of 27% of median household income, while buying a median priced home required an average of 25% of median household income based on the median sales price in November. Buying a median priced home was more affordable than renting a three bedroom property in 68% of the counties analysed, representing 57% of the total population in those counties. But in the 25 counties with the biggest increase in millennials between 2007 and 2013, fair market rents for a three bedroom property in 2015 required 30% of the median household income on average while buying a median priced home required 36% of median household income on average. For the analysis millennials were defined as anyone born between 1977 and 1992. ‘First time buyers and potential boomerang home buyers are stuck between a rock and a hard place in today’s housing market. Many of the markets with the jobs and amenities they want have hard-to-afford rents and even harder to afford home prices while the more affordable markets have fewer well-paying jobs and tend to be off the beaten path,’ said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. ‘Those emerging markets with the combination of good jobs, good affordability and a growing population of new renters and potential first time buyers represent the best opportunities for buy and hold real estate investors to buy low and benefit from rising rents in the years to come,’ he added. The top markets with the biggest increase in the percentage of millennials over the past seven years were counties in Washington D.C., San Francisco and Denver, all of which saw an increase of more than 50% in the share of the population that is millennials. Other markets in the top 25 for biggest increase in millennials included counties in New York, Nashville, Portland, St. Louis, Seattle, Charlotte, Minneapolis, Indianapolis, Atlanta, Orlando, Austin, Des Moines and Midland, Texas. The average 2015 fair market rent in these top 25 counties is $1,459, some 19% above the national average for all counties analysed, the data also shows. On average 2015 fair rents increased 3% from a year ago in these counties, with the standouts being Denver County and Midland County, Texas, both of which saw fair market rents increase more than 2%. Median home prices increased 8% from a year ago in these counties on average compared to an average 7% increase among all counties analysed nationwide while the average unemployment rate among these counties was 5.2% in October compared to an average of 5.5% for all… Continue reading
Property price growth in Sydney and Melbourne to slow in 2016
Property price growth in Sydney and Melbourne is expected to slow in 2016 as prices have peaked, according to an outlook report from the Housing Industry Association (HIA). It points out that as of November pries had increased in Sydney by 12.8% year on year and in Melbourne by 11.8% year on year. Then there was a huge gap to Brisbane where prices increased by 4% year on year. ‘The aggregate price cycle, heavily masked by Sydney and Melbourne, will continue to experience decelerating growth. Sydney and Melbourne are the two biggest markets and it is appropriate that price growth is slowing,’ the HIA report says. It points out that variable mortgage rates are on the rise and this is likely to dampen price growth. Overall the market was busy in 2015 for residential construction with new home commencements reaching a record high of nearly 212,000 in 2014/2015 and are forecast to exceed 200,000 in 2015/2016. ‘If we can progress right through 2016 with commencements holding up at an annualised level above 180, 000, and we forecast that will happen, that outcome should be regarded as a healthy one,’ the report explains. Indeed, new dwelling commencements increased for a third consecutive year in 2014/2015, only the fifth time in the past 60 years that housing starts have seen three straight years of growth. The record level of nearly 212,000 starts is 13% than the previous high of 187,000 in 1994. It adds that new home building is set for another healthy year ahead. Continue reading
Scottish farm land market subdued but the best still sells well
Weak commodity prices, increased acres on the market and reduced subsides have subdued the Scottish farmland market yet, a new analysis report suggests. But the very best land has continued to achieve record prices, according to the latest data from real estate firm Savills. The statistics also shows that supply in Scotland was up by 23% this year in the 12 months to the end of September to 37,000 acres compared with the same period last year. ‘With UK farm debt at a record high, and prospects for improved commodity prices looking gloomy, more farms are likely to appear on the market in 2016 and this may have an impact on land values,’ said Luke French of Savills. ‘However with farmland supply at record lows, the fundamentals for why land is a good long term investment remain the same,’ he added. The Savills report says that there is a margin of around 20% to 30% between the average price per acre for prime arable land in England compared to Scotland and that is continuing to attract national interest in Scotland’s farms from those seeking to expand their farming businesses. Despite a good harvest in terms of yield, changes to the support system and continued poor commodity prices have created a tougher market, the report points out and units are taking longer to sell as more due diligence is undertaken and funding arranged. At the same time, it adds that buyers have become more discerning, resulting in a more fragile market and values out with local hot spots have plateaued across the board and are under pressure, as has been evident in some recent sales. ‘What is very evident is the resulting regional variation in average land values across all land types. Best in class continues to sell and sell well,’ said French. He gave as an in the Spring of 2015 in the lead up to the General Election in early May when Mains of Ravensby, a 190 acre arable farm on Angus, sold in five weeks after a highly competitive closing date, at a record price per acre. According to Savills buyers of Scottish farms continue to be predominantly farmers, many with funds from renewable projects and development land, in contrast to the English market where the lifestyle buyer has returned to the list of active purchasers in 2015. Continue reading
