Tag Archives: europe
UK house prices dipped in February but longer trend is still upward
House prices in the UK in the three months to February were 3% higher than in the previous three months whilst the annual rate remained unchanged at 9.7%, the latest index shows. But month on month prices fell by 1.4%, according to the data from the Halifax, taking the average price of a home to £209,495. Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist pointed out that overall prices continue to rise at a robust pace driven by a significant imbalance between supply and demand. ‘Whilst this position is likely to continue over the coming months, there are some tentative signs that the supply situation may be beginning to improve,’ he explained. He also pointed out that instructions for second hand properties coming up for sale have increased in the past two months and the level of house building increased significantly in 2015. ‘Further ahead, increasing affordability issues, as house price increases continue to exceed wage growth, are likely to curb housing demand and cause price growth to ease,’ he added. An analysis of the Halifax figures shows that the quarterly rate of change was the highest since June 2015 when it was 3.3% and the annual rate remains within the 8% to 10% range where it has been for nearly the entire period since the start of 2015. The fall in values in February offset much of January’s 1.7% rise but Ellis explained that monthly house price changes can be volatile and the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend. The increase in average house prices has exceeded total average employee’s net earnings in 28% of local authority districts across the UK, some 108 out of 380, over the past two years, according to recent Halifax research. According to Russell Quirk, chief executive officer of eMoov, the monthly figures could be seen as a sign that the UK market is cooling but the longer term trend is still upward. ‘Demand is always an influential factor where an increase in house prices is concerned, so the impending stamp duty changes due in April have no doubt helped to keep the UK market buoyant,’ he said. ‘There has been a flurry of buyers keen to secure that second home or buy to let investment before the April deadline, as well as an increase in the stock available, due to savvy buyers looking to cash in and obtain a higher price than usual during this period of high demand,’ he pointed out. ‘We expect once the stamp duty dust has settled the market will cool slightly, but whilst UK and foreign buyers are still fuelling this increase, the issue of affordability will continue to take a back seat, rather than helping to restrain a continually inflating market,’ he added. Continue reading
Research reveals the extent of sub-letting in the UK without landlords’ permission
One in six tenants in the UK have rented out part or all of their property to someone who isn’t on the lease agreement, new research has found. Some 25% who sub-let their property didn’t check the terms of their lease to see if it was permitted, while 34% had not informed their landlord of the decision, according to the survey by landlord insurance provider Direct Line for Business. Of the sub-letters who did not inform their landlord, 23% got found out in the end anyway and the firm points out that the consequences when landlords catch tenants sub-letting can be severe. Indeed, some 11% of cases the tenants named on the lease were evicted with 6% losing their deposit in the process. Other repercussions include landlords increasing rental charges which happened in 22% of cases, 14% were fined and 8% given a formal warning. In spite of this, Direct Line for Business’s research reveals that 2016 could see an increase in the number of people sub-letting their properties. Some 15% claim they are thinking about sub-letting part or all of their rented property by advertising on property letting websites such as Airbnb. ‘The average monthly rent across the UK currently stands at £739. This means on average, approximately a third of people’s income goes towards accommodation. With the market having seen a five per cent increase in average rents in the last year, it seems that a larger number of renters are tempted to offset this expense by sub-letting their properties,’ said Nick Breton, head of Direct Line for Business . Over the last two years, Landlord Action, a firm that represents landlords, said it has seen an 18% increase in the number of instructions from from landlords with sub-letting cases. ‘Sub-letting is fast becoming one of the leading grounds for eviction, alongside rent arrears and Section 21 for possession only. This has been fuelled by sky high rents preventing some tenants from being able to afford even single-unit accommodation, forcing many to resort to bedsits or shared accommodation,’ said founder Paul Shamplina. ‘Organised sub-letting scams are also becoming more prevalent, where tenants, or sometimes even fake tenants, advertise properties and rooms on holiday/accommodation websites in order to cream a profit without the landlords’ consent,’ he added. The research also found that 28% of tenants who had sub-let had done so to friends or people recommended to them. Family members accounted for 21% while 19% of renters have sub-let to strangers responding to an advert. Sub-letting is most common in the North West and West Midlands with 27% of private tenants say that have sub-let their properties. In London it was 23%, it was 9% in the South East 7% in Northern Ireland. ‘There could be some serious consequences for tenants who sub-let, but landlords need to be aware that in these circumstances there could also be insurance implications. Sub-letting is not covered under… Continue reading
UK farmland market sees east/west divide open up
An east/west divide in value growth for farmland in the UK has opened up in what has been a mixed year for sector, according to a new analysis report. Indeed, 2015 was a year of change across the farmland markets as, for the first time in a decade, price falls in arable land values were recorded in the eastern counties of England, the Savills Farmland Value Survey shows. Grassland values, generally in the west, which have lagged behind arable values, have continued to increase and this has created an east/west divide and also mirrors the contrasting supply dynamics, as noted on Supply and Demand 2015, which has also been a contributory factor to supporting values in the west. Farmers made up 50% of farmland sellers last year, the highest proportion in seven years as low commodity prices and the short term outlook for UK agriculture prompted some to capitalise on high average land values and retire. The report points out that farmers made up the smallest proportion of buyers since 2003 at 43% of all transactions. Meanwhile, non-farmers including lifestyle buyers, investors and institutional/corporate buyers represented the biggest percentage of purchasers in the past 12 years. Expansion of an existing holding was the principal motivation to buy, representing the predominant reason in more than half of all transactions, with three quarters of those farmers who took on more land citing expansion as the reason to buy. Just short of 176,500 acres of farmland were publicly marketed across Great Britain in 2015, an increase of 24%, or an additional 34,000 acres compared with 2014. Across England, market activity increased by 16% to around 120,000 acres with a clear divide between the eastern and western regions. Increased supply was recorded in the eastern regions, most notably in the East Midlands. In contrast, reduced supply was recorded down the western side of England. In Scotland market activity increased 47% in 2015, which may be the result of a combination of factors including pressure on farm incomes and some pent-up activity following a year of uncertainty caused by the Scottish Referendum. ‘In the light of recent market evidence, the short to medium term expectations for commodity prices and therefore farm profitability, we have downgraded our forecasts for the next five years. We expect values to be much more varied than in the past five years,’ said Alex Lawson, director of National Farms and Estates at Savills.. ‘Exceptional prices may still be achieved if all the right factors come together, but conversely it is very likely that there will be more farms where potential sale prices fail to reach expectations or they fail to sell. We expect this market will last three to four years until commodity prices start to recover, following stronger global growth,’ he explained. Continue reading
