Tag Archives: crisis
Bucharest real estate markets have seen strong sales in 2015
A stable economic environment and growth potential has resulted in the commercial real estate market in Bucharest, Romani, gaining momentum with sales expected to be close to €800 million by the end of 2015. This year has continued the growth trend begun in 2014 and saw a real estate market dominated by more courageous players, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Colliers International. It forecast at the beginning of the year that the Romanian investment market would see sizable transactions value exceeding the €100 million threshold, and international investors either entering or consolidating their positions on the local market. The report says that outsourcing businesses are still the prominent pillars of the office sector, as Romania becomes more visible for reputable BPOs, SSCs and IT companies, with focus on Bucharest, but also secondary cities. More than 60,000 people are currently employed in outsourcing activities and forecasts provision up to 150,000 in the next five years. Characterized by vibrant activity, office sector in Bucharest is on the verge of a new era of premium quality deliveries in what is to become a half million square meter office hub by 2020 in the Floreasca Barbu Vacarescu area. ‘Aligned with our expectations from the beginning of the year, real estate market has been characterized by general positive evolution for transactional activity for all sectors. Relying on good macroeconomics indicators, the year brought more intense consumption and higher interest in investment,’ said Ilinca Paun, managing director of Colliers International. ‘With take-up picking up and vacancy rates reporting low record levels, developers felt confident enough to start projects across the entire market. Industrial sector will add new stock to the static inventory registered in the past years, while investment market continues to post remarkable results this year also, with total volume expected to reach Euro 800 million by the end of the year,’ added Paun. The report says that the Floreasca Barbu Vacarescu sub-market stands out as the new CBD area in Bucharest. The modern stock of buildings in the area was subject to the biggest part of the demand, with 215,000 square meters leased in the past five years. The area will continue to be in the spotlight in the years to come with 155,000 square meters of GLA of office space being planned for development. Nevertheless, the competition in the sub-market becomes fiercer with each new announced development, the report says. According to Andreea Paun, associate director of office agency at Colliers International, Romania not only has become an attractive destination for the outsourcing industry, but has also changed the way it’s being perceived by large companies. ‘Romania is no longer seen solely as a cost effective destination, but rather a value added generator and valuable talent pool. Similar to previous years, the business services industry has driven most of the office demand. We foresee this trend will grow stronger in the future as renowned outsourcing companies are… Continue reading
Uncertainty in financial services sector affecting prime London rental values
Rental values in prime central London declined for the second month in a row in November against the background of continued uncertainty in the financial services sector and a seasonal end of year decline in demand. Values fell 0.3%, which meant annual rental value growth dipped to 1.2%, which is the lowest level since August 2014, while rental yields were flat at 2.95%, according to the latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank. It follows a peak of 4.2% in May this year as a degree of demand moved across from the sales market due to uncertainty over taxation and the general election. ‘Since then, nervousness surrounding global economic events including the slowdown in China means that many companies have reigned in relocation budgets and many banks continue to cut headcount as part of restructuring plans,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Furthermore, stock levels have risen as more owners adopt a wait and see approach to pricing trends in the sales market, which has tipped the balance in the favour of tenants and put downwards pressure on rents,’ he pointed out. ‘The result is that the number of tenancies started has dropped since 2014, though remains above the level two years ago. Demand, in the shape of new prospective tenants and viewings, is also down compared to what was a relatively strong 2014, though both remain above 2013 levels,’ he added. He also pointed out that demand remains strong in lower price brackets and at the super prime level of above £5,000 per week amid uncertainty around taxation including recent changes for buy to let investors and second home purchases. ‘The result is a three speed market where demand is stronger in higher and lower price brackets than it is in the middle,’ Bill explained. ‘The changes announced by Chancellor George Osborne mean that buy to let investors and those purchasing second homes will be subject to an extra 3% on the rate of stamp duty from April 2016, which could lead to fewer rental properties, which would put upwards pressure on rental values,’ he added. Continue reading
UK house price growth set to slow in 2016, latest outlook report suggests
House prices in the UK are expected to see growth slow to 4% to 6% due to the increasing difficulty in getting on the housing ladder, together with the prospect of an interest rate rise, according to a new report. The forecast from lender the Halifax comes after a year when activity levels have remained modest by historical standards. A shortage of supply is likely to continue to act as a significant constraint on activity in 2016, it says in its outlook report. Price growth is expected to slow more sharply in London than elsewhere but all regions are expected to experience price rises in 2016 which will be broadly in line with income growth. The report points out that levels of house building remain low, but improvements are expected over the medium term and this would help to bring demand and supply into better balance, helping to constrain upward pressure on house prices. ‘There is little reason to expect any fundamental shift in the key market drivers in the immediate future. As a result, the substantial imbalance between supply and demand is likely to persist, maintaining upward pressure on house prices in 2016,’ said Halifax’s housing economist, Martin Ellis. ‘On average, UK house prices look expensive compared to incomes but valuations are supported by the low levels of property for sale, low levels of house building, and exceptionally low interest rates,’ he explained. ‘Nonetheless, with house prices continuing to increase more quickly than average earnings, it is increasingly difficult to get on the housing ladder. This ongoing development, combined with the growing prospect of an interest rate rise, should start to put the brakes on house price growth during the course of 2016,’ he pointed out. ‘A continuing shortage of supply is likely to continue to act as a significant constraint on activity over the coming year. Sales in 2016 are expected to be modestly higher than this year, but to remain well below the peak of 1.6 million in 2006,’ he added. The report points out that house price growth has been robust throughout 2015. The quarterly rate of increase was 2.8% in October, according to the latest figures, a little above the 2.5% average over the first nine months of the year. The annual rate stood at 9.7% in October, the highest annual rate since August 2014 when it was 9.7%, with the annual rate in a narrow band between 8% and 10% all year. ‘Improving economic conditions with continuing growth and rising employment and strengthening household finances, assisted by increasing real earnings for the first time for several years, have boosted housing demand during 2015. This has been supported further by very low mortgage rates which have fallen over the year,’ Ellis explained. ‘Strengthening demand has combined with very low supply, both in terms of new build and second hand properties for sale, to drive strong underlying house price growth. New instructions by home sellers declined in October for the ninth… Continue reading
